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Tokyo reports 14,445 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 81,655

49 Comments

The Tokyo metropolitan government on Tuesday reported 14,445 new coronavirus cases, up 2,694 from Monday and up 1,632 from last Tuesday.

By age group, 2,824 cases were in their 20s, 2,549 in their 30s, 2,279 in their 40s and 1,469 in their 50s, while 1,642 were aged between 10 and 19, and 2,079 younger than 10.

The number of infected people hospitalized with severe symptoms in Tokyo is 29, up three from Monday, health officials said. The nationwide figure is 804, up 21 from Monday.

Nationwide, the number of reported cases was 81,655. After Tokyo, the prefectures with the most cases were Osaka (11,881), Kanagawa (7,459), Aichi (5,751), Hyogo (4,944), Saitama (4,565), Fukuoka (4,509), Chiba (3,489), Hokkaido (2,660), Kyoto (1,951), Shizuoka (1,515), Gunma (1,172), Kumamoto (1,092), Hiroshima (1,056), Okayama (1,055), Gifu (1,049), Tochigi (800), Nara (789), Shiga (783), Kagoshima (744), Ibaraki (726), Okinawa (715 plus a further 49 among U.S. military personnel), Mie (607), Nagasaki (584), Nagano (539), Saga (532), Miyagi (496), Wakayama (480), Oita (459), Fukushima (402), Aomori (368), Niigata (351), Ehime (344), Yamanashi (339), Miyazaki (331), Kagawa (324), Yamaguchi (323), Yamagata (284), Kochi (264), Akita (257), Ishikawa (255), Toyama (181), Fukui (180), Tokushima (154) and Tottori (139).

The number of coronavirus-related deaths reported nationwide was 69.

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49 Comments
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What's the point of counting cases among US military personnel in Okinawa? In that case, include bases on the mainland as well, and all non-Japanese for that matter. What are they trying to do here?

Don't know of any other place that counts cases like this. /Diamond Princess

17 ( +23 / -6 )

@impudicus 94% omicron, 5% delta , 1% 20B clade (source: nextstrain)

17 ( +17 / -0 )

Is there information about which corona type is spreading? Still only have coworkers with Delta infections in west Japan. Everyone talking about omicron.

12 ( +17 / -5 )

The first country with an Omicron wave was South Africa, low vaccinations, let alone boosters. Fast peak, low deaths.

Low deaths, but it does have a pretty low average age and relatively few elderly, so we would not expect to see as many as in some other countries.

Saying that, the evidence is that Omicron is not as dangerous as some other strains, but it is more infectious. Older, fatter populations, such as the USA, are likely to be hit much worse than younger and thinner countries.

11 ( +11 / -0 )

Why do they never list the count among the elderly?

11 ( +12 / -1 )

So what happened to the flu, common cold, and viral pneumonia? It has disappeared the last two years.

10 ( +11 / -1 )

Why not report every age group? It’s just weird not to…

10 ( +10 / -0 )

Although she’s been vaccinated and boosted my wife has tested positive.

She now has eight days at home from work-the most time she has taken off in decades.

I can't say I'm happy she has a virus but I can say that this is a welcome rest for her

10 ( +11 / -1 )

Only a roughly 10 percent increase from last week. The rate of growth is clearly slowing now. We may have seen the peak this week.

9 ( +10 / -1 )

@Thomas Goodtime

Where is this peak people speak of?

That's just wishful thinking on their part. Cases in the west, and even in SEA like the Philippines, have peaked and went down weeks ago, because they started the booster almost right after the cases started rising again.

In Japan, they have an arbitrary rule of 6-months, even though studies shows that immunity wanes way earlier especially for Omicron variant.

7 ( +19 / -12 )

So what happened to the flu, common cold, and viral pneumonia? It has disappeared the last two years.

good question it seems it has fallen off the face of this planet. Has anyone noticed when was the last time you had a cold and if so how were we able to find out if it was a cold vs covid

7 ( +8 / -1 )

Maybe you should wait for the results first

The results are already clear overseas where its use is allowed. Japan still needs a study to confirm to the government that it works on Japanese. Apparently they need to test how it reacts when consumed with koshihikari rice or something,

Hahaha can't you just admit you misunderstood the news?

You already thanked the study

6 ( +7 / -1 )

Isn’t it difficult to see a decrease in the speed of increase of case as the number of test is limited ? it is doubtful we would see an increase as sharp as in other country.

japan is trying to limit the number of test to not overload its testing capacity.

if it is mild enough to not create any major issue in hospital so it is fine, but as we are at 50-75% positive rate in Tokyo testing not sure we can yet see if we are passed a peak or not.

6 ( +6 / -0 )

Okinawa has already peaked. Tokyo won't be far behind. If you believe Tokyo might enter a prolonged wave that would defy this model, please give an explanation using science.

I don't understand : Okinawa's case was unique because american bases.

But now, you apply the pattern to Tokyo ?

5 ( +9 / -4 )

Cases in the west, and even in SEA like the Philippines, have peaked and went down weeks ago, because they started the booster almost right after the cases started rising again.

Omicron waves started earlier in the West so they peaked earlier.

4 ( +15 / -11 )

The first country with an Omicron wave was South Africa, low vaccinations, let alone boosters. Fast peak, low deaths.

You're the first when it comes to the "great specificities" of the Japan against western ones regarding this pandemic.

But no nuance when it come to compare to South Africa ?

No ? Nothing ?

4 ( +11 / -7 )

Maybe you should wait for the results first

The results are already clear overseas where its use is allowed. Japan still needs a study to confirm to the government that it works on Japanese. Apparently they need to test how it reacts when consumed with koshihikari rice or something,

3 ( +7 / -4 )

Only a roughly 10 percent increase from last week. The rate of growth is clearly slowing now. We may have seen the peak this week.

