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Tokyo reports 1,204 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 4,925

30 Comments

The Tokyo metropolitan government on Monday reported 1,204 new cases of the coronavirus, down 388 from Sunday. The tally brought Tokyo's cumulative total to 86,674.

The number (608 men and 596 women) is the result of 8,206 tests conducted on Jan 15.

By age group, the most number of cases were people in their 20s (303), followed by 206 in their 30s, 199 in their 40s, 130 in their 50s, 96 in their 60s, 71 in their 70s and 58 in their 80s. Also, 100 cases were younger than 20 (32 of whom were younger than 10), health officials said.

The number of infected people hospitalized with severe symptoms in Tokyo is 143, up five from Sunday, health officials said. The nationwide figure is 973.

Nationwide, the number of reported cases was 4,925. After Tokyo, the prefectures with the most cases were Kanagawa (957), Osaka (431), Chiba (363), Saitama (328), Fukuoka (204), Aichi (151), Hyogo (149), Hokkaido (125), Kyoto (110), Yamaguchi (88), Tochigi (84), Okinawa (67), Ibaraki (63), Gifu (46) and Nara (44).

Fifty-eight coronavirus-related deaths were reported nationwide.

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Testing considerably down again.

8,206 tests done despite Koike pledging back in October that the capacity would be 65,000 / day by early December.

Oct 30, 2020 — The **capacity of novel coronavirus testing** in Tokyo will be increased to about 65000 per day by early December, Gov. Yuriko Koike said Friday.

I understand that 'capacity' doesn't mean a guaranteed number of tests, but I don't understand why they've never got anywhere near that number even once. If they tested to near capacity for a few days straight, then I could at least see the reasoning for cutting back to 8,000-10,000 if the positive rate was low.

20 ( +24 / -4 )

Maybe, just maybe fewer tests are being done because fewer people are presenting with symptoms...

See https://toyokeizai.net/sp/visual/tko/covid19/en.html for more context behind the numbers, for the whole country and not just Tokyo.

-10 ( +9 / -19 )

3 people at my wife's workplace are down with COVID. She cares for the elderly, so she has to be absolutely sure that she's safe before going back to work.

And can we get a test? Nahhh - no symptoms, luv, you're probably all right. Come back when you're at death's door, then we'll see if we can put you on the books. No point risking bad numbers - it'd make the Olympics look bad.

It makes me wonder how many people are swanning around on trains, in offices, in care homes at this very moment shedding the virus everywhere they go.

This place is going to go down hard.

21 ( +28 / -7 )

Request restaurants to close by 8PM and numbers magically decrease.

Suga, gotta share this secret with other world leaders!

15 ( +20 / -5 )

Maybe, just maybe fewer tests are being done because fewer people are presenting with symptoms...

Somehow the virus is losing traction.

Some people will be disappointed...

-17 ( +6 / -23 )

ZorotoToday  04:47 pm JST

Tokyo reports 1,204 new coronavirus cases

It's the 2nd highest Monday count.

This week 1204 out of 8,206 tests

Last week 1211 out of 9,628 tests

So I would not proclaim that the cases are decreasing yet.

This is why you need to look at the graphs. You can see trends on the days between and beforehand, and follow the 7-day moving average to get a clearer picture of what's going on. Just taking those numbers in isolation could mean you completely miss a sharp dip or spike during the intervening days.

-9 ( +5 / -14 )

When tests are down, that means there are fewer sick people getting tested for no reason except for other illnesses. I think it is fantastic when testing drops, because it says the populous are pretty healthy which is what we want.

We do not want 100,000 really sick people with covid like symptoms being testing and having a ton of them with the virus.

-15 ( +6 / -21 )

Hopefully number of deaths went down also.

Of course number of tests is more important

-11 ( +1 / -12 )

@marcelito

3 people at my wife's workplace are down with COVID. And can we get a test? Nahhh

By now most of us know of people who got infected, or had clusters in their offices.

