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1 in 5 people aged 65 or older in Japan predicted to have dementia by 2060


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Before you all comment, and joke about this, bear one thing in mind... "dementia" starts where & when ?

Did you forget to buy something that you meant to when you set out on your daily shopping exercise, or did you "forget" a simple task someone asked of you ? In either case, are you heading into the dark World of "dementia" ?

Who has not forgotten something ? Even, when told to not forget on the same day... ?

Do not let this article let you give up and submit to what it tells you is a potentially an inevitable case....

0 ( +0 / -0 )


There is a Ted Talks video about an (Unconventional but effective Therapy for Alzheimer's treatment: Dr. Mary T. Newport at TedxUSF), This is the title.

Thanks for the link. I too find MCT oil and a ketogenic diet to be really good for my body and mind.

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Let's hope they take their driving licenses away and keep them off the roads.

No doubt they will. But I guarantee they will still have a lower accident rate than the 18-25 age group.

Dementia’s not a nice thing and it’s not like sufferers forget there’s something wrong. I’m putting my hopes in Vitamin D, lifestyle improvements and medical science.

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Of course, we cannot rely for our evidence on the number of elderly we see who appear to have dementia versus those who look active. The dementia sufferers are mostly locked away somewhere so we see only the active elders. On the other hand, “The latest available data suggests the UK has the lowest per capita rate of diagnosed dementia cases across the G7 nations, with about 1.4% of the population living with dementia." Canada has the second lowest rate (1.56%), followed by the US (1.60%), France (1.85%), Germany (2.03%), Italy (2.46%), and Japan (3.25%). Of course, these numbers depend on factors such as the balance of elderly in the nation and also the rate of diagnosis but 3.25 out of every hundred and rising will be homing in on an expanding share of the health budget, not to speak of needing increasing numbers of carers who just aren't there, unless the health budget rises as an increasing proportion of GDP. It will be hard to think of this money as investment, though some subsidiary products and services may arise that the rest of the world may pay for.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

@MrUkip: Let's hope they take their driving licenses away and keep them off the roads.

the above is a "Soylent Green", pro-authoritarian perspective; though many old folks should not be driving vehicles, they still probably have transportation needs. I hope the elderly aren't housebound because they have no no ability to leave their immediate area.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

obladiToday  07:15 am JST

Amazingly, we still don't know the cause of Alzheimer's disease. More research into the mechanism will hopefully open the door to new means of prevention.

I remember the 1984 State of the Union address where Reagan showed the early stages of Alzheimer's. It didn't have a name as of yet. And during his second term when the weasels Ollie North and Co. did that Iran-Contra crap, they were taking advantage of his condition. The San Francisco papers said that he was just 'senile'. Now we know. Reagan's memoirs confirm this, he remembered his younger days but it got spottier as time progressed. When it came to the period of glasnost with Gorby, he couldn't recall doodley squat.

And I have seen others since then with Alzheimer's and dementias. Dementia took the lives of two of my uncles, it's sad to see degeneration like that.

We don't know about these disorders but hopefully we will over time. More people are getting these disorders because we're living longer now and getting old enough to get them.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

My Japanese mother in law who's only 77 recently got diagnosed with this.

Not much in the way of government support.

They basically tell the family to take care of it.

She keeps losing money, losing her bank book.

She feels family members are stealing from her.

The bank says that feeling is very common.

She's alternatively terrified at the loss of memory and angry and frustrated.

And it's only going to get worse.

There is nothing humorous in this situation.

Another future problem for this society

6 ( +6 / -0 )

Around 6.32 million people are expected to develop early symptoms of dementia, known as mild cognitive impairment, by 2060, the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare said. It is the first time the ministry has made such an estimate.

Beyond the bureaucratic dithering at Nagatacho there are some in Japan looking at real solutions.


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It's quite striking that there is absolutely no mention of preventing dementia in the Japanese media. Not a word about prevention.

Currently, research suggests that approximately 30-40% of all dementia cases could be prevented by adopting certain lifestyle choices. Some of the modifiable risk factors include: low education, midlife hearing loss, obesity, hypertension, late-life depression, smoking, physical inactivity, diabetes, and social isolation.

3 ( +3 / -0 )

The data presented in the article is "nowhere near as bad as previously feared" and "not many more than we have already" but the tone of the article is alarmist, claiming we must do this and must do that.

This is actually good news!

I know little about this topic, but it would appear that the mental gymnastics used in speaking more than one language are a good deterrent for Alzheimers.


