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The research results show that measures to deal with climate change based on past experience will be insufficient and that there is a need for even further reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and greater international support and cooperation.

11 Comments

Taichi Sano, a doctoral candidate in the engineering graduate school at the University of Tokyo. He is a member of a group of researchers who forecast that failure to address global warming could result in a third of the world’s population facing temperatures exceeding 52 degrees and daily rainfall levels of 300 millimeters by the end of this century.

© Asahi Shimbun

©2022 GPlusMedia Inc.

11 Comments
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I bet this is a 'model'.

Just like covid 'models', of which we have seen the accuracy... or lack thereof...

3 ( +8 / -5 )

Even if all CO2 production was stopped today it would take thousands of years for the CO2 levels to return to those of the pre-industrial age. Cutting emissions will help but the the deforrestation will continue. Sadly, the world as we know it is going to change drammatically over the next few centuries. The two main problems are higher sea levels and the alkalinity oceans. Up to a third of all rice producing areas will become salty and unable to sustain crops. The corals will die from the alkalinity destroying habitats for 30% of the world's fishes and marine life. The warmer seas are seeing fish leave the equator for cooler waters and putting pressure on other species. Instead of focussing on cutting emissions governments should be focussing on how people will survive the next few centuries when the full effects of the massive amounts of CO2 in the atmosphere come into play.

-1 ( +5 / -6 )

hmm, mm. when the al gore types stop hyping the false narrative and stop buying mega mansions ( which have mega yachts and private jets ) on the very coastlines which were supposed to see rising sea levels, I'll start listening.

1 ( +6 / -5 )

I bet this is a 'model'.

Just like covid 'models', of which we have seen the accuracy... or lack thereof...

You mean that disease that has infected billions and killed millions? Yes, clearly we would have been better off just dismissing warnings from infectious disease specialists when that was first detected since whatever model they were using to estimate how dangerous it was couldn’t tell us with precise accuracy the exact moment at which all 7 billion people on Earth would be affected by it.

-3 ( +3 / -6 )

I bet this is a 'model'.

Just like covid 'models', of which we have seen the accuracy... or lack thereof...

What other tool do you think would allow for the objective prediciton of conditions in the future? crystal ball visualization?

Models are a very useful tool because their methods are published and can be judged objectively by mathematical means that allow other professionals and experts to see how reliable they are or if any of the conclusions of the study are not justified.

Just saying you don't like models have no merit, can you identify any problem with their methods? do you have any data that contradict their conclusions?

hmm, mm. when the al gore types stop hyping the false narrative and stop buying mega mansions ( which have mega yachts and private jets ) on the very coastlines which were supposed to see rising sea levels, I'll start listening.

By conditioning your actions to the worst possible examples you can find you lose any value of the argument. Do you also think you should only exercise and eat healthy only if the people with the worst possible life style do it?

0 ( +3 / -3 )

I bet this is a 'model'.

Just like covid 'models', of which we have seen the accuracy... or lack thereof...

What other tool do you think would allow for the objective prediciton of conditions in the future? crystal ball visualization?

Indeed, but when these "objective predictions" are consistently spectacularly wrong, best we start ignoring them...

-4 ( +2 / -6 )

Indeed, but when these "objective predictions" are consistently spectacularly wrong, best we start ignoring them...

Its a huge leap to say that models of climate change are “consistently spectacularly wrong” given that most of the things they have been predicting - increased temperatures, rising sea levels, increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events, etc - are actually happening more or less as predicted.

4 ( +4 / -0 )

Disillusioned

is absolutely right, the train has left te station years ago, warming will be above 4 to 5 degrees, we cannot stop this anymore, however, we can do a lot to mitigate and drag it out as long as possible, but it's coming, no questions about it, the only ones not getting it are politicians, economists and Joe public

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Indeed, but when these "objective predictions" are consistently spectacularly wrong, best we start ignoring them..

What objective predictions substantiated by data and models have been "spectacularly wrong"? and specially what method have been more precise to predict the course of the changes than what is the standard of scientific methods?

People with a systematic antiscientific bias always claim things go wrong, only to become silent when asked exactly when, or using as arguments declarations made by people that are not experts as if it was something representative of the scientific consensus. They are not.

2 ( +3 / -1 )

No link to the article? this seems like a bit of a stretch. It's way higher than other climate model projections...

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Not only has 'climate change' exceeded worst case models at this time, the RATE of change (time of change) is accelerating and building on itself year on year. Estimates that say "by 2050", "by 2100" are simply fool's projections and "by 2030" much more likely given that Nuclear War driven by worldwide famine does not intercede and make discussion moot. All 'hopeful' projections beyond 2030 will be based on blind optimism and/or Corporate lies. For the first time in Human history, it's a good time to already be 'old', particularly if one lives in the Northern Hemisphere which seems to have the preponderance of psychopathic Human mentalities willing to destroy the Human World rather than give up any percentage of their blind Greed. "What a piece of work is [Man]..."

0 ( +0 / -0 )

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