Bodge2020 comments

" I predict by summer, most of the spread of COVID 19 will slow down and recovery stage will begin to take place"

There will be a second wave once restrictions are lifted. It is not yet known why Japan has not had the same problems as other countries. Many stories of treatements that might work but none are close to being used widely.

The virus seems for most people to take abotu five to seven days to deal with however on about day five some people go into complete body shut down. There lungs fail to get enough oxygen for the body and the fever causes all sort of organ failure including heart attacks. Imagine suddenly drowing from fluid on your lungs and a doctor having zero method of helping you but putting you in a coman and shoving a tube down your throat to force oxygen into your body.

Wishful thinking on the levels of Bach and Abe if you predict a slow down by summer.

The trickle down of steaming .... about this is rediculous. Eveyone with sense knows that the decision was made before and they are just finding a way to ease it out.

The truth is that economies around the world were already in a bad state. South Korea was no. 1 in the list of most likely to collapse. Japan has been for a very long time working on pretend money. If South Korea had fallen then Japan would have also.

This virus and the economic plans behind it have actually helped world economies contract and as such reflect better the true wealth of a country. A cynic would say that they have used the virus to re-adjust and avoid collapse in the future.

As such the virus is a godsend for the BoJ.

All we can do is protect ouselves and hope when we do get the virus we are lucky. I am gong to be ultra careful when I take a train this week. If I could get out of the trip I would.

Many asian countries already used phone data to trace back contacts. Sadly because of European data protection laws this was not done and Italay, France, Spain, Germany, UK and many more have suffered becasue of it. There are reasons to ignore the laws but it seems a pandemic is not one of them. Maybe if WHO had called it a pandemic earlier that would have helped but the WHO just say Test, test, test which does nothing to stop the actual virus it just gives them data to play with and justify there existence.

When it is all over thw WHO will be seen as the failure they are and hopefully defunded.

Will they expand the consultation to atheletes, all the support workers and all those who pay for tickets to watch. Or will they act like adults and take personal responsibility for the most obvious decsions in the world. A child of two has more sense.

I think there is already a slow move to preparing people for Tokyo 2020 being cancelled. It will be Abe who makes the final decision because then IOC can avoid financial loss and leave it up to Japan to pay the bill. As Japan has plenty of money even if it looks like a large amount in government spending it is tiny. Escpecially as the BoJ regularly prints the stuff without backing it in tangiable assests.

NHK reported the flame yesterday and the article include descent from arount the world. I expect NHK will have another report today with similar inferences and then next week a bit about the increase of covid cases and then Abe pretending he has no choice when in reality he had planned to postpone it months ago.

'The pachinko parlors and game centers are still open.'

One of my previous jobs was cleaning at a pachinko parlour. Every machine is wiped down with disinfectant everyday. Paying attention to the buttons and turning handle. As players tend to sit at a machine all day long and not share the chances of spread through touch are low. As they also just stare directly at the machine any cough/sneeze would be directed forward. The only possbile chance would be splashback towards people sitting close.

They do smoke heavily so if infection route was at a parlour it would be a big risk factor for recovery.

'But you can cover up the cause of deaths - particularly for the old with another disease who die at home. Without testing a death cannot be attributed to COVID-19, but can be attributed to the other disease.'

You can cover up how people die but you can not cover up the death rate overall. At least in my area I do not see an influx of people going to the funeral parlour, groups of people wearing black .... I only just attended a funeral and the place I went was not super busy and the only time corona was discussed was at lunch whilst waiting for the body to be creamated and that was general conversation.