The real question that you should ask is why so mush people carry a knife.
2 ( +6 / -4 )
that underscore the enormous challenge it faces in its aim to vaccinate every adult by the year's end.
This is BS. They don't need to do that and it's anyway unrealistic. They need first to vaccine the vulnerable population which globally consists of the elderlies. Japan has 36 million people aged more than 65 years old. First they vaccine that population and then we will see. At this pace, this is not going tp happen tomorrow.
1 ( +6 / -5 )
This is insanity, insanity.
I have always been actively against the Olympics being held in Tokyo. For one reason, it's that Japan blatantly lied to get them, not to mention the numerous scandals that followed. The second is that in a country were so such public money is wasted and wasted again while for example people are struggling to find available nurseries and kindergartens for their children, it did not need another abyssal waste of money. Even if the Olympics could have been held properly, the loss for the tax payers would have been gigantic. But now it will be immeasurable. Holding the Olympics without allowing people to come from abroad means that nothing will be beneficial from it since the local economical benefits that so much tourists would bring are gone. So those Olympics are just a money abyss. The only reasonable thing to do would have been to cancel them last year.
I don't understand the Japanese really. Throughout their history, they often showed this illogical stubbornness that brought them to a disaster. That at the end, the population itself will have to bear in a way or another.
3 ( +9 / -6 )
Fukushima plant chief: No need to extend decommissioning target
Typical Japanese. Can't face the reality and live in denial. For the sake of just saving face.
2 ( +4 / -2 )
This woman is crazy. She is an authoritarian hidden behind ideology. She came to a state where she is believing that she can impose a lockdown of millions of people juste like she presses a switch on and switch off button. There is no science behind this. This is politics, dirty and nasty politics.
-7 ( +6 / -13 )
Shame on US for being such cowards. This is disgraceful. It’s highly doubtful that Japan would have done the same so easily for a Japanese citizen. I should recall the case of the three Japanese executives from Takata charged in US for the faulty airbags scandal which has cost the life of at least 26 people and has injured several hundred.
11 ( +27 / -16 )
rapid, nation-wide vaccination is the absolute minimum requirement for economic recovery
No, see same response above. The reality is more complicated.
-3 ( +3 / -6 )
because the more people is immunized the closer we are to interrupt transmission of the pandemic and social distancing measures can be reduced or discarded, because the less people are infected the less likely escape-mutant strains can appear.
No this is not easy like that, and because you don't really seem to have the qualification to understand this subject or because you don't bother to read the literature, you just keep doing grotesque simplifications (eg. the term ""escape-mutant strains" is really sloppy). Here is a paper that tries to predict with modeling the trajectory of the virus towards endemicity using multiple factors. Of course, I am just providing here a non-exhaustive description of the points they make and use terms directly from the paper.
The transition of the virus from epidemic to endemic dynamics is associated with a sift of the infections to the younger age group. Once the endemic phase is reached and primary exposure is in childhood, SARS-CoV-2 may become no more virulent than the common cold observed with others HCoVs. This is also because the overall infection fatality ratio of emerging coronaviruses once they reach endemicity is strongly influenced by the IFR of young children in the initial epidemic. In fact, SARS-CoV-2, has a low IFR in young people.
The paper considers also the influence of strain variation and vaccination. Strain variation and antibody escape can occur in endemic strains but because the symptoms are mild, the immunity induced from previously seen strains is strong enough to prevent severe disease. This is observed on other HCoVs where frequent reinfection appear to boost immunity against related strains. A vaccine could accelerate establishment of a state of mild disease endemicity depending on the type of immune response it engenders. If frequent boosting of immunity by the virus circulation is required to maintain protection from pathology, them the paper suggests that it may best for the vaccine to mimic natural immunity to the extent that it protects from severe pathology without blocking ongoing virus circulation. Should the vaccine cause a significant reduction of the virus circulation, it might be important to consider strategies that target the vaccination of older individuals with higher morbidity and mortality risks, while allowing natural immunity and transmission to be maintained in younger individuals.
So this is not as easy as just saying "let interrupt the transmission" or speaking about strains without any scientifically strong arguments. I invite you to fully read the paper since it is very informative if you really bother about going beyond simplistic made-up point of view on a s subject that like other scientific field requires method and rigor.
-6 ( +1 / -7 )
This so-called civilized country is a joke. The amount of social violence against women is mind blowing.
14 ( +25 / -11 )
If you're trying to say that Covid-19 mortality is low, I'm not sure that a link that says that Covid-19 mortality is still elevated is the silver bullet you think it is.
I am not trying to say anything. I am reporting the data as it is measured in reality. Real data, not vague made up statements.
