The Tokyo metropolitan government on Monday reported 502 new coronavirus cases, down 112 from Sunday.
The average for Tokyo over the past seven days stands at 756.7.
People in their 20s (172 cases), their 30s (102) and their 40s (91) accounted for the highest numbers.
The number of infected people hospitalized with severe symptoms in Tokyo is 55, down six from Sunday, health officials said. The nationwide figure is 432, up seven from Sunday.
Nationwide, the number of reported cases as of 6:30 p.m. was 1,506. After Tokyo, the prefectures with the most cases were Kanagawa (280), Chiba (114), Saitama (110), Osaka (105), Hokkaido (47), Fukuoka (44), Aichi (42) and Okinawa (28).
The number of coronavirus-related deaths reported nationwide was 3.
- External Link
- https://toyokeizai.net/sp/visual/tko/covid19/en.html
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Jim
Today number is 160 more than previous week (link below)
https://omatomesan.com/tokyo-covid19/
Now more than three weeks continuous higher than previous week number - expect the magic number of 1000 to cross this week for sure
Now we have media PR on full show highlighting that Japan is facing not only Covid but earthquakes, Typhoons (earlier news on JT) - as if the natural disasters and Covid are in same category and we are supposed to just accept it as shikata nai?
Tristis Quepe
The number of infected people hospitalized with severe symptoms in Tokyo is 55, down six from Sunday, health officials said. The nationwide figure is 432, up seven from Sunday.
Someone’s going to have to modify his triumphalist copy-paste screed before posting it.
audioboy77
I expect around 20-30% weekly average rise given recent trajectory, so maybe 1200-1300 on Wednesday/Thursday.
gakinotsukai
That would be logical but i think the "official" numbers are capped at 1k.
audioboy77
I'm not one for conspiracy theories. I'm rather in the incompetence camp.
Yubaru
Over 500 on a Monday, does not bode well for the rest of the week!
gakinotsukai
Call it as you want, government is playing with numbers, it's a fact :
http://www.japansubculture.com/japan-solves-coronavirus-crisis-with-magical-math/
Antiquesaving
Strange they usually put up the number of test done in Tokyo everyday around 19:30 but didn't yesterday so we still have no idea how many test were done on Saturday.
I wonder if they will post how many test were done on Sunday.
Now if the number of tests are about the same as every Sunday 2,000 to 3,000, we are talking about one incredibly high positivity/infection rate!
Monty
432 nationwide severe cases!
Nationwide a population of 124.000.000
432 from 124.000.000 is 0.0003%
Let me give credit to the paranoid people and to the people who say numbers are manipulated in Japan...let us guess the severe cases are not 432, let us guess the severe cases are 432.000
432.000 from 124.000.000 is 0.3%.
Less than 1%!
That doesnt give me sleepless nights.
It is a long time that I said that here.
gakinotsukai
until you're one of the severe cases ...
Antiquesaving
Anyone want to see what a controlled testing system looks like in chart form?
Go see this:
https://stopcovid19.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/en/cards/number-of-tested
It is incredible to see how each week the number of tests follow such a perfect partner.
One could look at one week and not bother looking at the rest as they are near carbon copies following the same up and down nearly identical each week.
This cannot be just random.
Antiquesaving
Fewer than 60,000 test a day nationwide for over 124 million
300,000 tests a day for another island nation with half the population.
Oh and severe cases only count in Japan if they are in designated covid wards and for Tokyo only of on a ventilator, the rest of the country covid ICU ventilator or not they count as severe but again only if in a Covid designated ward.
Sick and dying in a room or ER that doesn't count as severe.
Monty
@Ashley
The school I work for wants all the teachers to get a PCR test before enter back next week
Just out of curiosity...
For what reason should you do a test?
If it is like you said, that you have to go to Tokyo by train, means that you also have to go back by train.
What also mean that on your way back, you can get infected in the train, and the test you just did and the big money you paid, lose all sense.
This is completely meaningless.
Monty
another day for a PCR test in Shimbashi and by Friday started feeling bad
Yes, here we go!
Best example. Exactly what I said.
Took a PCR test, I guess it was negativ, and a few days later feeling bad.
So! Do you have Covid? Or not? Should you do another test again?
The first PCR test Reckless took, lost all its sense.
But Reckless, I guess you know that if you have some of these symptoms, doesnt automacially means that you caught Covid.
Maybe it is just a headach, a diarhee, a flew...you know that these sicknesses still exist, right?
Derek Grebe
Monty - you're absolutely correct.
Two weeks ago, my boss brought us all into the same room to announce that henceforth everyone has to come into the office every day.
Unfortunately, one of the people in the room was COVID positive and the whole place had to get shut down. 2M yen for a deep clean of the entire building.
