The requested article has expired, and is no longer available. Any related articles, and user comments are shown below.
© 2020 AFPSuperspreader events key driver in COVID-19 pandemic
By Kelly MACNAMARA PARIS©2024 GPlusMedia Inc.
The requested article has expired, and is no longer available. Any related articles, and user comments are shown below.
© 2020 AFP
12 Comments
Login to comment
AG
Wonder if trains will run more often in big cities like Tokyo this winter.
Each train - specially peak hours - has all the characteristics of a super spreading event.
virusrex
Not really, it has the crowding and the bad ventilation (depending on the line) but not the talking, shouting, singing part; and in general people remain with their face covered.
Except that, for the information that is openly available, South Korea and Japan are doing a very different kind of tracing. Japan cases are most frequently people infected from an "unknown" source and that is where the tracing ends, backwards zero steps. Without increasing the number of tests nobody can actually know where exactly the infections are being spreading in Japan, which leaves no solution to stop its increase.
virusrex
And what are the numbers for October last year? and what would be the predicted numbers for the economic and public health troubles of unrestrained spreading with overloading of a fragile medical system making anybody in need of hospitalization a possible fatality?
Priorities do not mean assuming that everything was completely fine before or that it would be without measures.
egads man!
In other news, the sun rises in the east and water is wet.
starpunk
America is disgraced because of lies and misinformation by a false messiah. And now the numbers sick are over half a million. Shame.
ArtistAtLarge
Starpunk, total U.S. cases are 12.5 million and 258,000 deaths as of today with approximately 5 million recovered.
viking68
CV likes to party!!
Graham DeShazo
Sturgis Motorcycle rally was a really bad event. 500k people, mostly maskless, hanging out in bars, motorcycle shops and tattoo parlors for days. It seems to have seeded throughout the entire plains. Now rural areas with poor health systems are being overwhelmed.
But the bikers got to exercise their FREEDUMB, so there is that......
1glenn
Two past superspreader events come to mind, and a third one is in the process of happening.
The first event was when Trump let more than 40,000 people return to the US from China without testing or treacking them. They went all over the US, and we got our first wave.
The second event was the Sturgis motorcycle rally in South Dakota. Hundreds of thousands of bikers assembled in Sturgis, mostly without masks or social distancing. Those hundreds of thousands then returned to the rest of the nation, especially to areas in the Mid West.
The third event is underway. Despite pleas for people not to travel or socialize this Thanksgiving holiday season, over two million people have already flown around the nation, without any attempt to test or track them.
The vaccines may be widely available within six months, but it looks like we may have hundreds of thousands more deaths before then.
virusrex
There is value in corroborating things that appear obvious, sometimes obvious is wrong.
On the other hand this is not even one of those times, by the original modeling the key for the pandemic was thought to be not superspreader events but the usual community slow spreading from everybody in general, with superspreader events as some rare occurrences that did not really contributed that much to the situation as a whole. This way of thinking is now changing.
egads man!
"Superspreader" is in the name for a reason.
virusrex
So is "key driver" which is the main point of the findings. There are superspreaders in many other infectious diseases, but differently from COVID-19 they represent only isolated events that do not change the behavior of outbreaks in general. For COVID-19 the current situation appears to be dependent on their presence.