Moreover, the link specially indicates that the excess of mortality during the period of interest was only significant for the people aged 65 years and more, and particularly for people aged 85 years old and more.
-1 ( +6 / -7 )
My point was not against the vaccine whatsoever, my point was that you come up with doubtful generalization without data backing it up, literally out of thin air.
> Even if you only take the group of people of 15-44yo (minors are not a target of vaccination) 33% of the fatal cases were healthy, that is quite a lot and would mean a significant reduction if the population is vaccinated.
> "COVID can kill even healthy young people, so since the vaccine is less risky than the infection even those people would also get a direct benefit from the immunization".
Look at the data, they still only represented only 1% of the total death in the sampled data. And again, my point is not about the vaccination in general. My point is that you are trying to argue that since COVID can kill young people (which I did not dispute, I said that although true, this is statistically negligible as demonstrated by the data), one can argue that there is nothing special about that since it is of course observed with many other kind of illness.
-1 ( +7 / -8 )
Sorry the link I provided was wrong. Here rather
0 ( +5 / -5 )
A dangerous move. If the side effects include fatalities
This is nonsense. You either provide solid reference data or please stop nonsensical statements.
11 ( +13 / -2 )
A lot of people fit and healthy died after trusting their immune system instead of taking proper protection measures, being fit do not guarantee you will not have problems.
What a lot of people means? It means nothing unless you provide statistically relevant data. Like any other illness, you can always find exceptions among such a large population of individuals (worldwide). The question is are they statically relevant among the general population. As a side remark, children or young adults across the globe can die from a variety of causes. 15,590 children in the U.S alone are diagnosed each year with cancer. Cancer is the leading cause of death by disease in American children, resulting in the death of approximately 1,800 kids each year.
So returning back to COVID-19, according to the France official governmental data, as of February 2nd, 93% of people infected with COVID-19 and who died from it, were aged more than 65 years old. The median age at death is 85 years old. Moreover, among the people who died from COVID-19 and were aged 0-14 years old, 100% had comorbidities; among the people aged 15-44 years old, 67% had comorbidities; and among the people aged 45-64 years old, 72% had comorbidities. Those are real data, facts, the reality. Not some vague approximation of it that you often do here.
You can find very similar stats across the majority of countries worldwide.
-7 ( +5 / -12 )
Especially when there is no known scientific reason for the virus to behave as it appears to in Japan. The most likely explanation is that the numbers are being manipulated, and not because some restaurants are urged to close a few hours early.
Yeah yeah yeah, you were among the ones who were insisting that an apocalypse was coming to Japan if a strict lockdown was not implemented. Given that you were utterly flat wrong, why don't you begin to change your rhetoric a little? We generally all agree that Japan has under tested possibly to keep the total number of positives low. Everything else is pure BS. Period.
And if you really want to speak science, here is some readings for you:
-6 ( +3 / -9 )
Tokyo's population is 37 millions, the 0.91% of that is 336,700 people, this is quite a lot more than the official count of over 100,000 cases.
No no no, from the official intercensal estimate the population of the Tokyo prefecture is 13.506 million people (with 9.214 million living within Tokyo's 23 wards) not 37 million. With a 0.91% rate, that’s around 122,900 people having antibodies. The current number of people tested positive to the covid is 102,845, so the difference is way smaller to what you claim it is.
That being said, the 0.91% rate comes from a survey that covered only 3,399 people in Tokyo which is still too low in my opinion.
6 ( +8 / -2 )
we are French making things in the french way (messy, over debated and individualistic).
Well I am not sure that's even true as far as I can see, Sure enough vaccination in France has been not smooth and somehow messy, but they started to vaccine people. Japan, the so-called super efficient country has provided the vaccine to ZERO people so far. And it seems that the French have incredibly well accepted the very severe lockdowns and restrictions. So the individualistic thing does not hold water either.
3 ( +4 / -1 )
The French government need to be condemned by all the free nations of the world. Casting doubt upon the vaccine is despicable. Millions will die if the French government are allowed to get away with this.
The French government has never cast any doubt about the vaccine, stop this fake news BS. What they did is to have an overly careful vaccine campaign since they feared that going too fast would clash against the skepticism of the population against the vaccination. This was wrong in my view but far from what you accuse them for.
France had the highest proportion of respondents who said they would not take a vaccine, at 44%, but saw a doubling in the proportion who strongly agreed that they would take a vaccine, from 15% in November to 30% in January.
This is quite a dubious to say things. In fact a recent poll from Odoxa-Backbone consulting published on January 14 concluded that 56% of the population there want to be vaccinated, period. Not sure what the 30% who "strongly agreed" actually means....
3 ( +7 / -4 )
And frankly the measure could be even counterproductive. I can see that the government decided that in order to impose an indirect lockdown since people would then be scared to get infected in front of such oppressive legislation and reduce a lot their activities.
