Spring is just a few weeks away, and so people in Japan, as well as people about to travel to Japan, are starting to make their cherry blossom viewing. You might want to speed up your planning process, though, because a revised forecast is predicting that the sakura are going to start blooming earlier than usual this year.
As signs of spring, cherry blossoms begin to bloom after the winter chill has faded and warmer weather comes to Japan. With higher-than-average temperatures expected in late February and early March, Japan’s Weather Net meteorological organization is saying that Tokyo will be seeing the first sakura of the season almost a full week earlier than the Japan Meteorological Corporation forecast we looked at back in January. According to Weather Map’s calculations, the sakura will start to open in Tokyo on March 17, and also in Fukuoka on the same day.
▼ Forecast map for the “cherry blossom front,” as the phenomenon of sakura trees flowering first in the southern parts of Japan followed by northern regions, is called

● Predicted date for start of sakura blooming
Akita: April 12
Aomori: April 17
Fukuoka: March 17
Hiroshima: March 21
Kanazawa: March 28
Kobe: March 23
Kochi: March 19
Kyoto: March 21
Nagano: April 6
Nagoya: March 19
Nara: March 23
Osaka: March 23
Sapporo: April 26
Sendai: April 1
Shimonoseki: March 20
Tokyo: March 17
Yokohama: March 19

Of course, Japan’s cherry blossoms are at their most beautiful when entire trees are covered in the flowers’ pink petals. Weather Map is also predicting earlier-than-usual dates for full bloom.
● Predicted date for full sakura bloom
Akita: April 17
Aomori: April 22
Fukuoka: March 28
Hiroshima: April 2
Kanazawa: April 3
Kobe: April 1
Kochi: March 28
Kyoto: March 30
Nagano: April 11
Nagoya: March 30
Nara: April 1
Osaka: March 31
Sapporo: April 29
Sendai: April 7
Shimonoseki: March 29
Tokyo: March 25
Yokohama: March 29
Japan’s cherry blossoms are famously fickly flora, so it’s important to remember that this is a forecast, not a set schedule sakura adhere too. The closer we get to spring, though, the more accurate predictions become, so you might want to move any cherry blossom parties you’re planning up a bit in your social calendar.
Source: Weather Map
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18 Comments
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diagonalslip
cherry and plum been flowering on the Bōsō for 3 weeks already.....
Elvis is here
Not the Somei Yoshini variety
Elvis is here
*Yoshino
John-San
I am an expert when it come to predicting Sakura blossoming in my district of Hiroseki. This year it will on the 2nd of May
memoryfix
Okinawa is great. And it is a lot warmer than Honshu. But it is not tropical.
diagonalslip
re: Somei Yoshino beauty is beauty, doesn't matter to me which are the 'designated' praiseworthy types.... and it means Spring, so..... for me, good news all round.
justasking
Wow, the government is very inconsiderate to foreigners who booked flights early April.
Hercolobus
Kawazu cherry blossom going on now. Love that place. I stay at the nearby Air BNB house 403. Walking distance to the venue and supermarket. Onsen is not far away too.
Joe Blow
Okinawa is north of the Tropic of Cancer, so it's not truly tropical. Half of Taiwan is south of ToC.
BertieWooster
As awa no gaijin says, Cherry Blossom started blooming in Okinawa five weeks ago. Very beautiful and abundant this year.
kohakuebisu
More than 10 days out, weather forecasts are mostly guesswork. So it should be no surprise that the initial forecast was wrong.
Its a pity because the forecasts up to a week or so are now very accurate. I suspect the presence of inaccurate long term forecasts means we still get "grumpy old man" type moans about weather forecasts being hopeless. Short term modern forecasts are very accurate. I ride a bike quite a lot (for leisure at chosen times) and them getting it wrong would mean me getting soaked.