Tokyo reports 4,220 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 21,570

Every other country in the world sees cases drop despite testing number remaining the same testing is lower only after cases drop.

In Tokyo testing drops before the number of cases.

That is one amazing crystal ball Tokyo gov, has, it can predict lower cases before hand so it lowers testing.

Anyone got the number of tests conducted? I assume less than 7.000.

19,094 tests with those remaining to be counted coming in after 16:00 have to remember bureaucrats don't work past 17:00 that will be adjusted tomorrow.

This will be consistent at about 2,000 to 3,000 fewer than last week on the same day.

It is interesting to not a strange statistical impossibility.

Testing numbers get updated for each day always higher but never once has the number of cases for the same day (or any day for that fact) been adjusted.

If this data was submitted to review it would be rejected as not reliable.

It is impossible that they only find forgotten tests but never ever a single positive cases.

We should be back to pre-spike levels around early September-ish.

Bold prediction. Should it prove false, I wonder if you will be willing to admit it, unlike several others who have proclaimed 'the final wave' since February.

RecklessToday  05:25 pm JST

Wow! Numbers don't lie.

Of course they do! Ask any CPA or actuary.

All you have to do is change The parameters.

Simple example.

Severe cases.

Japan as a whole counts all those in covid ICU.

Tokyo only counts those needing machine assisted breathing.

See how simple a tiny change can play with the numbers.

Less testing again, that’s all. People are realizing the numbers for Tokyo just don’t add up when you look at the increase in deaths.

https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/80c3aca866a9c6c6a0fcd820c78f083f81a97c12

One household I know well with 3 unvaxxed 3 vaxxed, all unvaxxed have Rona the other 3 all fine so far. One of them’s boss said just come in to work if you feel okay.

Oh my! That now brings Tokyo's cases for this month to 100,296 (according to figures retrieved from NTT) and in fact, now represents 31.66% of all cases for Tokyo Prefecture since the pandemic started.

Looking at the Livestream of the Shibuya scramble crossing, it does not look like the Japanese people even think there is a problem. Just saying.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=duja5VH_vEY

See the numbers are dropping. Oxygen stations seem to be a great idea.

Do you somehow think those two things have any relation???

Tokyo announced just a week or so ago that they’re majorly slowing down contact tracing because they’re too overwhelmed. This is why cases are slightly dropping - overall testing is dropping.

source: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2021/08/16/national/tokyo-scales-down-contact-tracing/

Covid numbers going up in most parts of Japan except Tokyo. Tests going up in most of Japan except Tokyo.

Deaths going up in all of Japan including Tokyo.

Deaths at home, no hospital bed going up in Tokyo

Paralympic starting today in Tokyo.

Nothing to see here right!

NHK News 7 really skipped over the Coronavirus stats today. They didn't even state Tokyo numbers. Just said numbers were down from last week. Interesting. Perhaps to pump up the Olympics.

They did mention the price of eggplants are up 39% from last year though. That left me feeling glum.

@Zoroto

You are wrong. Go to the Tokyo Government website and see for yourself.

Do you really trust a Gov't that has handled COVID-19 the way it the Japanese gov't has?

It's terrifying that Olympic athletes get 20 orders of magnitude of COVID tests than normal population.

ianToday  06:02 pm JST

It could be that positives are reported immediately with high priority and negatives are counted later. 

Why would you think of a logical thing like that

ianToday  06:05 pm JST

Why adjust it at a later time if it's just fake numbers lol

If they're gonna pad the numbers with fake numbers they'll just pad it before releasing it,

Ok ask yourself, if this was anything other than covid and another section of the government with strange with the same thing going on only the part that department wants stead remains unchanged but the rest gets adjusted continuously, would you by as dismissive?

I have been here far to long, seen far to many scandals, my children's Japanese grandparents will say the same thing as they remember Minamata and Tainted blood to name just 2 were all along the government knew what the real facts were but withheld for decades.

You can all go ahead and trust the numbers you can laugh and dismiss the inconsistencies but remember the department that is running the show has a very long history of withholding information from the public.

268 serious cases in a city of 30 million is not cause for concern.

It's not 30 million. 268 serious cases is not a concern for you. I imagine it is a concern for anyone who needs a hospital bed, since there aren't many free. Cases will continue to rise for some time yet I fear.

If this causes the medical system to "collapse" there are bigger problems in place.

Agreed on this. What the hell have we all been paying a huge chunk of our salaries for? Can people get a refund on their health insurance if they are refused a hospital bed?

I hope the number of cases goes down.

RecklessToday  05:36 pm JST

Testing numbers get updated for each day always higher but never once has the number of cases for the same day (or any day for that fact) been adjusted.

It could be that positives are reported immediately with high priority and negatives are counted later. Ask Mr. Suga.

And it could be my father is Bill Gates. Both are possible but how likely?

Any minute now, we will get a “gem” of advice to NOT question the government and “just accept things as they are”. Could be something like this:

“this is a news site that tells you the news, it does what what it is supposed to do . Every day you ask for more information ( breakdown of ages, percentages of this that and the other) most of you that ask this already have this information already from government sites but still bleat on about Japan today not posting it .” -

RecklessToday  05:36 pm JST

Testing numbers get updated for each day always higher but never once has the number of cases for the same day (or any day for that fact) been adjusted.

