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China to focus on economic recovery; Taiwan emergency unlikely in 2023

17 Comments
By Maya Kaneko

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17 Comments
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Imitating Russia's mistake in 2022 would be one China's greatest mistakes should it consider making a move on Taiwan. Considering how Russia's economy plummeted from its actions, we can bet that China will suffer greatly if it does something stupid. Just rebuild your economy and prosper responsibly, China. The last thing the world needs is another destabilizing action in this side of the world.

5 ( +5 / -0 )

50% of Taiwanese want independence, 50% want reunification. Difficult.

but Taiwan has semiconductors and the worlds biggest bully wants its grubby hands on them.

-3 ( +2 / -5 )

The expert said the same about Russia. Keep your guard up Japan and Taiwan.

4 ( +5 / -1 )

Hard landing for the zero covid fan club too. I hope they continue their efforts soon

1 ( +2 / -1 )

Anyone with an iota of historical knowledge of China knows the government can snuff out large demonstrations almost instantly.

These new protests won't get too far.

Oh wait... possibilities of

social instability if public opposition to the Xi leadership escalates after rare nationwide protests against the zero-COVID policy in late 2022 led to what appeared to be concessions by the government.

Never listen to an armchair expert.

0 ( +3 / -3 )

China is expected to focus on economic recovery in 2023 following its shift to living with COVID-19 after relaxing its draconian restrictions in the face of public frustration, with any attempt to invade Taiwan seen as unlikely in the near term.

While 1/3 of the world goes into recession.

Well done China--the only country that had positive growth throughout the Covid crisis.

-4 ( +1 / -5 )

the spread of fake news,

and then this came up in the thread:

50% of Taiwanese want independence, 50% want reunification. .

Reasonable people dismiss most fake news, extreme anti-west media have made reasonable people more aware of how to sift through 'alternative facts', misinformation and flat-out BS, look at George Santos, and be grateful in most parts of the 'west' there is a free for-profit press that exposed him and the Republican Party, yet still the accelerationists on the extreme right defend big lies, claiming they have the right to mislead and distort.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Well done China--the only country that had positive growth throughout the Covid crisis.

Well done China, that screwed the pouch 2.5 years ago!

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Cool...can LDP then stop wasting our taxes on more weapons and spend it on those J taxpayers who need it most?

What do the fanboyz think? Last month we had many ideas!

the harder they come, the harder they.,.

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Okinawa's local newspaper, The Okinawa Times, conducted a survey with municipality heads over a possible Taiwan contingency, in which about 95% answered that the danger of the Taiwan invasion by China was imminent. 

 At the same time, about 80%, regardless of their political background, said more efforts toward diplomacy and dialog should be in need for the peaceful solution of the issue, thus, to avoid any contingency.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

50% of Taiwanese want independence, 50% want reunification. Difficult.

Your numbers are a long way from reality. The highest group traditionally has been to maintain the current status quo, which is a functioning independence without a declaration of independence. This is being displaced by those wanting Taiwan to declare independence at some point in the future. Those wanting to unify with the mainland is growing less and is down to about 5%. Less people identify as Chinese as more identify as Taiwanese. The more generations growing up independent, the less want to be ruled from China. This situation is unlikely to ever change in China's favor.

China is right to concentrate on its economy in 2023. The best thing it can do is redirect funds from its arms buildup to domestic needs for its citizens. Stabilizing fragile area's like the property market and employment for the many country folk living in the cities and sending cash home to their families.

Many nations have begun shifting business away from China to ensure a varied supply chain, meaning China must work harder to secure foreign investment.

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Rodney

50% of Taiwanese want independence, 50% want reunification. Difficult

Huh? Only 12 percent want unification, according to TPOF

poll this past summer. So, no, not so " difficult. "

4 ( +4 / -0 )

The Chinese economy was already slowing due to the stringent antivirus measures, with dampened consumption, disrupted supply chains and a relatively high youth unemployment rate,

Also a lot of western businesses are pulling their manufacturing out China. Their problems are just beginning.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

painkillerToday  02:17 pm JST

China is expected to focus on economic recovery in 2023 following its shift to living with COVID-19 after relaxing its draconian restrictions in the face of public frustration, with any attempt to invade Taiwan seen as unlikely in the near term.

While 1/3 of the world goes into recession.

You can bet your dim sum that if 1/3 of the world goes into recession, so will China.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

In other words China is broke Internally Covid and the economy. With all of the large corporations moving out it will be a difficult road.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

An Chinese invasion in Taiwan, would be a Black Swan event in the Financial Markets, just something that some may want to see happen in order to "Spice" things up... never under-estimate the "impossible".

0 ( +0 / -0 )

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