Iran set for presidential showdown between heavyweights Larijani, Raisi


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The thing is that the Iranian public opinion isn't looking for a candidate who is going to offer anything more to the US, or accept anything less than the US actually getting in full compliance with the JCPOA for the first time, and that's not something that anyone sees Biden even contemplating, so I don't see much chance of Larijani winning. And while Raisi might be able to capitalize on the failure of the JCPOA, and his military service, he loses a lot with his social and economic conservatism.

Ahmadinejad's track record of strength on foreign policy, progressive on social policy, liberal on economic policy, and an outsider to the system/man of the people is a pretty close fit, and his energy might make the desire for someone younger a non issue.

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Favorability of Iranian Political Figures

As the next Iranian presidential election approaches, the public’s positive views of some political figures are trending upward. Foreign Minister Zarif is viewed favorably by three in five (up in the last four months). Ghalibaf, a past mayor of Tehran with a reputation as a pragmatic conservative and the current speaker of the Majlis, is viewed favorably by two in three (also up in the last four months). Raisi, the conservative head of the Judiciary who is seen as spearheading current anti-corruption campaigns that have led to the arrest and conviction of prominent Iranian figures including the brother of President Rouhani, has a stable three in four viewing him favorably. Rouhani, the current president who cannot run again, is viewed favorably by only about one-third of Iranians.

Iran's June 2021 Presidential Election

A slight majority say they definitely will vote in the next Presidential election and a fifth say they might vote. Seven in ten see the country’s economic conditions as the next president’s most important challenge. Over three in five say the next president should be someone who is currently critical of President Rouhani’s policies, and three in five think Iran’s next president should mostly stand up for Iran’s rights rather than focusing on negotiations.

From the Center For International and Security Studies At Maryland

Note that the survey was conducted before Biden's reluctance to comply with the terms of the JCPOA became clear. And the violence by Israel is also going to shift the numbers about foreign policy stances more towards Ahmadinejad's position.

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Sick of hearing Israel is the worlds biggest Middle eastern democracy. How many people in Iran vote in Iran?

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GoodlucktoyouToday  08:42 am JST

Sick of hearing Israel is the worlds biggest Middle eastern democracy. How many people in Iran vote in Iran?

To paraphrase a Dr. Seuss story, in Iranian elections you choose between Islamic Fanatic Number One or Islamic Fanatic Number Two. And for everything else, green tickets mean 'yes' and red tickets mean 'no'. Red tickets are thrown into the trash.

Guess who the winners are. Not the Iranian people.

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Starpunk.... you obviously know very little about Iranian politics. What you do "know" comes from a very biased press.

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