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© KYODOJapan intervenes in currency market buying yen for dollars for first time since 1998
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Yubaru
It has been afraid for at least a generation. Hence it not reporting the unemployment statistics clearly, as other developed countries do. Japan changed it's reporting methods around 20 or 25 years ago, thereby creating the image, to the people and the world, that even with a sinking economy, unemployment rates stayed steady at around 2% to 3%, but the reality is quite different.
gogogo
1998? You did it in 2011 after the earthquake. The so called free market is a lie.
Johansawada
BOJ already used its reserves today to dump USD buy Yen... they haven't done this since 1998...USDJPY moved -2.3% immediately after they did this... now trading at 142.7... what a crazy day today!
englisc aspyrgend
A very questionable policy stance, a weak yen may in the short term be beneficial for the big exporting corporations but the effect on the broader economy is deeply detrimental. Even the exporters will face cost increase headwinds thus reducing or even eradicating the benefits.
The view that inflation is “temporary” has been a mantra of central bankers in all the advanced economies but one they have had to row back from as reality bit, with the exception it seems of Japan.
Inflation is loved by banks and politicians as it boosts the profits and bonuses of one and wipes out the debts incurred by the other allowing them to go on squandering public money. It is of little long term benefit to the rest of the population as they see their hard earned savings eroded and their spending power and lifestyle diminished.
Yubaru
It's not hidden, it's just not talked about in the media when the statistics are put out. There have been numerous articles here, taken from major news outlets, that discussed this very topic.
What makes the Japanese unemployment statics inaccurate, compared to other developed countries, is that here, even if someone is working 1 hour per week, they are considered to be gainfully employed, for government statistical reporting purposes. Also those who are not looking for employment are not counted either. The "count" comes mainly from those who have reported to Hello Work, and when those really short term benefits run out, and if they havent found employment, they disappear from the rolls of the unemployed as well.
It is really difficult to get a true handle on the exact number of people unemployed or under employed here in Japan, due to these reasons. But it makes things look rosy on the surface.
If I recall correctly, somewhere in the neighborhood of only 38% of the workforce here, are employed in "full-time" or seishain positions, down over 25% to 30% from the "bubble era".
There are however over 3.3 MILLION komuin, or civil servants in Japan, by far the largest single employer, in any public or private business. Their numbers alone skew the overall "regularly" employed numbers too!
It's not a good situation by any means, and not going to get any better soon.
fxgai
Japanese officials look like idiots as they print money while selling dollars… this looks like a desperation move to me.
Kuroda better start packing his bags, I think…
fxgai
The intervention won’t be successful, but it does say that the government is unhappy… to reverse the trend properly, regime change at the BOJ is required.
Watch out for this in the months ahead, as Kuroda is not going to be reappointed.
JTC
For a longer dated perspective, take a look at:
https://www.macrotrends.net/2550/dollar-yen-exchange-rate-historical-chart
JPY Used to be around 300 to the US$ back at the start of the 70's
The Historical data is interesting, seems we're back to the levels not seen since 1990 / 1987....
travelbangaijin
From what I read, the retail forex has 3:1 ration to the BOJ so this is just a temporary bump but will only last for a few days
Yubaru
You didnt "loose" anything in reality, you are still up overall, it's just not quite as much as it might have been.
OssanAmerica
Will BOJ's actions starting today be sufficient tio counter the USD 0,75% rate increase? I have my doubts, but of course, we'll have to see.
Hiro
Government should do more currency swap with other countries. Is because all payment are handle in dollar, that the economy had become so reliant on the dollar these days. The dollar is practically holding the world currencies hostage. So many countries are now suffering
kokontozai
The BOJ intervened by buying dollars at the 80 yen level (around 2011) and now selling dollars at the 140 yen level. They made quite a bit of money. Japan's foreign exchange reserves are currently $1.0458 trillion. They spent just a little bit of it today, maybe.
The Avenger
And just as quickly it's heading back down. Not much can be done to prevent the true value of the yen and the Japanese economy in its current state.
