Tokyo reports 4,227 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 24,200

Yeah, Japan and it’s master (Suga) are defeating this virus. We really need to be keeping our eye on the severe cases though. I am so optimistic that things start going back to some kind of normal.

OJToday  08:18 pm JST

Oh I understand I even pointed it out many times.

And that is why I said use any past 7 days.

Go back a week, 2 weeks a month!

Good luck making the numbers match Tokyo government's

I don't understand why you have such a hard time grasping the fact that there is a delay between confirmed tests and reported cases. Do you really think 13.316 samples were taken yesterday, tested in a laboratory, and the results confirmed and reported in time for today's release?

OJToday  07:39 pm JST

These are newly reported cases, not people who tested positive yesterday. In most cases, they tested positive 1-2 days ago, although some may have tested positive 3-5 days ago. You cannot calculate the positivity rate for yesterday based on the PDF in the article.

Are you still peddling that?

The base it on any random 7 day period! Go head do it pick 7 days testing and 7 days positive cases do it.

But your attempt at saying the numbers on the PDF and website are not what they use or how it is done is just an attempt at deflection.

These are newly reported cases, not people who tested positive yesterday. In most cases, they tested positive 1-2 days ago, although some may have tested positive 3-5 days ago. You cannot calculate the positivity rate for yesterday based on the PDF in the article. Most of yesterday's test results haven't been confirmed yet, and the results won't be released for another 1-2 days. The best you can do is calculate the positivity rate for these reported cases using the 3 day average for testing.

I can’t believe the saMe crowd are still banging on about number manipulation by the government, it’s tiresome.

Covid is on the way out, more so all the time and less deadly by the day due to vaccinations. Time to stop number crunching, get out and about and enjoy life, focus on working hard and supporting our families.

audioboy77Today  07:00 pm JST

To make easier to understand.

If you want to know how many Kilometres per litre your car is getting do you

A-) calculated how many litre of gas you put in in the last week and how many Kilometres you did in the last week do the average and compare.

Or

B-) do you calculate the total number of litres you put in during the last week make and average and compare to the number of kilometres you did today.

???

A-) is how everyone else calculates

B-) is how Tokyo is calculating the moving average.

Will "A" or will "B" give the more accurate results?

Replace litres with tests and kilometers with positive cases.

Now you know who to fudge numbers to give a lower positivity rate.

audioboy77Today  07:00 pm JST

Give us a break bon the moving average stuff.

Here is how a moving average is done in every other country.

The last 7 days average of positive results compared to the last 7 days average of tests conducted.

This is how Tokyo does it.

Today's positive cases compared to the average of tests done in the last 7 days

No one in their right mind calls that a moving average.

You want to see the real positivity rate for the past 7 days.

Total the past 7 days cases

Total the past 7 days tests.

Then do the average.

I will bet it doesn't come close to the number Tokyo claims.

Go ahead try it. I have already.

Going down huh? Nope makes no sense and you all know why, only tests are going down ... check my link, it just doesn't make sense. It jumped 10% again!

https://www.stopcovid19.jp/

Like it or not (it's amazing that some of you don't like it) but this wave has peaked. Cases are falling, testing is has not decreased, and positivity rate is not increasing.

Strange the PDF releases I have kept since last week and the Tokyo government website stopcovid19 both point to an approximately 15% reduction in testing.

Are you saying the Tokyo government isn't telling the truth?

Again whats your basis for the decreasing testing? We all know day by day it changes a lot. The moving averages are whats important and they don't show a reduction in testing. You were saying something about the moving average being fake and not adding up to the test numbers, but for what its worth I checked the last 8 days last night and it matches up exactly.

I see more point in even testing or reporting especially since the media is a willing participant in those joke.

To put it simply Tokyo's miracle cure for covid is to reduce testing and get fewer cases.

3,000 fewer tests for Thursday coincides perfectly with the days positivity rate to 800~ 900 fewer cases. Surprise surprise.

