Typhoon nears Japan; heavy weekend rain expected in Tokyo

What number is this typhoon?

My son's birthday is tomorrow. We were going to have a party for him at the grandparents. I hope this typhoon isn't big enough to spoil these plans.

No. 14, 3RENSHO.

We had 4 hurricane, this year on the Texas coast

@Aly

Same here.

BBQ was planned for the weekend, but it is canceled.

But the BBQ was planned in a park, so if your son's birthday party is inside your Grandparents home, it should be OK.

Good luck!

It has been raining non-Stop in Tokyo since Thursday morning, and here I thought the typhoon is already with us. So you mean, the real one is still on it's way?

So you mean, the real one is still on it's way?

Nope. Only the fake one.

@Aly

Same here.

BBQ was planned for the weekend, but it is canceled.

Sorry to hear that man. BBQs are wonderful events. BTW, since you can't have a BBQ, may I recommend the Great American BBQ series on Netflix? Watching it now and it is great. You can also learn some great tips for the next one. As a BBQ lover myself, I strongly recommend it.

But the BBQ was planned in a park, so if your son's birthday party is inside your Grandparents home, it should be OK.

It is. Its just that the drive to the GPs is about an hour long and there is no way of telling how bad the typhoon is going to be.

Good luck!

Thanks man! You too! Hope you're not too bummed out over the BBQ and hope you enjoy the Netflix series.

The article needs to mention winds, it is going to be windy. Approx 50m/s gusts and sustained winds of 35m/s. If it is your first tropical cyclone, read up on them and be ready. Stay safe.

...always on the weekend. Any meteorology experts out there care to explain?

Typhoon is moving further southward than first forecasted, toward Hachijojima.

Expect strong winds only along coastal areas, and rain in lands. Sunday will be a perfect day as the Typhoon will move east.

Events in Sunday should not be cancelled.

From an ex weather forecaster

@ListenTheTruth

50m/s is near the center, 35m/s too

you will not see such strong winds unless you are in Hachijojima or nearby

...always on the weekend. Any meteorology experts out there care to explain?

I am sure it's biased, but I have the same feeling it's always on weekends...

As long as there are no strong winds.

There are strong winds

http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/indexe.html

You people living near rivers better get ready for flooding, evacuate to school gyms/high ground while you can.

Predicted tracking of a tropical cyclone is never 100%, it is a predicted track. QED. It could well bring those winds to the Kanto region.

http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/typh/201424.html

The rain started more than 2 days ago. Oh well, exercise indoors again.

Yes, as others have posted, be aware of what typhoons are if you don’t know, and be sure to tie, put away, things that can blow away. Have a typhoon party weekend.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

TC Warning Graphic

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1620.gif

ListenTheTruthToday 11:36 am JST

Predicted tracking of a tropical cyclone is never 100%, it is a predicted track. QED. It could well bring those winds to the Kanto region.

http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/typh/201424.html

Yes. I know well as I did weather forecast for seven years.  Those winds are typically the max expected, and the closer from the center we are, the higher the possibility. For this typhoon, models are now convergent and the expected track is too far away from the Kanto area to have such winds.

Note that JMA tend to overforecast for the safety of everyone. Of course, a prediction is not 100% accurate and for a few meteorological events, the observed data will be worst than the forecast. But for over 95% of meteorological events when we expect bad weather, JMA overforecast for safety reasons, and to avoid taking any responsibilities. It is a fact. If you study carefully the data and compare observation with forecast data in the case of tropical cyclones, you will see an overforecast. Last month typhoon was expected to bring up to 200-300mm of rain in Kanto, but we saw a max of 30-50mm. The official forecast was changed very late, well after the models were consistent and show it won’t be any problem.

Every tropical cyclone has its own characteristics. Last year in Chiba, typhoon 15 brought destructive winds, but it was near the center

Just been swimming in the Japanese Sea in Kinki. Water is warm but big waves. I swam in the sheltered cove.

heavy rain is like swimming, if you don’t live near a river that floods.

but 120km wind...stay inside! That’s an order. Most people who drive on highways drive about 110-120kph. Can you imagine hitting a brick wall at that speed?.