JRO
I have a big usd payment coming in and basically lost 60man these last few hours, doesn't feel great.
I'm no forex guy, but how much will this do? are we just going straight down to 110yen per dollar?
Slayer
Just a breath of fresh air before the real storm comes. I predict 152 by years end.
Yubaru
While the people of Japan are being hurt in the pocket book day by day. Increased fuel costs, energy costs, food costs, and damn near everything else in between!
You can be as happy as you want, but there wont be many places left for you to spend it, if businesses are forced to close because of cost increases.
Rising prices, and lowered actually buying power is going to hit harder and harder.
Sh1mon M4sada
There is nothing in this story that says the BoJ stepped in to intervene to stabilize the yen, ad rightly so. So I'm wondering why posters in this thread think the BoJ did it.
Suzuki convened a hasty news conference yesterday to announce that the Finance Ministry (the Government) stepped in to intervene. He didn't confirm there was any consultation with anyone either, and it was done AFTER Kuroda said the BoJ will not be moved by the Feds hawkish move (75 points raise), and won't likely be moved for 'years'.
fxgai
The BOJ does the operational intervention on behalf of the Ministry of Finance, but in currency policy the MoF calls the shots.
fxgai
After that the USD rate is back to 143 by the weekend… with the majority of the volatility having been caused by the intervention itself, I am wondering if Japanese taxpayers think the MOF intervention was worth selling off their precious foreign assets…
Meiyouwenti
Japanese government bonds have long been known as a widow maker: over the years we’ve seen investors selling short against the Japanese bonds, hoping they will plunge in value. They won’t and investors end up jumping off buildings to their death. If you happen to be one of those investors, think twice and don’t jump!
Mark
Just have these printers run 24/7.
tora
Keep it at zero. House loan on floating 35 yr fixed. Actually this is a huge reason me thinks. Any rise at all is gonna mean most home owners are gonna go under.
socrateos
fxgai:
No, not at all.
BOJ policy is consistent in keeping its ultra-loose policy. BOJ does not have policy to keep exchange rate at particular point. BOJ does have a policy, however, against RAPID change of rate (either up or down), which have negative affects on most businesses, which cannot make adjustments so quickly. BOJ does not care if YEN gets further devalued to Y200/USD or even more as long as changes occur in orderly manner.
Mark
Yes sir and we love you, keep it that way and our pension is about 30% more, Thank you so much BOJ.
Abe234
Excellent! Maybe the big companies will be able to share that with the workers when the repatriate those earning to Japan.In turn they will be able to spend it. I can't help but wonder if the PLAZA accord made things worst for Japan in the long run.
kurisupisu
Have my money in foreign currencies and gold and silver.
The BOJ can deface the yen to zero for all I care!
Hervé L'Eisa
Look for it to go to 150 and beyond...
That's what printing willy-nilly will get you.
Hey y'all, it's a race to the bottom.
smithinjapan
"The BOJ faces the formidable task of justifying its dovish stance."
Right. The clown will just shrug and they'll re-elect him head of the BOJ again. He doesn't have to justify anything in the "shouganai" culture.
JeffLee
The Japanese are deathly afraid of unemployment. If joblessness ever goes to 4 or 5 percent, the govt would have a conniption fit. There is a consensus that everybody should be working all the time.
That's a big reason why the BOJ is being so steadfast.
Septim Dynasty
Of course, daddy America allowed Japan to sell USD. When Abe died, the Yen stabilized a bit for a while as Japan dumped some of US treasury assets.
Again, Japan will burn out this support option because it can't solve the long term issues.
Non-permanent employment is probably more than 50% by now but the LDP conceals this knowledge from the public. They consider these non-permanent employees are employed fully.
Japan is going to last as long as the FED allows it to last. Probably, Japan won't last long once the war in Taiwan breaks out soon. Japan will end up worse than Ukraine because China will blockade Japan economically if Japan is going to intervene on Taiwan. Of course, the US will force Japan to intervene on Taiwan.