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Top U.S. commander fears Chinese invasion of Taiwan by 2027

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"I worry that they're (China) accelerating their ambitions to supplant the United States and our leadership role in the rules-based international order... by 2050," said Washington's top military officer in Asia-Pacific, Admiral Philip Davidson.

Jeez, Admiral Obvious, ya think? Though it is a bit hard to swallow an American military officer claiming the US cares about “the rules-based international order” given the US does what it wants when it wants.

-5 ( +15 / -20 )

Moron, China will own the defence contractors soon enough without having fired a shot.

-22 ( +1 / -23 )

Translation:

Lockheed has some billion dollar tin cans it wants to sell to Taiwan.

-17 ( +7 / -24 )

They are definitely inching toward the line to see if they can push aside the friends of Democracy and absorb Taiwan.

Better show them a firm line.

15 ( +18 / -3 )

They should recognize Taiwan as an independent country and place OFFICIAL military bases there like they have in Japan and SK.

It sucks to have to do that, but that is really the only way to deter China. Otherwise we are waiting for the inevitable.

14 ( +17 / -3 )

> Translation:

Lockheed has some billion dollar tin cans it wants to sell to Taiwan.

Does your country even have an aerospace industry? How about elections?

-8 ( +6 / -14 )

Sounds like a whole lot of fear mongering to me. What opportunity for war has a US Military Commander and the Military Industrial Complex not like?

-12 ( +4 / -16 )

"Let her (China) sleep, for when she wakes she will shake the world." . . . Napoleon

Well, she's awake now. Brace yourselves. Is she steamroller without brakes or a steamroller with brakes? It's not just Taiwan being threatened by invasion, but Guam, Okinawa and who knows where else.

8 ( +13 / -5 )

Usually a country stays with the same geopolitical interests, no matters what political regime it has. In the case of China that would be the old extent of the Qing empire, so they need to regain direct control or influence by client State over Taiwan, Korea, Mongolia, Vietnam and the rest of South East Asia. You have to add to that the new interest in the overseas (South China Sea, Philippines) and the places with important chinese population (Singapore). This go without talking about a wider sphere of influence (Central Asia, Africa). Traditionnaly China had control over the Amur watershed (in a larger definition of Manchuria) conquered by Russia during the XVII-XVIII centuries but for now Russia is not their foe.

-1 ( +4 / -5 )

Wise and sobering words from the General. In my opinion, Taiwan should be inviting the US to build two joint bases in their nation - one up north in Taipei, and one on the west coast. US Aircraft Carriers should have more presence around the waters of Taiwan. With the joint US-Taiwan bases, the Commies will think twice about trying to stage an all out assault on Taiwan.

The free world, led by the US and Japan, should also be recognizing Taiwan as an independent nation.

10 ( +14 / -4 )

Taiwan needs to decide if they are willing to really fight and die to be separate from the CCP-Chinese or not.

They don't seem to really believe that they are Afghanistan before the Russians invade

or Ukraine before the Russians invade

or Kuwait before Iraq invaded

China will only get stronger, so it would be better for Taiwan to align with Asian democracies and build a mutual-defense group with Japan, South Korea, India and Australia ASAP. Then they should protect their sea claims together, aggressively.

Hopefully, other countries will want to join that pack too, since the option is China, North Korea, Russia, Vietnam and Myanmar. All clearly high in the human rights defender team.

If China isn't stopped in Hong Kong, they will become more brazen, and move faster. Taiwan is the next target. All the air and sea runs at Taiwan show they are seeking an optimal method of attack.

Some alternate reading: https://warontherocks.com/2021/03/can-the-united-states-prevent-a-war-over-taiwan/

9 ( +13 / -4 )

Its not surprising the Admiral said this - after having watched as the Trump administration did nothing but sat on its hands as the CCP completed its takeover of Hong Kong. I guess Trump couldn't afford to insult his business partners - they may charge him more for those Chinese-made Trump Collection shirts and ties...

Under Biden, we're now seeing a much more effective response to Chinese hegemony....the "Quad" (US, Australia, India, Japan) will be given more emphasis, and we're seeing the results of re-energized European ties - Britain and France are sending warships to the Pacific and South China Sea.

I'd anticipate China would only try to invade Taiwan if some major domestic scandal or failure occurs that the CCP feels it must divert and deflect the populace from.

But bottom-line - we're in a much better place today to confront China (and Russia) than we were before Jan 20th...

