Weather agency raises chance of El Nino emerging in winter

They've been telling us this since summer. How accurate is their premonition?

It's intriguing that Japan's weather bureau is quick to give these predictions about El Nino, but it will never mention the link between extreme weather events and human induced climate change.

titaniumdi0xideNOV. 11, 2014 - 07:29AM JST They've been telling us this since summer. How accurate is their premonition?

The Global Warming crowd will believe.

It's intriguing that Japan's weather bureau is quick to give these predictions about El Nino, but it will never mention the link between extreme weather events and human induced climate change.

Is their indisputable proof of "human induced climate change". Hypothetical theorizing would be more accurate.

Forecasters' crystal balls?

Does that mean more deeper snow in the mountains in Nagano, Gunma, Niigata and Niseko?

@garethboyle my question exactly before I read down the bottom to see yours - I think it means yes if anyone can enlighten us - just around the corner now !

does that mean more deeper snow in the mountains in Nagano, Gunma, Niigata and Niseko?

Is this the same agency that said it will be a terrible rainy season because of El Nino, then there won't be an El Nino, followed by how bad the summer will be because of El Nino, then saying there would be no El Nino a week later?

but it will never mention the link between extreme weather events and human induced climate change

Huh, I've seen JMA mention this frequently. What are you reading that this is ignored? It's not necessary to mention it every time the weather is discussed.

so what? the article is quite bad... whats the consequences?

El Nino was predicted to make a wet and mild summer. It was precisely that. Rain on many weekends and not very many days to go enjoy the beach. Before you knew it, it was already moving on to winter. It did not get as hot as the last 3 years i have spent here, so i think they were pretty spot on.

I can hope that this will mean more snow in Winter, but then, it mentions drought in Asia.

I've read elsewhere the opposite, the logic being that, while an El Nino is heralded by a warming along the equator, and though that did occur this year, is was accompanied by a general warming in the entire north Pacific. Thus, while equatorial ocean temperatures do indicate an El Nino, atmospheric conditions will not be so affected as the temperature differences are now not so great.

Global warming? Anthropological? Heck, I'm not a scientist. In the meantime, we've got lots of coal to burn before 2016!

I really do hope that this year is in Nino one because if anybody knows what's happening in California they really really need the rain!!!

Ah, the circle of life. Yes, the climate changes. The same alarmists that were clamoring about the impending ice age in the '70s are alarming about the warming that has paused for eighteen years. Wolf! Wolf! Wolf! No, Bear! Bear! Bear!

The same alarmists that were clamoring about the impending ice age in the '70s are alarming about the warming that has paused for eighteen years.

If they were the "same alarmists," they would be in their 80s now. No, these are completely different alarmists who simply point out some inconvenient facts such as that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, that it continues to increase exponentially due to human factors, and that the results of global warming are already apparent. Now, if you had a cat, hamster, goldfish and turtle and wondered out loud which was clawing at the sofa, some would look at you a bit askance. That is what you sound like.

'Laguna' you beat me to it. And, yes, I am old enough to have lived through the ice age fears of the 70's so I CLEARLY remember it and that's why I call BS on the current fear mongering for profit. Al Gore can go forth an multiply with a iceberg if he really believes the crap he's peddling. Just look at his net worth before, during and after he started this 'global warming sales pitch'. Hmmm, his net worth has increased?!? By doing what? Oh that's right, selling fear and green energy and jacking up everyone's cost of living while increasing his net worth.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/12/al-gores-net-worth-green-energy_n_1961299.html

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/03/business/energy-environment/03gore.html?_r=0

Profiting from peoples fears in the name of saving lives (green energy) is no different than profiting from war on the lives of others to fight with the weaponry you sell for profit. Would be even worse if you created the mass fear in order to sell your product. So what happened to that 70's ice age fear?

Sure it will a el Nino winter but just try telling that to Canada's western provinces that are dealing with snow already and in Vancouver I heard it was -2c yesterday night. That's not normal and would be far from anything dubbed as 'el Nino'. Mind you, go back back about 35 to 70 years and that cold weather apparently would have been normal at this time of the year. Are we seeing a pattern of returning to colder weather forming. Remember that scientists back in the 70's claimed we were headed for a mini ice age because of the cooling trend since the end of WWII yet the world was rebuilding and CO2 levels were climbing because of that massive rebuilding.

FYI, volcanoes of recent have been sending TONNES of 'green house gases' up into the atmosphere and yet no one looks at that as a cause of climate change. Are we now going to blame humankind for the volcanoes and earthquakes. YOU BETTER BELIEVE IT!!! They will figure out a way to explain it and you bleating sheep will buy it hook, line and sinker!!!