Very few that had clusters in their offices were tested, most remaining untested or having trouble getting access to it, as unless they had clear symptoms or had “unmasked” interactions with the positive individuals, there were no reasons to be tested.

This is the explanation why number of tests barely increased once positive cases were increasing 2-3 digits week-on-week.

No need to have a PhD in Mathematics to reach such conclusion.

Should contact tracing been done appropriately we’d see many tests being done per each new positive, leading to, at least, tens of thousands daily tests, which would still be low for a 39 million people city.

Nothing will change, unfortunately.

Testing will remain difficult to have access to, and if you have you’ll be doing it in private institutions as those positive cases are not being counted to the official daily tally.

9 ( +11 / -2 )

Donate blood. You can get a free test that way.

-7 ( +4 / -11 )

Fewer tests, bigger deaths. But a corpse can't hanko the paperwork or send a fax. So yes the numbers are down, good job LDP.

8 ( +11 / -3 )

Come back when you're at death's door,

Even if youre at deaths door you will probably not be given a test if youre not suspected of having covid19.

They would test and treat you for whatever it is that youre suspected of suffering from.

At least thats what i think would be the proper thing to do

-5 ( +1 / -6 )

3 people at my wife's workplace are down with COVID. And can we get a test? Nahhh - no symptoms, luv, you're probably all right. Come back when you're at death's door, then we'll see if we can put you on the books. No point risking bad numbers - it'd make the Olympics look bad.

Mind blowing. What an " advanced" country Japan is.

""All that Glitters is not Gold"'

7 ( +9 / -2 )

How do you count deads from this virus if you don't test prior to the death and if this country doesn't do post-mortem tests ?

This very article is about testing

-6 ( +0 / -6 )

The correct denominator for this is ‘an outlier data point’. lol

5 ( +5 / -0 )

ZorotoToday  05:17 pm JST

This is why you need to look at the graphs.

Thanks for your advice, but I will stick with the graphs.

Looks like you confirmed my point. Or you meant to say numbers instead of graphs. If it's just the numbers, you're missing the bigger picture.

-3 ( +2 / -5 )

142 with severe symptoms.

Out of a population of 14 million.

The biggest hysteria in modern history.

-9 ( +3 / -12 )

@bob That’s the number of only one day, not all the days before since the pandemic startet and not the numbers still to come for years or centuries. In addition you need a lot of resources for every single case of them, a special room, bed, expensive sophisticated medical devices, ECMO at hand if it escalates further, available doctors 24/7 and a minimum of five nursing staff and much more. Considering this, everyone should quickly develop a certain and still healthy degree of panic and hysteria....

4 ( +4 / -0 )

@sven asai

nope

https://stopcovid19.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/en/cards/positive-status-severe-case/

-5 ( +0 / -5 )

ZorotoToday  07:56 pm JST

Since the incubation time is unclear

Where do you get this idea from? The incubation period is know to be up to 14 days, hence the 14 day quarantine worldwide.

No, the uk cut it to 10 days and Osaka is looking to move patients to general wards after 10 days as well.

-5 ( +0 / -5 )

The article over the weekend said that the government had no right to demand testing data from private clinics. It is likely that other tests were also done, but are not included in these numbers.

The UK media is reporting that three cases of the new UK variant were found in Shizuoka in patients with no record of visiting the UK. I had assumed the spike in cases in Japan over NYE was due to this variant, but it can't be so if three cases are newsworthy.

-2 ( +0 / -2 )

No, the uk cut it to 10 days and Osaka is looking to move patients to general wards after 10 days as well

As the comparatively hardest hit nation, I really wouldn't recommend using the UK as a reference for how to tackle this virus, as the UK government seem to be vying with their Japanese counterparts and leading the way in regards to how to completely underestimate and underevaluate the impact of this virus.

Osaka also has the highest Covid-19 mortality ratio in Japan, so again, not a good marker to wave in the air.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Paraphrased from the local newspaper:

”Two high school girls tested positive, but since there were no close contacts the school was not closed.”

Also, I heard that from a friend who used to work there that no one else was tested.

1 ( +2 / -1 )

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