It's clear from the reproduction number graph in toyokeizai, it has been going down since peak of above 5 around 1/10 to around 1.5 today

2 ( +5 / -3 )

It is hard to speak with confidence without more details. What this article fails to mention:

More than half of Tokyo's hospital beds set aside for COVID-19 patients were occupied on Tuesday, a level that officials have previously flagged as a criterion for requesting a state of emergency.

The capital and most of Japan are now under curbs to contain record coronavirus cases driven by the contagious Omicron variant.

Tokyo has set aside almost 7,000 hospital beds for COVID patients, and admissions have risen sharply this month, reaching 50.7% on Tuesday. New infections numbered 14,445.

> Governor Yuriko Koike had said 50% bed usage would be a threshold for requesting an emergency declaration from the central government.

But last week she told reporters such a request would not be automatic, and would also take into consideration the opinions of health experts and the number of serious cases.

Tokyo COVID hospitalisations mount, cross closely watched 50% threshold

https://www.yahoo.com/news/tokyo-covid-19-hospital-bed-075642506.html

2 ( +5 / -3 )

Japan still needs a study to confirm to the government that it works on Japanese. 

Very difficult to conduct clinical trials on COVID patients using ivermectin (or hydrochloroquine) anywhere in the world. The vast majority of international ethics boards shoot it down right away because there are proven treatments currently available.

2 ( +6 / -4 )

Hahaha can't you just admit you misunderstood the news?

You already thanked the study

I was being gracious in advance ;-)

2 ( +4 / -2 )

So because a contained area with limited amounts of people that largely travel in cars peaked for the moment we should assume the rest of Japan is imminent? I'd wager there are more people on the trains during rush hour in Tokyo than have ever lived in all of Okinawa.

That's a fair point to make. And I appreciate you providing more than just a downvote as a response - discussion is how we learn, folks. I do think Okinawa still serves as the best model we have though so I would expect Tokyo to as least closely follow Okinawa for cultural reasons. I believe most clusters in Tokyo have been identified in offices, gyms, shrines, and bars which would align closely with an Okinawan model. We'll see - but I personally am hopeful.

This country fails to test anywhere near the required amount to produce legitimate data for extrapolation. 

I respectfully disagree with you on this. I think testing here does exactly what it's supposed to - it lets symptomatic people know if they have Covid-19 or not. As testing cannot identify omicron patients in 66% of cases, it's better to look at hospitalized patients and serious cases for data. The idea that asymptomatic people are going to repeatedly submit themselves to testing just isn't feasible.

1 ( +3 / -2 )

Suffice to say, then, that the numbers in Japan seem jolly good relative to ours here in the UK.

0 ( +4 / -4 )

Wishing her a speedy recovery @kurisupisu 7:53pm and all the best for you & yours, mate.

kurisupisuToday  07:53 pm JST

Although she’s been vaccinated and boosted my wife has tested positive. 

She now has eight days at home from work-the most time she has taken off in decades. 

I can't say I'm happy she has a virus but I can say that this is a welcome rest for her

0 ( +4 / -4 )

.“Death rates are so high in the States — eye-wateringly high,” said Devi Sridhar, head of the global public health program at the University of Edinburgh in Scotland,

Very unfortunate.

To get an idea one just has to take a quick look at the daily deaths graph in worldometer.

At present, the graph shows that death rate for current wave is higher than in all the previous waves except one..so far.

Let's hope it doesn't get worse.

0 ( +2 / -2 )

ianToday  06:02 pm JST

Only a roughly 10 percent increase from last week. The rate of growth is clearly slowing now. We may have seen the peak this week.

It's clear from the reproduction number graph in toyokeizai, it has been going down since peak of above 5 around 1/10 to around 1.5 today

Yes, that's good news. Some people will still get sick of course, but fewer and fewer.

And thanks to the Kowa study, once the government pulls its collective finger out and starts actively promoting IVM instead of passively allowing it to be used, illness from the virus should fall away sharply as long as symptoms are picked up early.

-1 ( +2 / -3 )

I already feel better. Now I get the rest of the week and next off but have nothing to do and can't in good conscience go out.

-4 ( +5 / -9 )

and we still managed to reach over 81,000 daily cases last week which was actually higher than the UK on a few days.

Japan's population is practically double that of the UK.

-5 ( +3 / -8 )

Still too high. Where is this peak people speak of? 

Okinawa peaked last week and case numbers are now decreasing.*

*https://ryukyushimpo.jp/news/entry-1463024.html

Tokyo won't be far behind.

-7 ( +12 / -19 )

People have said the peak is 'soon' far too often on this board. They're wrong but never admit to being so.

Okinawa has already peaked. Tokyo won't be far behind. If you believe Tokyo might enter a prolonged wave that would defy this model, please give an explanation using science.

-7 ( +9 / -16 )

Justasking:

FFS Fact-check

The first country with an Omicron wave was South Africa, low vaccinations, let alone boosters. Fast peak, low deaths.

In Japan the peak is soon and hospitalized numbers will fall shortly after.

Impudicus

The dominant strain is Omicron as we have seen in other countries.

-8 ( +13 / -21 )

You too, please. 

I have. Okinawa is my model for Tokyo. What is your model? As a scientist, I would like to know.

-8 ( +4 / -12 )

I don't understand : Okinawa's case was unique because american bases.

What? American bases? Where did I say that?

-10 ( +1 / -11 )

Thomas Goodtime

Ill say it again, leak is soon, days not weeks .

All the theories you had about a doomsday scenario and still continue

-12 ( +10 / -22 )

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