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© 2021 AFPJohnson urges caution as UK virus cases fall for seven days
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© 2021 AFP
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hmmm1
100,000?
u_s__reamer
A conundrum that will soon clear when more data and evidence come; considering the miserable record of Johnson's past performance, "Ping" may be followed by "pong".
Jimizo
Johnson has obviously been advised to act like a grown up. The stupidity of last year when he ended up in hospital with Covid won’t wash now.
He’s seeing his lead in the polls drop.
itsonlyrocknroll
Epidemiology is data driven modeling. dependent on a, frankly an interpretation, to a number of related causes, risks and factors.
That is before the political element gets it teeth into outcomes.
Johnson is a degenerate political gambler, with a 70% plus vaccine roil out appears to have provided a number of political wins.
However appearances can be deceptive. And Johnson is no a stranger to the art of deception.
kurisupisu
The panic is over then?
Doc
Well, confounding dimwits isn’t so difficult. It never fails.
englisc aspyrgend
Oh dear, media picking a worst case scenario to report again.
There was in the modelling this was drawn from a range of possible outcomes, this was the outcome in the worst case scenario. So I very much doubt anyone is “confounded”.
The worst case scenario was based on inter alia a return to face to face contacts at the same level as pre pandemic which is average 10 contacts per day. The evidence is showing there has not been an increase to that level, people are on the whole being sensible and the figures show a contact level of 4 per day.
Bear also in mind that the figures of cases are not yet showing the impact of opening up, so there remains a possibility they might rise, or they might not to any significant extent.