Tokyo reports 170 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 507

So taiwan China and vietnam have returned to normal, and you attribute this to mass testing.

Only 3 countries did mass testing?

If there are others who did mass testing, why didn't it work?

Where has returned to normal?

Everywhere is stuck between rising and falling case numbers.

Apart from wearing masks, life hear is normal we travel, go to work,go out as we please.

Well you don't look beyond the borders, not your fault that you are unaware that , taiwan, China, vietnam

have returned to normal , even wuhan where this all started tested 10M citizens in one week and the city

was declared virus free and everybody is going about their business without wearing mask as if

nothing ever happened.

Talk of wearing mask, should we assume that everybody testing positive here wasn't wearing

mask as there is there seems to be a very strong believe mask is the panacea to stopping infection ?

Akula

In the meantime active case numbers continue to fall steadily and have halved from their peak with people recovering.

While you are at it, can you tell us the number test now from the pick value?

In the meantime active case numbers continue to fall steadily and have halved from their peak with people recovering.

@drlucifer

Where has returned to normal?

Everywhere is stuck between rising and falling case numbers.

Apart from wearing masks, life hear is normal we travel, go to work,go out as we please.

Yes It would be better.

It is not rocket science, you will figure it out if you work your brains a bit.

There are countries and cities that tested massively and life and economic

activity has returned to normal.

Well, how?

And which countries and cities have returned to normal as a result of testing massively?

I disagree with the need for mass testing but I have a question

If mass testing had been conducted from the beginning do you believe life wou

ld be better now? And if so how?

Yes It would be better.

It is not rocket science, you will figure it out if you work your brains a bit.

There are countries and cities that tested massively and life and economic

activity has returned to normal. What is happening here is like a merry-go-round,

and it is either a vaccine or the virus mutating to a less infectious strain that will stop

it. Almost all the countries with resources and even some without are testing.

I have not heard of any country following the Japan model why because everybody

knows the 101 of containing a pandemic is testing, testing, testing.

Saving the car at the expense of the passengers is clearly a wrong strategy.

500 new cases from 3000 tests done nationally is a very high percentage (16.6%).

You are mixing things, 500 national cases against 3000 tests done only in Tokyo (from which 107 were positive).

Today’s values can be interpreted as follows:

That is not an interpretation, that is just imagining numbers. Tests have well defined parameters for quality that can be used to distinguish how many of the results are true or false. Just randomly assigning some value is not interpreting the results, it is just following invalid assumptions.

500 new cases from 3000 tests done nationally is a very high percentage (16.6%).

@AgentX

No, the mortality rate is currently 4.3%, therefore much nearer to 5% than to 1%, but slowly descending, that at least admitted...lol

@ashley

I disagree with the need for mass testing but I have a question

If mass testing had been conducted from the beginning do you believe life wou

ld be better now? And if so how?

The mortality rate worldwide average is about 5%.

Wrong. It's less than 1%

Monty

Is your Partner serious???

Hyogo has a population from 5 million.

What the hell are 18 cases amoung 5 million!

Man, go to the beach!

Yes, 18 out of 5.5M is really a drop in the bucket, you are not doing yourself justice not looking at the number of test, 400 test out 5.5M is also a drop in the bucket masking the real infection. The real picture will be known when testing per day is in the hundred of thousands. The daily low numbers is likely due to the low number of PCR tests.

Today’s values can be interpreted as follows:

true positive 113..164 really have COVID

false positive 57..6 don’t have COVID although the test detected the disease

false negative 146..15 have undetected COVID and therefore continue spreading disease

true negative 2782..2913 are healthy or had symptoms of another disease

Spannings are from pessimistic to optimistic values of sensitivity and specifity.

@Good luck to you.

Is your Partner serious???

Hyogo has a population from 5 million.

What the hell are 18 cases amoung 5 million!

Man, go to the beach!

@Ashley

Since weeks or months you are whining that you want to be tested.

Like I said already many times before, a test is just for the moment. 1 minute later you can get infected somewhere by someone. So a test without symptoms doesnt make any sense.

But if you really want to get tested, stop finally whining, and invest 20.000 yen and Go and get your test.

I just want a vaccine not to be infected. + I'm tired of this political influences of pandemic the whole world.

The fatality and seriously ill numbers seem to be very low. Therefore, what's the point of testing more people than is needed, such as those with symptoms and part of a cluster?

The problem is also about lack of post-mortem testing. So you can't precisely determine the fatality rate and hence have a good testing strategy.

Damn, was going to take a train ride to the beach in Hyogo tomorrow. But My partner said there are 18 cases there and confiscated my purse. Netflix again, no Suma beach...no tan.

no

Maybe a wry observation, but it appears less people get tested on weekends, with a higher positivity rate. I realise its partly due to testing centres such as hospitals being closed, but perhaps during the week people are also more sensitive to 'symptoms' when faced with the long train ride to work?

Weren’t we pushing these numbers when 5,000 tests were conducted?

Yet here we have 3,000 and the number of sick is the same? That’s a bad thing, no?

How many of these are asymptomatic false positives?

Statistically speaking it is very likely not even one is.

Depending on the methodology sensitivity can be a problem, but specificity is extremely high.

It is a sure sign that panic and irrational policies don't work.  The measured local response to the virus has worked better than the ridiculous response in many other countries.