2 ( +2 / -0 )

Headline says 1 in 5, but the article says 1 in 5.6 (round up to 6). The article also says there will be fewer people with dementia in 2060 than previously estimated due to medical and lifestyle improvements. This new estimate might be reduced again in the future.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

70 year olds can't care for 90 year olds. Either Japan needs to provide care or there will be more and more cases of seniors being killed exasperated spouse or child.

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It's a world problem..

Dementia is increasing everywhere in the world..

Eat well and do mental and physical excersises..

Try to live healthy and better..

-2 ( +1 / -3 )

2060? That's already an era without me and my prediction is, that it will be a special honor to be 1 out of the 5 who are plagued by dementia then, so that you can sometimes completely forget which mess all around you are entangled by.

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I read this headline in exactly the same way.

Perhaps we are the few without early onset?

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I live in a location where older people are very active. Walking, gym, veg growing. My neighbor is 94 and still active and very talkative when I meet him.

3 ( +5 / -2 )

This report is for Japanese people only. Will foreigners also get dementia, probably? I will be gone before 2060.

2 ( +4 / -2 )

In other words, 1 in 5 government official will have dementia as well by 2060.

An 80% reduction

-1 ( +4 / -5 )

Again dramatic headlines pulling statistics from somewhere about what experts and think tanks think will happen in Japan. Sounds like the' 1 in 5 adults will develop shingles' campaigns pushed in the west and this 'statistic' is definitely in lala land.

Dementia is different symptoms and diseases lumped under one heading. Some have a gene that predisposes them and hopefully in the near future people will be able to simply test for it and take as many preventive meaures they can like cutting down on poor lifestyle habits like too much alcohol, bad nutrition, smoking and drugs.

I've seen a few elderly J people wandering around who clearly have some form of dementia but more than that I've seen a lot more riding bicyles, walking and being involved in their local communities. A positive factor for Japan is the generations 65 and up tend to have women who never smoked and didn't drink much especially women in their mid 70s and beyond. Smoking and drinking for Japanese women generally was not a thing for many females in these these age groups as social attitudes were different when they were younger.

There is nothing stopping the J Govt at national and prefectural level funding construction of retirement homes to meet the requirements of a growing elderly population. Yes they will cost but as a social necessity the needs of the elderly including those who illnesses including dementia will become a bigger part of the economy.

And people with dementia in Japan are much safer than those in western countries who are far more likely to get assaulted and or robbed by violent strangers especially those on drugs. I'm sure somebody will come in with how dangerous it is for the Japanese elderly with their families but violence and fatalities in this case are still not normal in Japan - they are just reported now whereas not so long ago family violence etc was covered up more by the media.

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In other words, 1 in 5 government official will have dementia as well by 2060.

-2 ( +4 / -6 )

Seeing a lot of the old folks out in the gardens growing vegetables or out playing gate ball and hiking always gives me the feeling that the Japanese, especially here in rural areas, age remarkably well. There is however the fact that a high-context culture has provided them with a very set framework on how to pretty much do everything. Not much thought has to go into it once you know it, decision making skills and critical thinking can become relegated. Staying mentally active seems to be a key factor with reducing the risk of Alzheimer’s. Diet too. The old saying may be an important thing to keep in mind, you either USE it or you LOSE it.

Stay active people, mentally , socially and physically. Challenge yourselves on all fronts and beware of slipping too much into routines. Many of us will all be there by 2050. Good luck! Grow vegetables, keep reading the news and laugh! In that order!

6 ( +6 / -0 )

There is a Ted Talks video about an (Unconventional but effective Therapy for Alzheimer's treatment: Dr. Mary T. Newport at TedxUSF), This is the title.

You will learn about MCT oil. Medium Chain Triglycerides. Her story is amazing about her husband and what happened! Well worth a look!

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am i misreading this headline ?

{An early sign ...}

People 65 now will have dementia in 2060 ....my reading is that people 65 now will be 36 years older in 2050

So people 101 years old will have dementia.

And this is shocking ?

Or does the headline mean, by 2060, people over 65 will have dementia.

If so, I put my faith in science.

1 ( +5 / -4 )

I am old. I hope I never get dementia or Alzheimer's (too later for the early-onset type), or dementia. I would gladly go into a care facility and be forgotten about. I'd, obviously, forget about those forgetting about me. Frankly, I think we live long enough as it is. Medicine and other factors take us beyond actually living like human beings. It's too much of a good thing. In fact, I don't think it's a good thing. Physician assisted dying should be available for people who write into their wills at what state of dysfunctionality they do not want to live through. Being old as I am, I would like to go when it's MY time and not when I would live to be a hundred + vegetable.

