audioboy77 comments

Posted in: Tokyo reports 5,534 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 25,156 See in context

Like Groundhog day. Cannot breach 6,000 until after the Paralympics. Meanwhile thousands in Tokyo are waiting for a hospital bed.

The only thing like groundhog Day are the conspiracy theories. If it was 6000 now you would be saying same thing about 7000. You people have been saying the same stuff for months. All you do is continually shift your explanation to suit the current state of affairs. Pre Olympics it was 'the numbers can't go up until after the Olympics'. Then actually they exploded during the Olympics and the explanation was 'oh because now Olympics have started they can let the figures run wild'. Now it's they are limiting them until after the Paralympics. Why would they do that exactly? If cases surged after Paralympics as your theory implies then people would just say the Paralympics caused the surge (as they are saying now), which would not be beneficial to the government. Why can't you people see how illogical your theories are?

This government is so incompetent and things are so hopelessly uncoordinated and de centralised in Japan that they couldn't manage to pull off these conspiracies even if they wanted to.

3 ( +7 / -4 )

Posted in: Do you respect anti-vaxxers' stance? See in context

In theory I could respect someone who doesnt want to get vaccinated, there are definitely rational arguments as to why not to. But in practice the argument of all anti-vaxxers I have talked to so far are based on misinformation and misunderstanding. Typically they say a healthy immune system and vitamin d is sufficient but total seem to not realise that without the existence of vaccines, modern life as we know it simply would not exist.

-1 ( +6 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan extends virus emergency to Sept 12; weighs legal options to enforce restrictions See in context

Never really paid attention to Japanese politics before the pandemic but it's hard to imagine what a weaker, more useless prime minister would be like.

As for questioning the effectiveness of SOEs, sure they are useless but this is just an attempt to shift blame away from himself and on to the people. All this could and should have been avoided with proper planning and preparation.

16 ( +16 / -0 )

Posted in: Concerns mount over possible collapse of Japan's medical system See in context

this article is identical to the ones written when japan hit 100, 1000, 2000, 3000, 4000, 5000, 6000, 7000 ,8000, 9000 ,10000, 11,000, 12,000 ,13000 ,14,000 ,15,000, 20,000

Not identical. The medical system in the capital city of the worlds 3rd largest economy is on the brink of collapse.

4 ( +11 / -7 )

Posted in: Olympics now ended, Suga pinning his hopes on vaccinations See in context

If you don’t know how to do it, just watch how some other countries are connecting and communicating with their populace and copy that. Now is the worst possible time for expediency.

Agree this is also the problem here, total lack of leadership and consistent messaging. In the UK for example there is consistent presence of government advertising to remind people to take care and be responsible, to social distance, to get vaccinated etc. Here in contrast it feels to the people the government has abandoned them on this topic and so they just feel like 'why should i bother?'

15 ( +18 / -3 )

Posted in: Olympics now ended, Suga pinning his hopes on vaccinations See in context

I actually don't think we need a lockdown, we just need enforced social distancing in starbucks, malls, supermarkets, and enforced government coordinated quotas for remote working. And targeted actions such as closing shibuya and shinjuku train stations mid day, evenings and weekends to reduce shoppers. The framework for this is what they should have been setting up the past year. Along with improving the medical system.

-12 ( +8 / -20 )

Posted in: Suga's medical adviser urges tougher anti-virus measures See in context

Its ridiculous to compare numbers of cases per 100k compared to UK and US. Japans testing efforts are pathetic compared to those countries.

28 ( +33 / -5 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 4,989 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 18,822 See in context

But the real numbers are reflected by the large jumps in severe cases (people ventilated or on ECMO).

Yeah but need to bear in mind that jump would be people who caught it around 1-2 weeks ago.

Too early to say for sure, things could worsen for a variety of reasons, but it does look like this wave might have peaked.

-16 ( +5 / -21 )

Posted in: Experts warn Japan's coronavirus fight in critical phase See in context

Just total mismanagement, and utter abduction of responsibilities by the government. All the other bodge up aside (vaccine roll out etc), with all the time and warnings they had how can we be in this situation that people are already unable to get a hospital bed?

Almost certainly the worst organised response to covid of any developed country in the world. At very least the worst in Asia, that's without question as the numbers are far worse than any other rich Asian country here.

I just don't understand why there isn't more rage and anger from the Japanese demanding more from the politicians here. It's bizarre. Apparently shoganai has no limit. It's makes me crazy.

The whole experience, coupled with the initial treatment of how foreign residents were shown to be z-class citizens (we were unable to leave or return last year) has just basically destroyed my love for Japan and it's really sad. I just feel really angry and frustrated about it all.

21 ( +24 / -3 )

Posted in: Experts warn Japan's coronavirus fight in critical phase See in context

The question is, how sick does these vaccinated people get?

Just mild symptoms or hospitalized?

The question is why dont you do some basic research on this question yourself, rather than writing a long post on here.

Plenty of stats and research on this as topic on the internet.

6 ( +18 / -12 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 2,884 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 12,073 See in context

Based on this figure the records will be broken again mid/late this week.

4 ( +8 / -4 )

Posted in: Japan's cumulative coronavirus cases top 1 million See in context

Just like many many others I wonder what the true number is. Of course we will never know

We will never know in any country, because a majority of cases are asymptomatic and thus many cases are not identified. However its clear that given Japans restrictive testing polices the reported number here is a much smaller percent of actual cases than in other developed countries.

Given that mainly only moderate/severe cases are tested, and that estimates of asymptomatic are as high as 50%, and mild cases could be around 30%, plus factor in general barriers in Japan (testing fee, people unable to take time of work) I think its reasonable to assume its at least 10 times higher than reported numbers.