Today even after adjusting as will happen 3,000 to 4,000 fewer tests and miracle we get fewer cases!

We should let the UK and USA know this amazing Covid cure.

And what is worse are the sad individuals that actually believe the Tokyo testing.

Lot of people want the situation to improve not to be put under a blanket and are tired of having to deal with the do nothing, covid is no problem, fatty life is not worth the trouble, just glup vitamine D, mask are useless, things will solve by themselves, ... and so and so.

When the cases decrease should you not instead be happy, encourage people to continue to do their best, encourage people not doing it to start doing it as it works, ... instead of using it against people which want the situation undercontrol and encouraging people to do nothing or stop doing thing as the situation will solve by itself.

Sorry but this is incomprehensible

100% agree with audioboy77Today. One would expect mass vaccination to be available to citizens and residents at any time in the 3rd biggest world economy...

Can’t Japan afford offering vaccines on a wider scale to its own people asap with all its taxpayers money?! That vaccination center in Shibuya Mrs Koike announced can only handle close to 200 youths a day. Great pr, but speed and scale is what matters now.

I am sick of being stuck Kanto and want to travel to other regions (am vaccinated), but am endlessly postponing... Would hate to increase chances I unknowingly will help the virus spread and it hits someone vulnerable in a beautiful Japanese countryside..

audioboy77Today  06:13 pm JST

Having said that, unless they get most people vaccinated asap, it will start rising again soon as people will inevitably start to relax again now (thats been the pattern of every wave so far here). And of course new mutations could be round the corner.

Whats new besides covid counts. Pointless to get PCR tested since the likely hood of anyone getting treated will not happen. Just keep counting the infection and no action.

@audioboy77

First any wave will be.. a wave. So it will fall eventually as all the susceptible people catch it.

That is quite a heavy statement to imply Tokyo already reached that point.

testing is has not decreased

Where are you getting your insight ?

https://stopcovid19.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/en/

it's amazing that some of you don't like it

You should be ashamed to even utter this kind of thing.

Lot of people want the situation to improve not to be put under a blanket and are tired of having to deal with the do nothing, covid is no problem, fatty life is not worth the trouble, just glup vitamine D, mask are useless, things will solve by themselves, ... and so and so.

When the cases decrease should you not instead be happy, encourage people to continue to do their best, encourage people not doing it to start doing it as it works, ... instead of using it against people which want the situation undercontrol and encouraging people to do nothing or stop doing thing as the situation will solve by itself.

Why it is that widescale testing wasn't done at the venue is behind comprehension, especially given the attendees were among the least vaccinated age groups in the country.

Because the government are incompetent and worse don't even care.

Reporting by Chiho would make more sense because of the mobility between prefectures.

A few days of lower week-on-week numbers doesn't mean that things are now magically improving. Too early to see a clear positive trend. Besides, according to an NHK report today, the number of seriously ill patients in Japan is now at a record high, after setting a new record for the 15th day in a row.

Having said that, unless they get most people vaccinated asap, it will start rising again soon as people will inevitably start to relax again now (thats been the pattern of every wave so far here). And of course new mutations could be round the corner.

Either testing is more suppressed or the number is faked, because there's absolutely no reason as to why the actual numbers would fall other than political.

That's not true.

First any wave will be.. a wave. So it will fall eventually as all the susceptible people catch it. You can look through every epidemic in history if you are not convinced.

Second vaccinations are increasing. Sure its all too late and they messed it up, but the fact is they are increasing.

Third there has been a reduction in movement. Its not near the targets but there has been a reduction.

Like it or not (it's amazing that some of you don't like it) but this wave has peaked. Cases are falling, testing is has not decreased, and positivity rate is not increasing.

The fact that the reported numbers suddenly dropped with the start of Paralympics seems very suspect.

Flow of people barely dropped 20% and there's no significant change in people's behavior.

