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Can tough-talking Trump solve N Korean problem?

6 Comments
By ERIC TALMADGE

President Donald Trump is suggesting ahead of his meeting later this week with Chinese President Xi Jinping that he can handle Washington's North Korea problem with or without Beijing's help — "totally."

Is the self-proclaimed master of the deal doing what he does best — talking up his game?

Even Trump said going it alone is not his Plan A. While declaring the U.S. is ready to deal with Pyongyang on its own, Trump stressed in an interview with the Financial Times that he'd rather — much rather, actually — have Beijing on board. China, he noted, has the most influence over the North economically and politically.

But can he sway Beijing into doing more of what Washington wants? The big meeting is set to take place at Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate in South Florida on Thursday and Friday.

Here's a closer look at some of the rhetoric being tossed around, by Trump in the interview released Sunday, and by a top U.S. official:


TRUMP: "China has great influence over North Korea. And China will either decide to help us with North Korea, or they won't. And if they do that will be very good for China, and if they don't it won't be good for anyone."

THE CONTEXT: China is without doubt a lifeline for North Korea. It accounts for about 90 percent of the North's trade and is a key supplier of fuel and many of the other necessities that keep the North's economy running. If Beijing were to aggressively clamp down on all its trade with Pyongyang, the North would certainly feel the pain — and possibly collapse.

The question, however, is what Trump means by "help."

Sanctions advocates in the U.S. believe that with just the right amount of pressure, the North can be coerced into giving up its nuclear weapons. But that's not a certainty. Too much pressure could also lead to open conflict with a tremendously high cost in casualties and deaths, wreaking havoc on the Chinese, South Korean and Japanese — and by extension U.S. — economies. A North Korean implosion, meanwhile, could be even more problematic, causing a massive refugee crisis. As Beijing well knows, that would impact China far more dramatically than the faraway U.S.


TRUMP: According to the Financial Times report, when pressed on whether the U.S. really could resolve the North Korean denuclearization problem without China, he said, "Totally."

"I don't have to say any more. Totally."

THE CONTEXT: So there it is, the tease.

If Trump does have a dramatic solution to this problem, it will have to be pretty clever. And the stakes are extremely high.

Back in 1994, President Bill Clinton considered a pre-emptive strike to take out the North's nuclear weapons' building capability. That was ruled out as too risky. He chose negotiations, and those failed, too, after George W. Bush took over.

Fast forward to today, and North Korea has a nuclear arsenal. It may already be able to hit Japan and the tens of thousands of U.S. troops based there with nuclear warheads. It could be just a few years — if that — away from having an intercontinental ballistic missile capable of hitting the U.S. mainland.

Whatever Trump has in mind, any change in the status quo that comes about without China's participation, or Russia's, is likely to antagonize the North's two nuclear-armed neighbors.

Trump may not need to tell a newspaper what his plan is. But if he's got one, leaders across Asia are all ears.


AND P.S., FROM YOUR U.N. AMBASSADOR: Trump's ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, also had some tough talk over the weekend — but it conflicted with the president's.

She said on ABC's "This Week" that China needs "to show us how concerned they are ... They need to put pressure on North Korea. The only country that can stop North Korea is China, and they know that."

THE CONTEXT: If Haley is right and China is the only country that can stop North Korea, it stands to reason the U.S. can't resolve this issue alone. And no one expects it to.

U.N. resolutions and unilateral sanctions imposed on the North have so far failed to deter Pyongyang from conducting nuclear and missile tests. Last year, the North conducted two nuclear tests and two dozen tests of ballistic missiles. During his swing through Asia last month, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said the past 20 years of U.S. policy toward Pyongyang have been a failure. In fact, that could be extended all the way back to President Truman and the Korean War, which — thanks to China's decision to back the North — ended not in a peace treaty in 1953 but in an armistice.

So what would the U.S. actually do if China doesn't cooperate?

"China has to cooperate," Haley said.

© Copyright 2017 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

©2024 GPlusMedia Inc.


6 Comments
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Trump is out of his depth in dealing with the Chinese. They can take him to the bank anytime they want. The Chinese have no real interest in dealing with the North Koreans except stopping the country from complete collapse. Do they really want American bases on their border? Trump gave the Chinese a major leg up in the region by scuppering the TPP agreement. This is what happens when ignorant morons elect their own kind to run things, they usually end up run into the ground.

5 ( +5 / -0 )

Can tough-talking Trump solve N Korean problem?

Nope... more likely to make it worse!

4 ( +4 / -0 )

The current US president is like a 4 year old child being allowed to pilot an oil supertanker all alown, you know its going to run aground at some time. and there is going to be a major disaster.

3 ( +3 / -0 )

If you consider a MAJOR conflict on the Korean peninsula a solution, yes ! Otherwise, Dumb Donald is DANGEROUS !

1 ( +1 / -0 )

@Brian... good analogy

0 ( +0 / -0 )

I agree with all the posters above! I don't understand how Trump managed to turn Kim Jong-Un into such a menace with 100 days in office. I wonder what Obama would have done?

Ah, that's right "strategic patience".

-4 ( +0 / -4 )

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