2 ( +3 / -1 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record high 5,042 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 15,263 See in context

This is of course very bad. and it should be clear from my daily posts that I'm very angry about how utterly inept this government is.

Regardless though, it should be pointing out the rate of increase is at least falling. My own prediction of 6000 this week was wrong as a result. So I'm scraping the barrel here, but this is some form of good news. You can see this clearly if looking at the 7 day moving average graph.

Although I do wonder if we are seeing a compression effect as the upper limits of Japans toy testing capacity are being reached..

-2 ( +5 / -7 )

Posted in: Gov't policy to only hospitalize critical COVID patients draws flak See in context

Absolutely shocking state of affairs. To my knowledge no other developed country has had to take this measure. We knew it already but it again proves how badly this situation has been mismanaged here. Especially as they got lucky initially and have had so much time to to prepare for this. Just total incompetence.

6 ( +6 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 2,195 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 8,393 See in context

Comparing to the previous day makes no sense so Japan Today should really stop reporting the figure followed by 'xxx down/up from the previous day'. It gives a false impression.

Specifically with Monday, its always the lowest day of the week and is typically around half of the numbers that come in on Wednesday/Thursday. This is a clear and established pattern for Tokyo going back months.

17 ( +21 / -4 )

Posted in: Japan expands COVID state of emergency to 3 areas near Tokyo and Osaka See in context

Way more effective than an untested vaccine.

Over 2bn administered and a year in, seems pretty tested to me.

99% of deaths in UK and US now unvaccinated people, what more proof do you need exactly?

8 ( +15 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan starts giving COVID-19 shots to citizens temporarily returning See in context

WHAT??

Why can Japan just not just administer vaccines in a systematic, fair, age based way like in ALL OTHER DEVELOPED COUNTRIES?

31 ( +38 / -7 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record high 4,058 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 12,341 See in context

Last one week has seen explosive growth and experts have already given warnings that we can expect next week Tokyo numbers to cross 5000, they do not yet see the peak as yet….

My moneys on 6k. That would actually be a slowing of growth.

Looks like Japan finally ran out of luck and the 'Japan model' (i.e. do nothing except wear masks) just isn't going to cut it against delta.

7 ( +12 / -5 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 3,300 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 10,743 See in context

we can already see a decrease. this is good. hopefully this decrease trend will continue into next week

So there's a thing called weekly average...

1 ( +5 / -4 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 3,300 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 10,743 See in context

japan Is amazing, they do nothing and cases drop by a huge amount in a single day! Guess that they are right, coronavirus doesn’t affect Japanese people like it does foreigners

So there's a thing called weekly average.

3 ( +6 / -3 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record high 3,865 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 10,699 See in context

Although FWIW I generally agree with your posts (just not that one..)

-5 ( +2 / -7 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record high 3,865 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 10,699 See in context

But anyway @antiquesaving what is your point exactly? If the government is massaging the numbers what possible motivation or benefit would there be for having a repeating pattern of lower number on Sunday/Monday and higher numbers on Wed/Thursday? That makes absolutely no sense.

So tired of reading utterly dumb conspiracy theories.

-6 ( +5 / -11 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record high 3,865 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 10,699 See in context

Really ok then explain every other major country that none have such a clean orderly testing chart.

I don't know about other countries as I haven't poured over the details as I do here. However, ASFAIK most countries aren't (stupidly) relying on small private clinics to do the bulk of the testing, its more centralised and done at big hospitals and test centers. As a result more constant test flow.

1 ( +4 / -3 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record high 3,865 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 10,699 See in context

I truly believe the numbers are tampered with and have been raised on purpose since the Olympics started just to make people believe it's the fault of foreigners coming in.

Perfect example of how consipracy theorists will continually 'reframe' reality (and constantly contradict themselves in the process) to fit their pre-decided agenda.

-13 ( +4 / -17 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record high 3,865 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 10,699 See in context

*It should not be random

-5 ( +1 / -6 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record high 3,865 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 10,699 See in context

The Tokyo testing chart is amazing in how every single week it follows the exact same up and down pattern without fail.

If the Tokyo data was given in for peer review it would be rejected on this one point as unreliable.

Monday testing high gradually lowered each day to arrive on Sunday at around 3,000 tests.

It is a far to perfect pattern to be random.

I should not be random. This pattern is a reflection of the cycle of testing, much lower at the weekend, especially Sunday, correspondingly more then beginning of week, and that test results take a few days to aggregate. If it was random it would be a lot more suspect.

-1 ( +5 / -6 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record high 3,865 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 10,699 See in context

@jim

This also becomes the highest number ever in Tokyo since last year - the rate of growth is also increasing 

Wrong, it's the highest number ever, as was yesterday, and the day before. Previous record high was around 2500.

14 ( +16 / -2 )

Posted in: Kono says gov't trying to reach young adults to combat vaccine misinformation See in context

Reading this makes my blood boil. I'm 44, which makes me 10-20 times more risk of death of a 20 year old and I can't get a vaccine. Where I live they are still doing over 65s and they ran out of vaccine.

They will start taking bookings from August 7th. And yes we have called tons of clinics in the meantime but they all say the same thing.

21 ( +24 / -3 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record 3,177 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 9,576 See in context

In addition what is really concerning is that the 7 day average test positive rate is at now at 15%, up from 5% a few weeks ago. To me this suggests the ratio between official reported numbers and actual incidence (which was is significant in Japan due to the restrictive testing policies and access) is growing too.

12 ( +13 / -1 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports record 3,177 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 9,576 See in context

We’ve just got to learn to live with this.

Absolutely fine with that if I can just get a damn vaccine.

21 ( +23 / -2 )

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