Vaccinations also remain completely inaccessible for the vast majority population below age of 39 except for that privileged and elites, with no hope in sight that it will ever reach this age group in Tokyo.

Either testing is more suppressed or the number is faked, because there's absolutely no reason as to why the actual numbers would fall other than political.

People in their 20s (1,208 cases), their 30s (785) and their 40s (691) accounted for the highest numbers, while 758 cases were aged under 20.

0-9 10-19

under 20 758

20s 1208 30s 785 40s 691 50s 60s 70s 80s

total 3442

The Tokyo metropolitan government on Friday reported 4,227 new coronavirus cases

Okay, how is it possible to mess up the maths so bad?

Please report cases by all age groups. 50s and up still seem like a significant number of cases. Also, Delta is infecting younger and younger people. Please report these numbers by age as well.

@audioboy77

Great point.

The reason Tokyo is falling while the rest of the country is rising is because, the spike began in Tokyo. Like any wave in nature, it takes time to move, and not all areas rise and fall equally.

Hahahaha!!!

Because all around the world the effect of Covid infection has been to climb uncontrollably, then inexplicably and without any action being taken drop and hold steady.

They are actually going to do it....hold the 4000 mark until the elections.

@Eric

Don't know. I'm only interested in the number or % of fully vaccinated people contracting the virus. Seems like North America and Europe, they aren't releasing that data. Like they are trying to hide something.

What are you talking about? They are releasing the data. They are in public domain, too and in the news everywhere if you care to listen.

Here we go again. With the last 5 of 6 days here in Tokyo being over the 4,000 mark, today brings Tokyo's monthly total to 114,120 out of a full total of332,088. This now means just from this month, Tokyo has already achieved 36.43% of all cases.

I want to go home soon to visit family and friends down under in Australia, but it certainly, sadly won't be this year, because of restrictions, and exorbitant airfares too.

lostinyokToday  05:08 pm JST

Decreasing numbers in Tokyo coinciding with increasing numbers in the rural provinces. Could it simply be the people who would normally be filling train carriages and bars with virus instead coughed on their relatives in the countryside for Obon? If the numbers continue to drop, good, but I would not be surprised to see them rebound next week or so.

Tokyo government do like to play with numbers, other prefectures don't.

And note that number of infections means nothing if it's not linked with number of tests, positive rate, rt, number of hospitalizations, number of patients in ICU... Japan do not provide this information, other countries do.

Is Tokyo going down when all the rest of the country is still going up ? Good question.

If it is it would not be suspcicious. Tokyo is the epicenter of each wave.

Decreasing numbers in Tokyo coinciding with increasing numbers in the rural provinces. Could it simply be the people who would normally be filling train carriages and bars with virus instead coughed on their relatives in the countryside for Obon? If the numbers continue to drop, good, but I would not be surprised to see them rebound next week or so.

EricToday  05:01 pm JST

By this point the number of infections is pretty much irrelevant. Where can we get the data on the number of fully vaccinated people contracting the virus? Is Japan also refusing to release that data?

I think Japanese government cannot release this kind of data because probably there is not such information in their prehistoric system. All other big nations can provided this kind of information, Japan cannot of course.

Eric- probably not many as Japan was late to vaccinate. It may not completely prevent the virus as initially thought, but protection against serious illness is still strong.

Going down in time for the paralympics.

As Antiquesaving often says, the virus is so altruitstic.

EricToday  05:01 pm JST

By this point the number of infections is pretty much irrelevant. Where can we get the data on the number of fully vaccinated people contracting the virus? Is Japan also refusing to release that data?

Is Tokyo going down when all the rest of the country is still going up ? Good question.

Hope on the horizon.

No. Winter is on the horizon.

18 deaths declared by Tokyo today : people from 30s to 90s who died between July 20 and August 20.

By this point the number of infections is pretty much irrelevant. Where can we get the data on the number of fully vaccinated people contracting the virus? Is Japan also refusing to release that data?