11 ( +13 / -2 )

Nah, before 2024.

6 ( +9 / -3 )

Taiwan may have hoped its successful experiment with democracy would inspire similar political shifts in China, but that is clearly not the case, as China over the past several years has reverted to authoritarian, one-man rule. And for the same reason, a military solution, if it happens, will be instrumented by Xi Jinping. Ironically perhaps, the regime under Xi has hugely benefitted from the relative stability in east Asia, and he must certainly realize this. Since Taiwan is no real threat to China, Xi will need a powerful justification to change the status quo. And if China's military mobilizes for an invasion, Taiwan (and the US) will certainly know far enough in advance to prepare for it.

9 ( +9 / -0 )

Hong Kong is much more a British responsibility than a US one. But there really isn't anything that any other country can do. It is Chinese land. It is part of China. Only the people of Hong Kong could do anything and while many were willing to make huge sacrifices, not enough were to embarrass the CCP-Chinese into returning the power as agreed in the Chinese-British agreement made decades ago.

I fear the same will happen in Taiwan. It is much easier to lose power and want things returned to get people to stand up, but by that point there will be millions of Chinese soldiers in Taiwan preventing any uprising and controlling any left over weapons there. If over 80% of Taiwanese won't fight, to the death, then they will lose their island. It will become like Tibet and Hong Kong. They will be surveilled like the Uyghurs. Count on it.

7 ( +9 / -2 )

An ambitious Chinese government has been bad for everyone.

Accelerating that ambition is even worse.

The US should take a side here and stop expecting China to change its abusive actions.

10 ( +10 / -0 )

Taiwan better be prepared to defend itself. I don't see the US or any of these other minor players interfering if China does decide to invade. Seems farfetched but so did genocide and the current HK situation just a few short years ago. At least the US military is gearing up by weeding out extremism and buying woman friendly equipment and deciding on appropriate hairstyles etc for female service members. and being trans inclusive. On the outside chance that they do step up for Taiwan, China will have no chance. Ol' Joe could even nuke the Chinese.

-8 ( +1 / -9 )

It would have been sooner but their virus never got naturalized and that screwed up their original timeline of quarantining the country before they "rescued" it...

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Its time to stop the global threat. As China follows its expansion policy which is clearly seen as it shares its boundaries with 14 nations and is having disputes with all of them. As China always looks upon encroaching and extending its boundaries and keeps an eye on nations with high minerals and natural resources and the world is aware about its eye on Taiwan. US commander told about 6 years but I think it won’t take more than 2-3 years to acquire Taiwan as it is investing high in its military and asked its military to be ready for the impact.

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Sometimes expressing your fears can bring on the very thing that you are afraid of. Showing your fear can be seen as a sign of weakness, and to some even an invitation to attack.

The US media for example ran panic and scare stories of possible Japanese attacks on mainland USA from as early as the 1920s onwards. Almost as if they felt hypnotized, where dreams gradually turned into the nightmare of World War 2.

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Cool-looking ship, by the way.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Advice to Taiwan:

Si vis pacem, para bellum - "If you want peace, prepare for war"

3 ( +3 / -0 )

The US, the QUAD, and the free world need to protect Taiwan at all cost. In case China successfully invaded Taiwan or damaged its semiconductor plants, Biden Government's epic “Made in the Free World” project would surely be vulnerable.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Top U.S. commander fears Chinese invasion of Taiwan by 2027

Quite a realistic chance if the current government is in power by them. Clearly the swamp is determined to return to profitable subservience to CCP China and warmongering in the Middle East. I have friends in Taiwan and they are worried.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

theFu

Taiwan needs to decide if they are willing to really fight and die to be separate from the CCP-Chinese or not.

They don't seem to really believe that they are Afghanistan before the Russians invade

or Ukraine before the Russians invade

or Kuwait before Iraq invaded

China will only get stronger, so it would be better for Taiwan to align with Asian democracies and build a mutual-defense group with Japan, South Korea, India and Australia ASAP. Then they should protect their sea claims together, aggressively.

Taiwan alone does not have a chance, and among the others, Japan is the only one with a serious navy, but unwilling to use it. So once CCP China blockades Taiwan (which is more likely than a direct invasion), it will depend on the US to break that. But I do not see how the newly returned establishment swamp is willing to do that, seeing how indebted they are to the CCP.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

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