The lesson we learned today is he wants us all in the office again from tomorrow.
What's the point of even caring anymore?
theResident
@Monty: Exactly. Mass testing in this Metropolis with the huge amount of commuters on the move is absolutely pointless. Absolute waste of money that would be better spent on quicker ways to get vaccines out.
Since we can't (thank God) go into a ridiculous lockdown like Sydney is in now, this is the way out.
Before anyone says we have to 'track and trace', just think about the sheer logistics involved.
If the Government claim 500 odd infections today, then we must all agree it's at LEAST 10 times that. Probably more.
Tokyoite
Sounds scary Jim! Better take a look at the bigger picture, to see where we're are heading!
11th May 2021 = 113 deaths
11th June 2021 = 55 deaths
11th July 2021 = 6 deaths
Oh.....
carpslidy
Most people have given up caring.
I won't be wasting a summer at home watching empty stadiums on tv.
Sven Asai
What conspiracy theory? Three digit slot machines are real and you can find them anywhere in numbers. lol
tamanegi
Close the restaurants and bars at 6pm with last drinks at 5pm.
Tokyo-Engr
@Tokyoite
Sounds scary Jim! Better take a look at the bigger picture, to see where we're are heading!
11th May 2021 = 113 deaths
11th June 2021 = 55 deaths
11th July 2021 = 6 deaths
Your point is well taken however the deaths are a lagging indicator so I would wait another 2 months and see where the numbers are.
I hope you are right but I will only be convinced when I see the numbers.
Antiquesaving
Wow can you imagine if Japan came up with a way to do both proper testing and get the vaccine out efficiently.
The rest of the developed world would be in awe of such an achievement.
Oh Wait, the rest of the developed world already did that.
Oh well nevermind.
as_the_crow_flies
Trends rather than daily numbers are what we need to look at, but I think the average lag from positive diagnosis to death is around 3 weeks, so I think. the this week's death figures correspond roughly to people diagnosed around the third week of June (but I don't pretend to be an expert).
Antiquesaving
Those going on about deaths are just doing so because they know like we all know we are not going to see the high numbers as before.
Multiple reasons, better understanding on how to treat, more experienced medical personnel, vaccine, etc...
But deaths is not the only problem and as deaths no longer take up all the focus, we are now starting to see the other problems.
Long haul covid,
25% of those in all age and health groups end up with some sort of medium to long term health issues.
That is 25% of the children, teens, young adults, middle age adults and elderly.
Some are just loss of smell but other are debilitating pain in limbs, lung damage, internal organ damage, etc...
So more cases more chance of people having long term problems.
theResident
@Antiquesaving: But why do you need 'proper' testing when its clearly already Endemic - and the money would be better spent on just getting us all jabbed. Let alone the manpower involved.
You (rightly) keep reminding us about Long Covid - so again, how on earth would mass testing help us now? As pointed out by others, We are NOT in Lockdown. Not by any stretch of the many imagination. When European cities were in lockdown like Sydney is now, mass testing made sense as there basically was very little movement. Apart from eateries closing at 8 - life is going on deer as normal for us. So, what's the point in my entire office being tested once a week only for one person to then be exposed on the Yamanote Line on the way with his nose pushed up 25 other peoples backsides?
spinningplates
I agree with theResident in this case.
We are beyond the threshold of mass testing (although I agree testing and tracing was important early on...but J-Gov decided to surrender that battle as early as April last year.)
It's probably reasonable at this stage to expect most of the people around you in Tokyo have had at least one dose of Covid and many many more are carrying it right now.
The incompetent Japanese government has cornered us into vaccination being the ONLY way out, we are just unfortunate they are making an absolute mess of what should have been a pretty simple task.
Antiquesaving
Because the Japanese population is complacent.
They see a few hundred cases in Japan and see tens of thousands in other countries and think "oh Japan is safe no real problem" and they go around spreading the virus.
If the Japanese people got a good look at the actual numbers, then perhaps companies would stop requiring employees to go into work when they can work remotely.
Perhaps the population would be more pro active in getting upset at the slow poorly organised vaccine situation.
If the Japanese saw tens of thousands of cases being reported daily perhaps attitudes will change and things will get moving.
There are a few reasons.
There are more.
Tokyo-Engr
@as_the_crow_flies
I am certainly no expert nor do I pretend to be. I can only go by what those who study this say. The Harvard study referenced below is "guesstimating" 2 to 8 weeks
https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/news/hsph-in-the-news/data-animation-shows-time-lag-between-covid-19-cases-and-deaths/
That said it would seem that waiting for more data would be prudent based on what people who have much more expertise than I do in this specific issue.
