David Van Cleef comments

Posted in: Unexploded World War II bomb See in context

is this a commonplace story so many years later in Japan ? - Surprising there is no additional information when & where it was discovered, the number and if they’re proximity to public areas, schools, etc. ?

“…at a construction site..” could mean almost anywhere.

Surprisingly common. I think I remember reading about a couple a year, and those are only the ones that are in places dangerous enough to be newsworthy.

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 17,331 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 91,051 See in context

I won't argue that natural immunity isn't better, but the difference is so minimal that the graphs between double-jab and natural are nearly colinear when the view is scaled with the unvaccinated population.

0 ( +3 / -3 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 17,331 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 91,051 See in context

Have the boosters not been rolled out yet? Or are Japanese people cynical about the jabs?

Assuming your local government people have been proactive in sending out the vouchers in your city, yes. I got my ticket a month ago, had absolutely no difficulty booking a reservation, and got my jab Feb 1.

Unfortunately the speed of sending out of tickets varies wildly from city to city, others have not had such a pleasant experience.

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 12,211 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 68,039 See in context

Yes, probably. You cannot have more reported positive cases than the number of tests performed.

Yes you can, the positive cases include clinical diagnoses without actual lab testing.

4 ( +5 / -1 )

Posted in: Gov't reopens mass vaccination center in Tokyo for COVID booster shots See in context

It makes no difference if as like last time our ward takes forever to send out the stupid voucher.

Our ward has just sent out as of Friday 70 years old and up.

Blame your local government only, many cities and wards have already sent them out. I (55) got my ticket 2 weeks ago and have my booster jab appointment tomorrow.

Minato-ku sent them out in December even.

And there is no X-and-older: booster tickets are being sent out purely based on the date of your second jab, not your age.

4 ( +6 / -2 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 8,503 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 44,810 See in context

What city if may we ask?

Edogawa, first wave of booster tickets went out on the 14th of the month. And on friday they reduced the interval down to 6 months for everyone.

5 ( +8 / -3 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 8,503 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 44,810 See in context

Will the boosters come during or after this wave?

Already started for non-seniors. I'm booked for next tuesday already.

-2 ( +2 / -4 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 8,638 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 46,199 See in context

Because it's the measure of how well a place is doing regarding the pandemic.

The higher the number of tests the better it is.

No its not, you test to a point where you keep your positives down to a very low level. Beyond that is pretty much pointless unless you're trying for a China-like zero covid policy.

Once you get to significantly sub-5% positivity what are you going to do for more subjects. Forcibly abduct people off the streets to submit samples?

1 ( +6 / -5 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 29 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 175 See in context

Completely pointless. The virus is already in the community.

Its almost certain this is the case now. Philippines Department of Health reported today that a japanese-resident filipino travelled to Manila on Dec 1 and tested positive for omicron. This strongly suggests that its been in the wild in Japan for at least 2 weeks.

5 ( +5 / -0 )

Posted in: Toyota, Honda sued for patent infringements by U.S. firm See in context

The Eastern District of Texas is a favorite venue for patent trolls because the judges tend to favor extremely fast case timetables.

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 7 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 79 See in context

How many false positives would be expected from the number of tests done?

Rounding to nearest whole number, zero.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 18 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 107 See in context

4435 tests that is.

5 ( +7 / -2 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 18 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 107 See in context

Tokyo figures based of of 4435 cases, for a positivity rate of 0.41%.

3 ( +7 / -4 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 23 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 287 See in context

Figures for Tokyo are based on 3881 tests, a positivity rate of 0.59%.

0 ( +3 / -3 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 24 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 292 See in context

Japan's vaccination rate is not particularly high - and is in fact on the lower side compared to many Western nations.

Among the G8, only Italy and Canada have higher rates, and I wouldn't be surprised if Japan passed Italy this week.

1 ( +2 / -1 )

Posted in: Japan to become world's No. 3 donor of COVID vaccine doses See in context

yet Australia's vaccinate rate is approaching 70%

Not really, only just broke 60%. Their government tries to cook the numbers by quoting the percentage of 12-and-overs instead of the percentage of the entire population like almost all of the rest of the world.