It could be that positives are reported immediately with high priority and negatives are counted later. Ask Mr. Suga

In all seriousness, which is more likely.

Testing centre tests 1,500 people 500 are positive.

Do they send in a report of 500 positive and hold back testing numbers for later or do they send in a report containing the full information?

I know Japan can be backwards at times but I don't think that backwards.

Up, down, up, down. up, down.

We should turn this into a non-gambling sweepstakes. Everyone makes a guess as to what the next day's figures will be and the person who gets closest wins respect and street cred.

@Leighton Rutt

Looking at the Livestream of the Shibuya scramble crossing, it does not look like the Japanese people even think there is a problem. Just saying.

I just looked at your link and I'd estimate there are about a quarter of the normal crowd at 6pm on a weekday. I've been here for close to 20 years and can't recall seeing it so quiet.

To those that trust the government numbers, let me remind you.

This is the same government that said the Olympics would cost $6 billion then $12 billion the $15 billion now possibly $30 billion.

This is the same government that said the tsukiji market new location in Toyosu which was supposedly cleaned up from contamination only to not have been decontaminated.

Yes let's take this government's word on this even more serious situation.

You trust Koike and Suga, good for you.

I will remain skeptical of a government that couldn't prepared enough hospital bed in a year and a half, thinks it is a good idea to have people stay home with covid and if they need oxigen travel to Shibuya.

Yep good luck with that.

The 24th (today), 23rd, 21st and 20th had positive numbers LOWER than the week before.

I believe you are referring to Tokyo Metros numbers, while Zoroto is speaking to national figures. Out of curiousity, did you also mean Tokyo specifically when you talked about the wave? Personally, in a small island nation with minimal municipal or prefectural differentation, let alone borders to speak of, I dont think we can really consider Tokyo severable to such a degree as to declare its covid situation independent of wider Japan.

ワクチン

日本語 https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=en&tl=ja&u=https://v-sys.mhlw.go.jp/search/

For Those Seeking Vaccination Sites in Japan,

https://v-sys.mhlw.go.jp/search/

Find an inoculation venue| Corona Vaccine Navi | Ministry of Health, (mhlw.go.jp)

Oops. I meant 100,961 LOL, but the % is correct

@therouguo

The only amazing thing is you still can't figure out that less people feeling sick will result in less tests being taken.

Serious question. Do you honestly believe that the numbers are not manipulated in any way? That all symptomatic people that are potentially infected receive a test, and therefore the reported numbers are an accurate reflection of at least symptomatic cases?

If your answer is yes, what is your explanation for the drop in cases each and every weekend?

@ADK99

Simple reason, today is 24th ,people are broke ,tomorrow salary day, just see the increase in same Shibuya tomorrow onwards especially this weekend

Why adjust it at a later time if it's just fake numbers lol

If they're gonna pad the numbers with fake numbers they'll just pad it before releasing it,

The stats in the simple story have nothing to do with your own personal attitudes nor vaccine events, family, Olympics nor the world.

Simple stats for a simple mind.

The only amazing thing is you still can't figure out that less people feeling sick will result in less tests being taken.

Was actually amusing early on.

Now I don't even want to say what I think about it.

Thank you Koike san and Suga san for these numbers.

@ Zoroto

When your first sentence is incorrect, it kind of puts a damper on your rest of your argument. Just an FYI.

No...I'm right...

The 24th (today), 23rd, 21st and 20th had positive numbers LOWER than the week before.

It could be that positives are reported immediately with high priority and negatives are counted later. 

Why would you think of a logical thing like that?

The good news is that today looks like case recoveries nationwide will exceed new cases. That's a positive sign.

@jder

The 24th (today), 23rd, 21st and 20th had positive numbers LOWER than the week before.

You probably don't know, but labs are closed on weekends.

@Zoroto

I'm sorry, you're right. I meant 3 out of 4.

4 out of 5 will likely be tomorrow.

@Waywardnihon

Fair enough, early September may be a little optimistic, but the trajectory is indicating that THIS wave will not stick around long. Mid-September maybe?

Ashley

No, it’s not more dire, only in your mind and a few others who focus on negative reporting. Life goes on as normal for most. I suggest everyone do the same and take sensible precautions and maybe turn off the TV.

That is one amazing crystal ball Tokyo gov, has, it can predict lower cases before hand so it lowers testing.

The only amazing thing is you still can't figure out that less people feeling sick will result in less tests being taken.

The number of infected people hospitalized with severe symptoms in Tokyo was 268, down four from Monday, health officials said. The nationwide figure was 1,935, up 37 from Monday.

This is the critical number. Doesn't look too bad.

Well, there it is folks. 4 out of 5 days with numbers less than the previous week. The decline has undeniably started. 

This should essentially be the final nail in the coffin for the pro-lockdown argument. There's literally ZERO possibility the J-gov will do it now, especially with numbers quickly lessening. Looking at the daily stats, I can't imagine numbers going above 5000 tomorrow, so expect another day of lower numbers for tomorrow as well. 

We should be back to pre-spike levels around early September-ish. Take care guys.

Got my first jab today! Finally!! In 3 weeks time I will get my second. I will still be cautious even after my 2nd jab. However, I will continue my life as I have an not live in fear even as cases rise.

I don't think cases are really rising, I think testing is rising which of course will bring larger numbers. Correct me if I am wrong.