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Douglas Westfall comments

Posted in: Climate change rift with U.S. raises temperature at G7 meeting See in context

Will China meet the Paris Accord requirements?

No, not even close. 

China takes twice as much oil to make the same product, has double the US emissions level, and has a GDP to Emissions ratio of 95. The US is but 28. Japan is 27, India is 109, Russia is 133 -- The world average is 40. China will never meet the Paris Accord requirements. Talk is cheap -- and China is the worst polluter in the world.

The reason the GDP to Emissions ratio is important is that in a technological economy, three things happen:

1) Technological manufacturing and sourcing materials, create more emissions than do people:

  Energy is 26%, Industry 20%, Forestry 17%, Agriculture 14%, Transportation 13%, Structures are 8% and Waste is 2%.

2) The Technological Revolution in any given country (except China) creates a massive middle class. They then can afford the materials made by technology -- including those items that produce more pollution: automobiles, homes, travel; and of course produce more waste. Still, technology creates the greatest emissions in the first place, but creates a greater economy.

3) An economy then grows by three elements: Technology, a Middle Class, and Population Growth. With a growing population, comes a growing economy. Such that pollution emissions increase with a growing economy or GDP, measuring the GDP to Emissions ratio -- shows the efficiency of the country.

China being the worst polluter in the world, has a GDP to Emissions ratio of more than double the world average, and without a middle class -- shows that their emissions come from technology -- which is sent to other countries. Seven of ten Chevy's are built in China...

China will never meet the Paris Accord requirements.

Best Always, Douglas Westfall, National Historian

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