But on the other hand, people with little or mild symptoms will be scared to get tested now. And I don't think that scaring people to get tested is the right thing to do.
-1 ( +12 / -13 )
The new laws would allow authorities to punish and even imprison people for up to a year if they test positive but refuse hospitalization.
This is crazy. Why someone would have to be hospitalized if they have no to little symptoms? Being positive does not mean being sick. For a lot of people, being forced to be hospitalized may put them in a difficult situation with their job and employer since they can't work even if they are fine. This is again another example of a sanitary dictatorship being forced on people and how the world has gone completely crazy.
-2 ( +19 / -21 )
What a backward thinking country. The lack and refusal to advance the country towards better human standards is baffling.
10 ( +20 / -10 )
Yes, that's literally what's happening.
By the way, people dying at home and often alone in Japan (Kodokushi) is not something new or specific to COVID-19. This phenomenon has been a major issue in Japan for several years already before COVID-19 ever exited. So again unless you can provide data that show in the long term a real increase of such people because of COVID-19, you can't really do here an arbitrary link to something which already existed anyway.
-5 ( +2 / -7 )
Yes, that's literally what's happening. There have been 2-3 cases exactly that reported in the last weeks. Won't bother to do the search for you.
2-3 cases at a given point of time are statistically irrelevant. Please provide a link to a long term survey which estimates the number of people dead at home and not counted for in the national statistics for the people who have died from covid in Japan.
0 ( +4 / -4 )
e.g. people dying in their homes.
But what do you mean? People are not just suddenly collapsing at home without nobody noticing it. And do you have any data to back up that claim? I mean please, come on.
-2 ( +5 / -7 )
So that's 244 from the vulnerable population, very likely requiring hospitalization. That's a very large number for an overstretched and unprepared health system.
I am sorry but you wrongly assume that all the people tested positive in each age group will end up in serious conditions with a risk of death (excluding the fact here that Japan does hospitalize people with mild and moderate symptoms). Now if we look at the patients profile of COVID-19 cases in Japan as of December 2020, by age group:
We see that 1 person aged between 50 and 59 in around 295 dies from COVID-19; 1 person aged between 60 and 69 in around 65 dies from COVID-19; 1 person aged between 70 and 79 in around 18 dies from COVID-19; and 1 person aged 80 and more in around 8 dies from COVID-19. So just adding up all positive cases as you did and drawing any conclusion does not really make any sense.
0 ( +8 / -8 )
New record for a Tuesday. Previous highest was 460.
If you really insist on doing comparisons between the same day, it makes little sense to compare the number of positive cases like that because a lot of them are asymptomatic. What matters is how the number of people with severe symptoms is changing and whether it is increasing too fast . On December 15, the number of infected people hospitalized with severe symptoms in Tokyo was 78, it is 64 today. So it's not going out of control so far. Far from that.
-8 ( +7 / -15 )
Covid-19 2020 as of today in the USA 318,000
By the way as of today US has 324,869 deaths. This comes down to a mortality rate (so reported to the total population of US) to around 0.1%. Yes 324,869 deaths is tragic, and the most must be done to save lives. But put things into perspective please.
-2 ( +2 / -4 )
Covid-19 2020 as of today in the USA 318,000
there is a fact and data.
Explain that at 98.998% survival
Look at the research I linked. The main reason of the very low estimated IRF is that it takes into accounts for the asymptomatic cases which are believed to be very underestimated. You are looking at the absolute death numbers, which is not what you should do to analyze a pandemic.
0 ( +3 / -3 )
World War II 1941–1945 291,557 USA death
Came from the USA government website not Wiki so I will go with the official USA gov numbers and not a publicly edited website.
You failed to read the wikipedia site properly, see the note. Also the source for the numbers reported on wikipedia is The Oxford Companion to American Military History. Not edited randomly as you seem to say. And again you are replying for a subject which has nothing to do with COVID and fails to reply about the matter in hand.
1 ( +4 / -3 )
The denial is stunning.
What is stunning is how unable you are at replying to my arguments which again I recall you, are not my point of view but what science says. Putting things in perspective using real science is not denying them so your simplistic argument of accusing people of being deniers is just showing an apparent inaptitude for being able to hear anything that goes against the believes you convinced yourself of.
-1 ( +3 / -4 )
Japan should stop brainwashing the naive Japanese with distortion of history. https://youtu.be/9K4zhfMHM4U https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_history_textbook_controversies https://apjjf.org/-Mark-Selden/3173/article.html https://www.heritage.org/asia/report/the-pearl-harbor-anniversary-japan-still-says-dont-blame-me Because of this kind of…