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Chance of Nankai Trough megaquake raised to 80%: gov't panel

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Recalculations are made every January, taking into account the passage of time. The probability of a magnitude 8 to 9 quake along the trough in the Pacific had previously been estimated at 70 to 80 percent since 2018.

Hadn't realized the previous estimate was 70-80 percent.

Last big one in 1946 (Showa 21年) termed the Nankai earthquake registered 8.0M and resulted in a tsunami that hit the Pacific coast from Kyushu to the southern Boso Peninsula, reaching 6 meters. 1,330 people were killed, 12,000 houses were completely destroyed.

Frightening what a 9+M will cause. Get ready folks who live with me down here.

4 ( +4 / -0 )

Don will fix it....or else there "will be hell to pay "

-2 ( +0 / -2 )

This is why I will never live in Shizuoka, Aichi and Mie. Good luck to those who do live there.

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Good, simple explanation of the potential disaster here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uC-vj68SBxA

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Japanese scientists as well as the general population in these regions have been warning people about this for decades.

There will be a big earthquake in Japan. When? Impossible to know.

I feel like some of these scientists are just hedging their bets. So when it happens they can say I warned you.

-2 ( +0 / -2 )

Remember there is a significant incentive for them to predict a high possibility of any large disaster - as the downside to not predicting it and it happening are huge, whereas predicting it and it not materialising is just "playing it safe"

0 ( +0 / -0 )

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