A Johnson comments

Posted in: Ichiran releases its first-ever instant ramen See in context

Just want to say I want this bad and...

Unfortunately it's linked to an increased risk of heart disease, diabetes, strokes, obesity and other disorders

this is simply not true. Do some research.

-2 ( +0 / -2 )

Posted in: Fewer people to get Pfizer vaccine in Japan due to syringe shortage See in context

@TokyoJoe

*commencing vaccinations of around 36 million people aged 65 and older from April.*

I would like to see a full list of developed nations to see their vaccination numbers to date. Would Japan be bottom?. They move glacierly slow.

Heres the list - bottom of the page

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/

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Posted in: Japan set to extend state of emergency for up to another month See in context

I’m curious to know how much amplification is used in the PCR test in Japan. Is this the only way “cases” are being corroborated. If so then until a chest X-ray is taken they are still only suspected cases.

The number of cycles is completely irrelevant, there are many other kinds of fail-safes to make sure a positive report is a true positive, and since the purpose is to detect cases of infection then the X-ray is also completely unnecessary.

...

no this absolutely relevant. A COVID case is defined by a positive PCR test. As stupid as this is, most of the world has done so, even at 35-40 cycles. There are false positives for PCR, but not infection.

-2 ( +4 / -6 )

Posted in: 14-year-old boy hit and killed by truck on street crossing See in context

Tragic, we can only hope this is an Isekai dream come true. がんばて

-4 ( +0 / -4 )

Posted in: Tokyo Olympic president tries to reassure doubting country See in context

There is a very probable scenario that Japan is ignoring -.i.e in 5-6 months, a lot of the “lesser” world may not be allowed to go to Japan even if Japan lets them in.

I’m much more confident that 1) most of the 1st world Western will be vaccinated by June than I am 2) Japan will be able to show they have COVID under control by world standards.

Sorry Japan, without wide-spread testing, your data doesn’t count outside Japan.

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Posted in: If I’ve already had the coronavirus, can I get it again? See in context

To add to my post earlier - testing positive twice has occurred. Not getting sick. Those two studies were junk.

-1 ( +2 / -3 )

Posted in: If I’ve already had the coronavirus, can I get it again? See in context

No. All indications point to this being exceedingly rare - very insignificant probability.

3 ( +5 / -2 )

Posted in: Japanese approval of Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine unlikely until May See in context

@virusrex

Exceptionally good commentary/insights/rebuttals on this news thread. Thank you.

Most of your points should be obvious, but I get the feeling many JT readers rely a bit too much on Japanese news sites for general information on the virus, pandemic, immunology etc.

1 ( +3 / -2 )

Posted in: Japanese approval of Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine unlikely until May See in context

How is Japan going to generate significant efficacy data of the Western vaccines without a mass vaccination trial? As the reports stand, Japan has so few cases, few cases = few data points / # participants.

MY RECOMMENDATION:

Tomorrow - They should just start rolling out all vaccine candidates as fast as their fax machines can print. Do so under the guise of “trials”. This way they might have a shot at a significant data-set by April, and may have an effective means to distribute by... June or July???

May - announce they are considering the data

June - announce they will be announcing approvals.

July - Roll out the vaccines to Japanese & International community at the Olympic venues. Face saved!

*Trials & Dat will require testing though. And Suda-san is going to squash this 3rd wave by February... Nah, this just won’t ever work.

1 ( +2 / -1 )

Posted in: Gov't to consider new COVID-19 state of emergency declaration See in context

Ironically, the only countries recovered and ready for the olympics will be the Americans, the Brits, the Isralies.

Japan can’t fight the corona virus this late in the game, the don’t understand thier enemy, they haven’t chosen their weapons, and they don’t know where the fight needs to take place.

-1 ( +2 / -3 )

Posted in: 273 teachers in Japan punished in fiscal 2019 for sexual misconduct See in context

Why is this even a story? Do the readers forget Japan is 120-130,000,000 people???

in the US “Chicago sees 273 sexual harassment cases in 2020 would be laughed at.

why does even the Japanese media report this stuff? Where is the statement about how shockingly low this number is?

-9 ( +1 / -10 )

Posted in: Surging coronavirus undermines leaders' support in Japan, S Korea See in context

South Korea, meanwhile, has aggressively ramped up testing to about 89,000 people a day as of Sunday, compared with just over 22,000 in early October.

and did it help? If testing is the key, why are they being just as hard as Japan?????

