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© KYODOTokyo August virus cases top 125,000, nearly triple July's record
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35 Comments
ian
If people wanna compare I'm reading an article now titled "Daily Average of COVID Hospitalizations in US Hits 100,000"
Excerpt
thepersoniamnow
Gakinotsukai
Awww so it about being hurt.
Hey man, I said Japanese are way healthier than some nations and that must help.
I am also half American and yes I think the USA is much better at making vaccines.
I am not “excusing Japan”. Still bored?
Flute
@Kenchi
Did you try to go your assessment through basic math ? What did you think about the implication ?
As of now, we have 4 518 697 deaths from covid-19. World wide population 7 800 000 000.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population
So starting from there lets go the other way : how many people were infected ?
1% IFR : 451 869 700 infected or 5.79% of the world population
0.5% IFR : 903 739 400 infected or 11.59% of the world population
0.1% IFR : 4 518 697 000 infected or 57.93% of the world population
Considering there are variability on how much covid spread in different place that would mean high variability in between place with some place where you will find antibodies in almost every sampling. Never heard of any studies finding that.
John doe
its called exponential growth
Zaphod
151E
Thanks for providing some context for current hysteria. I dont have a link at hand, but I saw a similar study that extended into the 70-80 and 80-90 range. The numbers increased dramatically there. It did not include co-morbidities but it is safe assume that the too increased there. So our politicians want to punish the whole population instead of concentrating on the very small vulnerable group??
Zaphod
This is getting so tiring. As a) "cases" only reflect testing and most infected have no symptoms, these daily "kansen kakudai" figues in the media are completely meaningless.
Most Japanese people I talked to actually understand this and completely agree. So why do authorities & media continue this nonsense?
dan
Lift all SOE now.
The Avenger
Japan has been battling the rapid spread of infections caused by the highly contagious Delta variant, with the medical system close to its breaking point.
https://www.lung.org/blog/covid-19-delta-variant
Bob Fosse
Which was the original point of my comments, so your questionable death statistics are irrelevant.
Tokyo-gaijin
I wonder if the Olympics did in fact have anything directly linked to the increase.
Antiquesaving
151EToday 09:48 am JST
I would check the author of that "study".
John P. A. Ioannidis has quite the reputation, a prolific publisher of papers in the thousands.
Most eventually being found to be seriously flawed.
He is loved by the anti medical establishment community because he writes what they often want to hear.
Not that there are a few red flags right in the report you linked.
Notably it was said to be about deaths in the elderly population but cuts off at 69 years of age.
It has not been peer reviewed and this part is typically of John P. A. Ioannidis inost of his publications.
Which is another way of saying we used data we really can't verify fully.
People rarely read the info of how the information was collected.
And rare read the asterisk or parentheses information.
All this to say anything published by this guy needs to really first be peer reviewed before accepting even the tittle as in most cases his work and conclusions will be rejected and disproven.
HBJ
When the official word by those in charge is 'nothing is wrong, everything is fine. Continue to do things normally. But we're also in a state of emergency', then it's no surprise there are record infection numbers.
drlucifer
Saw 125,600 new cases from the meagre tests. Making the info inaccurate. It is inaccurate info like this that makes one to start having doubts about historical information or data.
Imagine kids yet to be born will learn about this pandemic in the history books how Japan did better than other countries with test numbers missing from the narrative and look at it as a feat or something to proud of.
151E
@Bob Fose
When disagreeing about facts and data, it is helpful to cite sources.
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.08.21260210v1
Above is a link to a preprint study from Stanford estimating the infection fatality rate (IFR) from COVID-19 for various age brackets.
The study found:
0-19 0.0027%
20-29 0.014%
30-39 0.031%
50-59 0.27%
60-69 0.59%
Of course, death is not the only concern with corona infection.
Wakarimasen
Lock it all down.
vendingmachinemusic
Kenichisan
just show us the math if you feel you calculations are correct.
Kenchi
I stand corrected perhaps
Kenchi
@bob
My point I was claiming was that natural immunity was better than immunity via vaccination.
so that those that recover will have natural immunity. they will be better off in the future if encountering the virus again.
that is definitely not a falsehood.
Bob Fosse
Data? Including long term effects?
It’s Bob by the way. Accuracy is important.
thepersoniamnow
klausdorth
I am not trying to argue with you.
But I too have been wondering why in some countries some young and even children fall ill and die from Covid, whereas here, not a single child has died (claimed).
There are large health differences between nations and some countries really feel covid differently. I think its politically incorrect to say, but in the USA where so many people use strong medication, opioids, and live an u healthy lifestyle….
Well look at the deathrate
Ingvar
@Boob Foose is right
It's "only" about 99.5%.
Michael Machida
The Japanese Government should have focused on the pandemic and not the money making Olympics for the fat cats only club.
Bob Fosse
No. I mean dangerous by deliberately spreading falsehoods. There is no guaranteed immunity or 99.9% recovery rate after contracting Covid-19.
That is incorrect information.
Aly Rustom
Tokyo August virus cases top 125,000, nearly triple July's record
Not to worry. The gov is now reducing the number of tests which means the number of cases will also go down. All is well.
Kenchi
@Bob
I guess it only depends on how you define dangerous.
if by “dangerous” you mean as dangerous as a deadly virus that is only dangerous to less than 1% of people, then yes, I guess it’s pretty dangerous
maybe this is the “new” dangerous?
Bob Fosse
This is dangerously incorrect.
Kenchi
If one were to look for the silver lining, close to over 99.9% of the total amount of cases will fully recover and have natural immunity, which is immensely better than vaccination.
sakurasuki
More case you have, more people will passed away at their home
https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2021/08/40eaf307e5bf-84-covid-19-patients-died-at-home-in-japan-over-6-months-govt.html
Hideomi Kuze
Recent number of cases in Japan is about 6th in whole world despite still insufficient PCR test.
Japan's medical system are already over breaking point, abandoned patients die at their home one after another.