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So, how exactly is dementia to be defined anyway? Like absent mindedness? Short term memory loss? A lot of people have that problem when they’re in their 20s. But then if they have a “dementia test” when they’re old, they’ll get written off for the way they just always were. Like a joke.

-5 ( +3 / -8 )

There are several different types of dementia each with separate underlying causes: classic Alzheimer’s and LATE in which different genes are at fault.

There is also research into dementia caused by a delayed cost of prior immune response in the brain, as the brain doesn’t have the same immunity-response to infection by a parasite or virus that the rest of the body has.

Alcohol and drugs also appear to exacerbate the above and/or cause cognitive issues on their own.

3 ( +3 / -0 )

That's less than I thought to be fair.

-1 ( +2 / -3 )

Yep me too.

Although my European neighbour is well into his 80's and drinks like a fish. He's as bright as a button.

Thanks! Gave me hope.

2 ( +9 / -7 )

Then I'm screwed.

Yep me too.

Although my European neighbour is well into his 80's and drinks like a fish. He's as bright as a button.

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A recent article links alcohol and Alzheimer's:


Then I'm screwed.

3 ( +12 / -9 )

A recent article links alcohol and Alzheimer's:


6 ( +6 / -0 )

Not too long ago, Hyogo Prefecture recommended that residents over 65 take a cognition test to check for signs of dementia. I know that because an in-law actually took the test at a Kobe hospital, she was told by the neurologists that administered the test they saw no signs of significant mental decline, and the MRI showed no signs of Alzheimer's. She continues to manage her own business. The cognition test is apparently similar to ones given in the US, whose results should not be used to determine whether someone might be a 'genius'.

Do other prefectures offer this kind of test for people over 65, or for those that have had a stroke or had other forms of brain damage?

8 ( +8 / -0 )

What is this percentage compared to the global estimates? For Japan it's probably more acute because of the dwindling population. We already have the elderly caring for the elderly and if the government doesn't get its act together we'll end up with elderly with mild cognitive impairment caring for the severely impaired elderly. The LDP doesn't care, it was Abe's policy that the families should take care of each other in his "beautiful Japan."

-5 ( +7 / -12 )

This is where large, extended families come in very useful. The shift towards individualism and away from traditional families will hurt when you get old. Dont expect the state to look after you, especially when there are no young people left to do the grunt work.

10 ( +14 / -4 )

The issue is keeping people on life support systems when they are well gone, both physically and mentally; usually the superelderly.

And ever been to an old age home here? In so many of them, visits highly restricted, have to book well in advance, 15 minutes maximum visit, have to be masked up, use hand sanitiser, temperature check before entering.

These places have become literal prisons for the elderly, many of whom have been virtually abandoned by their families. Heartbreaking.

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Around 20 percent of people aged 65 years and over in Japan will suffer from dementia by 2060, the government predicted Wednesday, highlighting the need to expand nursing care and strengthen preventative measures amid the graying of the country's population.

It is already a huge crisis and this is speaking of extended family under care.

Options would be: Reorient priorities and address the lack of carers caused by the lack of remuneration and unrewarding work creating the 'labor shortage '.

Import low wage SE Asian labor, relax language and licensing requirements.

Again reorient priorities from Expo, Olympic, crony corporate welfare boondoggle s to a moonshot project to develop novel treatments for dementia.

I wonder what option the brain trusts in the LDP one party gov will take?

-4 ( +6 / -10 )

Amazingly, we still don't know the cause of Alzheimer's disease. More research into the mechanism will hopefully open the door to new means of prevention.

10 ( +10 / -0 )

That is a concerning statistic if true. !

Seems higher than normal I wonder what it is in Japan that increases the chances of dementia? Burning of plastics? Pollution in general?

-4 ( +8 / -12 )

*to be

-1 ( +5 / -6 )

1 in 5 also predicted be caring for someone with dementia.

-1 ( +6 / -7 )

The total number of cases is forecast to increase to 5.23 million by 2030 and to 5.84 million by 2040

When I am at the point of sitting in a circle with other old people all counting our fingers together in time then I think I would rather not be here at all. We need a way out.

4 ( +14 / -10 )

Let's hope they take their driving licenses away and keep them off the roads.

11 ( +20 / -9 )

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