-2 ( +0 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan to become world's No. 3 donor of COVID vaccine doses See in context

That just means Japan horded them in the first place.

Not really. At the time orders had to be locked in, clinical trials hadn't been completed and no one was positive which, if any, vaccines would work so many countries ordered more than needed for their entire population across multiple vendors.

-1 ( +1 / -2 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 29 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 314 See in context

The actual number does not matter, what matters is the percentage of positive results

Are these 29 cases from 30 tests, or 30000 tests? 

This is based on the results of 7822, for a positivity rate of 0.37%.

6 ( +6 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 29 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 314 See in context

With small numbers relatively large variances day to day are expected. The more relevant figure to look at is the 7-day average, which smooths out such things.

14 ( +14 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 32 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 285 See in context

For the not-enough-testing camp, this figure is based off of 3851 tests, for a positivity rate of 0.83%

2 ( +10 / -8 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 26 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 325 See in context

No report of PCR tests conducted.

That figure of 26 is based on the results of 5627 cases, or a positivity rate of 0.46%. Too all the people complaining about too few tests: to what percent do you want to test down to 0.1? 0.01? The WHO says that 3-12% positivity rate is an indication of sufficient testing.

Testing source: https://catalog.data.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/dataset/t000010d0000000086

WHO recommendation: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/transcripts/who-audio-emergencies-coronavirus-press-conference-full-30mar2020.pdf

4 ( +9 / -5 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 40 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 429 See in context

So the ratio of daily infections to (at-the-moment) hospitalization is about 1 to 1…?

Sounds fishy.

Not particularly, that figure is the number of people requiring a ventilator or ECMO, not the total number hospitalized. And most people in that situation require it for up to 14 days.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 40 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 429 See in context

I wonder how many tests were taken over the last 24 hours to have such an amazingly low number?

According to Tokyo Metro Government figures, 4032, yielding an approximately a 1% positive rate, well under the level that WHO considers appropriate testing.

Source: https://stopcovid19.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/en/cards/number-of-tested

-2 ( +2 / -4 )

Posted in: FDA panel endorses lower-dose Moderna COVID shot for booster See in context

Given that Japan has gone 100% all-in with Pfizer for booster shots I fail to see why this is relevant news for JT.

-2 ( +0 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan to fully lift state of emergency measures this week See in context

Anyone going to raise the issue that these plastic dividers do more harm than good? 

How?

There have been some limited studies showing any benefit they give in stopping particles directly is outweighed by their detrimental effect on being able to ventilate air quickly. You get dead zones where air is not circulated.

-1 ( +1 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan orders 150 million doses of Novavax COVID vaccine See in context

48% are fully vaccinated, not 58%. Last Wednesday it was 46%.

If you read carefully, he said 58% of the eligible population, not the overall population. There are approximately 11 million children under 12 that are not eligible for vaccination at this time.

4 ( +6 / -2 )

Posted in: Suspect in Tokyo subway station acid attack arrested in Okinawa See in context

6 months to heal? I don't think anyone can ever 'heal' from sulfuric acid. Nasty.

I was burned on the chest with concentrated H2SO4 when working at a chemical plant in my younger days.

Inside of a year there was no visible scarring.

-1 ( +0 / -1 )

Posted in: Japan to evacuate embassy in Kabul See in context

Point is pretty much moot now, there's shooting around the airport and all non-military flights have stopped operating. Either the embassy staff are out by this point or they're going to have to clench their nethers and hunker down for a while.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: I want the government to seriously consider legal measures, including lockdown-like restrictions on movements. See in context

The government certainly does have some legal ability to restrict citizens' movements, as evidenced by the Fukushima exclusion zones.

4 ( +6 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan starts accepting applications for 'vaccine passports' See in context

My ward (Edogawa) is ONLY accepting the applications by postal mail. No walk-ins.

5 ( +7 / -2 )

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