Again - I absolutely hope what Tokyoite is implying is correct and the deaths disappear or decrease to a negligible level.
Sindhoor GK
Over 48% of people over 65 have been fully vaccinated and they accounted to 97% of covid deaths in Japan.
Commodore Perry
High positivity rate. Low number of tests.
Would anyone doubt that the government tests 100 (or 200 or 300, or whatever) of its own workers each day to dilute the positivity rate? Maybe even test the same people daily.
TokyoiteToday 06:46 pm JST
Those figures do not necessarily relate to the current situation since they are not reflective of Delta variant cases.
Also, imagine if the number of car crash deaths decreases each month, while the number of car crashes increased, and the number of people maimed in car crashes increased. Is that necessarily an improvement?
Antiquesaving
And the Tokyo numbers are finally posted on the government site.
Tests done Saturday 5073 number of cases 614
Positivity/infection rate 12.1 %
Tests done on Sunday 2161 number of cases 502.
Positivity/infection rate of ........
Wait for it..........23,2%
A new record!!
OzSamurai
I get that we need to prioritise the elderly for vaccines and rightly so but given these stats it seems to always be the people in their 20s who are the majority of cases - would be controversial but perhaps considering prioritising people in this age group before the middle aged? Vaccines do help reduce transmissibility after all, and this demographic are probably the group that move around and are highest risk of spreading the most.
kaimycahl
I've said this months ago just as Japan started back easing the restriction that the number will only reverse. The US eased its restrictions for the past holiday and now the numbers are starting to tick up. People are quick to want to think this virus is over but one has to remember all it takes is for one person to have it and transmit it to another person. We haven't heard the last of the US problems they too again will get worse!
Waywardnihon
Im loathe to point out your remarkably limited concept of bigger picture yet again, but lets actually look at, say, more than the down swing of a single wave. Maybe one year...
11th July 2020 = 0 deaths
11th Aug 2020 = 6 deaths
11th Sept 2020 = 12 deaths
11th Oct 2020 = 2 deaths
11th Nov 2020 = 11 deaths
11th Dec 2020 = 51 deaths
11th Jan 2021 = 48 deaths
11th Feb 2021 = 77 deaths
11th March 2021 = 45 deaths
11th April 2021 = 18 deaths
11th May 2021 = 113 deaths
11th June 2021 = 55 deaths
11th July 2021 = 6 deaths
oh... ever worsening waves...
Antiquesaving
I have tried explaining this once before.
Covid deaths got all the news and for good reason but like other diseases such as Polio deaths are not the only thing,
Polio had a 2% fatality rate ior lower in developed countries.
The real damage were the life time disabilities.
Covid is not much different in that sense.
Fatalities are important, but the 25% of those that get covid and have long term effects and disabilities is now the focus because these long term problems affect all ages all health groups.
So keep droning on about deaths being low and 99% survive.
Well 25% of those 99% will suffer some form of post covid problems.
carpslidy
Long haul covid,
Commodore Perry
RecklessToday 11:03 pm JST
It would be interesting to know the stats in Japan of the number of people suffering 1 month, 2 month,s 3 months and so on, after they 'recover' from Covid.
Doesn't make sense to focus just on deaths.
carpslidy
I believe long term covid is true, much like any serious virus, but to say 25% are suffering life changing illness is factually wrong.
Find a recognized medical journal that states that and I will stand corrected
Zaphod
Reckless
So you disregard the obvious, which is the reaction to the vaccine? A lot of people have have side effect, with a wide range of severity.
Tokyoite
Thanks for providing the stats for deaths per month over a year as it gives us a much better view rather than people being selective and comparing with a week ago to try and support their arguments.
However the assumption the next wave must higher does not factor in the vaccination rollout. I think we all agree it's been slow (putting it nicely), however they predict all over 65's to be fully vaccinated by the end of July. With that being the most vulnerable group making up the majority of the deaths and a large part of the population here, we should not be seeing a repeat of those number of deaths, if the vaccines work.
Tokyoite
Agreed. Why long term covid cannot be overlooked, the tendency to over state the impact weakens the point.
It seems that as deaths have reduced the usual doom-mongers have shifted the argument and feel a need to exaggerate with sweeping statements.
Akula
Now at 60 million vaccination doses administered. We are starting to see a lot fewer deaths now, primarily as 76% of over 65s have had at least one dose of the vaccine, and close to half are fully vaccinated.
Waywardnihon
To br fair, I am not assuming the next wave will be higher, only pointing out that the current decline in deaths does indeed fit with the existing statistical wave model, irregardless of vaccinations. Therefore, while there may be an impact on future waves, I don't think we can currently assume the figures have been impacted based purely on retrospective statistics, which is what the original post implied.