South Korea, meanwhile, has aggressively ramped up testing to about 89,000 people a day as of Sunday, compared with just over 22,000 in early October.

and did it help? If testing is the key, why are they being just as hard as Japan?????

Meanwhile the scourge of the earth, the US, is at 2,000,000 tests per day. Maybe that desrves a few points.

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Posted in: 2,796 new cases of coronavirus reported in Japan; 572 in Tokyo See in context

Typical 2-man drive through in my little town does ~20 tests /hr. The climic in the picture should be cranking out 10-15% of Tokyo’s test is a day,,, wtf? Or is reporting voluntary?

9 ( +9 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 269 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 1,024 See in context

Anybody has a lot to gain by making a manuscript with bold conclusions, people do it constantly around the world since the possibility of being published is still there (there are journals that publish anything) and having a publication is really good for getting a promotion or a better new job. Not having the capacity to judge the failures of their own work also means they are not capable of foreseeing that other people will find those failures, the authors may thing they did a nice research job, but they didn't. The large company is not their sponsor, for all we know the company as a whole don't even know about this study, or how it is being tried to be published.

That is why peer review works very hard not letting bad studies that may be compromising human rights be published, else the scientific literature gets polluted with unjustified conclusions that someone with hidden interests may peddle later since it "became science"

meh. I have peer reviewed more than I’ve published and neither has been especially rigorous or rewarding.

on second read, this study leaves more to desired, but one key learning that surfaced was to shut up and let you handle comments and commentary. Please educate us. This is after all the Japan Times - we should all at lease be well versed in non-partisan epidemiology.

-5 ( +0 / -5 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 269 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 1,024 See in context

The authors are supposedly arguing a situation that contradicts the knowledge about the pandemic on a world wide scale, something very difficult to believe (since it is much more likely their results are product from a bad methodology) the least they should do is present a proper analysis to base their conclusions.

I wouldn’t go so far as to say they are arguing a situation that contradicts widely-accepted knowledge, more like they are beginning to fill some wide-spread knowledge gaps with some data.

I agree it isn’t a perfect study, but I think worth reporting. In terms of methodology, the cohort was what it was and the data generated are what they are. I also would prefer a more critical analysis...

Personally, I appreciate the authors sticking their necks out a bit with their interpretations/conclusions. I don’t see what they have to gain by making bold statements except maybe invite criticism (?). I don’t imagine it’s the sort of outcome their Industry sponsor (the large company) would have hoped for.

-3 ( +1 / -4 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 269 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 1,024 See in context

There’s been a lot of speculation, and now reports that significant portion of Tokyo ~50% has been infected at some point during this pandemic. I figured I’d post a link to one such report:

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198796v1.full.pdf

Makes a lot more sense than the numbers reported by local government

-1 ( +4 / -5 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 116 new coronavirus cases; Osaka has 123 See in context

Here’s an interesting one supporting how poorly the numbers from Tokyo present the actual situation wrt/infection.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198796v1.full.pdf

in this case the sample size is relatively small, but says at least ~47% of Tokyo workers had the bug at some point late-May to late-August.

Basically, Tokyo has been infected, and probably near “herd immunity”.

Ignorance is bliss I guess.

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Posted in: Japan reports more than 1,200 more coronavirus cases See in context

In Tokyo, I honestly don’t see a difference between 100 and 400. When only select few individuals get tested using a purposely limited number of tests, the numbers will stay artificially-low and in a narrow range regardless of the situation.

I mean, for example, logically, each of these so called “traced cases” has directly stemmed-from and/or will directly lead-to at least one more infected individual. i.e. There are many associated infections not reported for each case that is reported. It is common sense. It would follow that testing should increase day after day as more cases are traced..., but testing doesn’t increase. cases just bounce around in artificially-low narrow range...

Obviously, Tokyo, and other prefectures, are not tracing anything in a meaningful way or testing enough to generate any meaningful data.

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Posted in: Want your own Japanese coronavirus quarantine room? Cardboard cubicles on sale to general public See in context

Not a bad price. A decent bicycle shipping box costs $150 in the US.

could be used for a lot of things... playrooms, portable paint booths, of course, nap rooms for lower budget indoor Festivals, conventions, etc.

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