Tokyo reports 562 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 1,709

And the 100.000 Olympic tourists have not started filing into Japan yet.

The Tokyo metropolitan government on Friday reported 562 new coronavirus cases, down eight from Thursday.

And also 109 more than same day last week - now last 10 days out of 11 days there is a clear trend of cases increasing from previous week (as per link below data)

https://omatomesan.com/tokyo-covid19/

Will only increase as Tokyo welcomes 90,000 foreigners from more than 200 countries in July month - and these folks will not be required to do mandatory quarantine for two weeks time - what can go wrong? As per IOC/TOC/JOC - nothing will go wrong and they will deliver "safe & secure" Covidimpics....

Really???

No point commenting because we can’t trust the data.

zurcronium

And the 100.000 Olympic tourists have not started filing into Japan yet.

What tourists? No tourists are allowed in to the country.

its still very low :)

increasing positivity rate : 7% now

So around 6,000 test per day out of a population of 14 million.

An infection rate increasingly even though they keep cutting testing the number of cases keeps going up.

And the government of Tokyo that has rarely been able to test 10,000 a day and the government of all prefectures combined barely could test 100,000 a day, is somehow going to keep testing the local population and on top 15,000 Athletes daily and over 70,000 others coming for the Olympics every few days ( every day the first 3 days then every 3 days ) and the regular testing they also promised for the 40,000 workers and tens of thousands of volunteers!

Am I the only one that looks at theses numbers and says " where and how are they going to do all these tests?"

@Antiquesaving

They are planning to carry out testing of the athletes regularly, in principle. The key words here being, "in principle".

Having lived here for many years, I have learned that "in principle" usually means, "highly unlikely."

I cannot figure out where or how The Tokyo government is calculating thing.

On the government site they claim 4 6% 7 day average infection rate.

But on the same site they say the 7 day average of new cases is 440 and the 7 day average of tests is 6,800.

So if the calculations are done the 7 day average of infection rate is 440×100÷6800= 6.47%

I am no math genius but I cannot see the 4.6% or how Tokyo comes up with it.

@Tora

After over 30 years here I got that,

I was trying get the:

" OC are great and honest, the bubble is in place and they promised crowd"

To give us a "Logical" explanation.

maybe that's "higher mathematics", too much for us peasants! :)

I got it they round down 6.47 becomes 6.4% then they reverse the numbers and get 4.6%.

I wonder why they bother announcing these figures daily when they’re going to go ahead with the Olympics anyway. Seems like an own goal in the PR department. “We are failing to get cases down, but don’t worry, we can handle thousands of people streaming into the country. Oh, apart from those Ugandan athletes with the delta variant…and the VIPs who tested positive. Please gaman for your country!”

If JT could compare the figures with the previous week numbers on the same day, it would be more relevant

@Some dude

but don’t worry, we can handle thousands of people streaming into the country. Oh, apart from those Ugandan athletes with the delta variant…and the VIPs who tested positive

And guys that escape through windows of quarantine hotels!

High positivity rate. These numbers given in the article are not relevant when looked at without the number of tests given.

Commordore

Look at severe cases falling and every decreasing deaths, Therein the answer lies.

falseflagsteveToday  08:52 pm JST

Commordore

Look at severe cases falling and every decreasing deaths, Therein the answer lies.

That just means either the people with severe cases are younger, or the medical care is improving. It does not relate to the numbers of infected.

Commodore

Nope, less cases about, simple as that. With vaccines rolling out the numbers will fall further.

Riddle me this?

If the on Tokyo's own covid-19 government website the 7 day averages are:

440 new cases per day

6800 tests per day

How do they come to a 4.6% infection rate?

440 is 6.47% of 6800.

So it seems the Tokyo government is using magical mathematics.

falseflagsteveToday  09:32 pm JST

Commodore 

Nope, less cases about, simple as that. With vaccines rolling out the numbers will fall further.

No, less cases with old people, precisely because they are the larger group being vaccinated.

There is not correlation to number of deaths and number of cases. Simple as that.

Commodore

Maybe a few less elderly which is good as they suffer worse but that’s not really the issue. It’s severe cases and deaths that really count and they are falling and are likely to continue to do so. Unless a deadlier variant or one that can beat the vaccine appears, there will no longer be many issues.

falseflagsteveToday  10:05 pm JST

Commodore

Maybe a few less elderly which is good as they suffer worse but that’s not really the issue. It’s severe cases and deaths that really count and they are falling and are likely to continue to do so. Unless a deadlier variant or one that can beat the vaccine appears, there will no longer be many issues.

The issue I am looking at though is total cases. And with a high positivity rate, there will be larger numbers of cases, as opposed to low death rates equaling lower number of cases.

Even if there are less severe cases and deaths, there can be an increase in overall cases. And, taking into the equation long term effects that don't result in deaths or don't count as severe, there can still be a large number of cases, and a large number of people suffering long term.

Data simply shows cases are on the rebound esp Tokyo. Reproduction number is on the rise also a little above 1 now.

Not by much, but a cause of concern especially now that there will be many people coming and large crowds gathering in the near future.

Th govt of course has some numbers expected, hopefully the actual numbers won't be a lot lot more than expected.

Data simply shows cases are on the rebound esp Tokyo. Reproduction number is on the rise also a little above 1 now.

Not by much, but a cause of concern especially now that there will be many people coming and large crowds gathering in the near future.

Th govt of course has some numbers expected, hopefully the actual numbers won't be a lot lot more than expected.

with a high positivity rate, there will be larger numbers of cases

Yes; and let's not forget the fact that more cases, even non-severe or even non-symptomatic ones, increases the chances of another mutation or variant, that could (and likely would, since that's how evolution works) be more virulent, more resistant to vaccines and harder to deal with than any of the Greek-alphabet soup we have now.

if anything turns up

How would you know if you don't test ?

Something wrong with your logic