dougthehead13 comments

Posted in: S Korea, U.S. and Japan condemn N Korea's alleged supply of munitions to Russia See in context

@Samit Basu a small remark

Japan is an artillery shell importer, not an exporter, due to the collapse of Japan's domestic arms industry and company exit from business

Japan has no arms industry. So you can't collapse something that never existed. What there have been are small national companies, creating armaments practically in secrecy. Consequence of the existence of Article 9 and a strong rejection by the left-wing parties in the Diet. That they have blocked the existence of that remote possibility, that it could exist.

Korea is setting up two ammunition factories in Europe, one in Poland and another one in Spain, to supply Ukraine since those ammunition are counted as European origin and not Korean origin.

The Polish factory is under contract with the government. Because Germany blocked the acquisition of German-licensed weapons with sanctions. And because they were fed up, they looked for a higher bidder. South Korea.

The Spanish factory was sold by the Spanish government to a South Korean company in 2008. Because the country is technically bankrupt. And the government could not, and cannot. To keep that factory in property, because of the high public debt. 111,2% of the GDP.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Posted in: Kishida cabinet's support rate falls to record low 32%: poll See in context

@Simon Foston

Doesn't really matter as long as the LDP can keep winning elections, i.e as long as no other party has enough money and candidates to properly challenge them

That's a cheap excuse. People don't vote for the opposition because their ideas are worse than the LDP. 

Only the Ishin election program offers a real and pragmatic alternative for Japan.

-1 ( +0 / -1 )

Posted in: LDP wins 4 of 5 Diet by-elections See in context

Analysis of these elections.

The LDP recovers, returning to a 50% approval rating.

The Ritsumin is losing support in its traditional voting strongholds to the Reiwa Shinsengumi. And worse. In absolute number of votes, Ishin has surpassed them. That severely threatens the leadership as the main opposition party, in the next general Diet elections.

Absolute rise of Nippon Ishin no Kai, surpassing Ritsumin in votes. He is the main beneficiary of these elections. This party has collected votes from former voters of Komeito, Ritsumin, and the DDP among others.

Komeito has also lost electoral strength to Ishin. Which means a rather important defeat, because it could change or even break the coalition with the LDP in the future.

Absolute defeat of CPJ, in favor of Ritsumin and Reiwa Shinsengumi, especially the latter. I believe that carrying the name of Communist, penalizes it severely.

Reiwa Shinsengumi was the second winner in this election. But to the detriment of Ritsumin and CPJ. Which means that there has been no change among the global forces, in the left forces.

And the DDP also lost electoral strength to Ishin.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Posted in: Kishida says ruling coalition must deliver before upcoming elections See in context

In these elections, the LDP lost significantly in the Kanto region against the opposition. The sharp rise of Nippon Ishin no Kai was to be expected, but not to this extent.

The CDP obtained 185 legislators in these elections, compared to Ishin's 124. With an overall difference of 61 seats, which is currently the difference between the two groups.

Ishin is slowly approaching the same level as the CDP, slowly but surely. Both Kenta Izumi and Nishimura should start worrying. Because in 10 to 15 years, Ishin could overtake them as the main opposition party. Making it clear that Ishin is a serious choice to govern Japan and not the CDP.

And there are still the April 24 elections, which are also by-elections in some districts in the Diet.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: Voting for governors, mayors held across Japan See in context

Tomorrow I will probably comment on results, but I can anticipate some great news.

Major defeat of the LDP in the prefecture of Nara, with the resounding victory of the opposition.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: Japan, South Korea drop export claims against each other See in context

Xavier Today 12:56 pm JST

I've just searched for "Yoon Korea treason" etc. and can't find anything.

As a noteworthy fact, the word "Traitor Yoon" was trending topic on Twitter South Korea, for several days. And it is a reflection of the majority opinion of the South Korean people.

@Samit Basu is right about that. Most Koreans hate Yoon, and that is an unquestionable reality.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: South Korea to restore Japan's trade status to improve ties See in context

Jim Today 05:20 pm JST

President Yoon’s days are numbered because he is too friendly towards Japan and this isn’t good news for other Korean politicians

Maybe. But Yoon's term will end in 2027 and that's still 4 years away. We do not know what the global and regional geopolitical situation will be like by then.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: Moriyasu defends decision-making after Japan's loss to Costa Rica showing See in context

I am Spanish and I can say one thing quite clearly.

Do not assume beforehand that Spain will beat Japan. Spain is a very erratic team, they can score a goal one day and the next game lose in a humiliating way. This is not the 2012 team.

Japan can still beat Spain.

-3 ( +1 / -4 )

Posted in: Contest for leadership of opposition Japan Innovation Party begins See in context

I must remind you that in the last elections for the Chamber of Councilors, last July 10. Ishin outpolled Kenta Izumi's CDP by more than 1 million votes. That was a historic event in Japan's recent history. Making Ishin the 2nd largest political party in Japan in terms of number of voters.

Another very different thing is, that at the moment of assigning seats. The beneficiary would be the CDP, as a result of the electoral system in force. 

It could be said that CDP had a sweet defeat and Ishin had a bitter victory.

One of the keys to Ishin's success is precisely because it is placing relatively young people. With clear ideas within a liberal party, in economic matters. And socially conservative. It is also the party with the most sensible proposals within the opposition camp. 

The CDP should learn a lot from Ishin and put aside the childish ideas promulgated by its leaders. If they want to someday govern the country.

PS. I've been saying since 2015 that Nippon Ishin no Kai, they were going to surprise us. And I wasn't wrong.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: Kishida vows to push for Constitution reform, build on Abe's legacy See in context

sf2k July 11 11:13 pm JST

Do they not understand that Article 9 is saving Japan?

Does anyone really think that a document written on paper. Will be able to stop a hypothetical Russian guided missile attack on the island of Hokkaidō.

Do you really think that an administrative document will magically stop those missiles, preventing suffering and deaths of people on the island of Hokkaidō.

Let's face it. As long as Japan shares a border with 3 belligerent countries. The danger of being attacked indiscriminately will remain latent. And always illegally, of course.

0 ( +2 / -2 )

Posted in: China blasts U.S., Japan rhetoric ahead of Quad summit See in context

RodneyToday 11:00 am JST. Wrote

China has done nothing wrong. Australia’s is in a different hemisphere, US on the other side of the world/pond and India is somewhere over there. Japan should not get involved in their provocations.

Except that China claims the Senkaku Islands as part of its territory, when in fact they are islands of Japanese sovereignty, internationally recognized by international treaty (UN).

If China invades those islands, it will be invading Japanese territory.

One question for that scenario - who is really provoking an escalation of war? 

China as invader or Japan as invaded, in an unprovoked situation.

4 ( +4 / -0 )

Posted in: Halloween in Shibuya See in context

Lol. The people in costume in the photograph, from the cover of this article. It belongs to the Spanish series "La Casa de Papel" (The House of Paper).

The truth. I was not expecting this surprise. Because normally, European series have very little impact in Japan, except for the British ones.

I am really happy to see costumes representing my country in the heart of Tokyo.

0 ( +3 / -3 )

Posted in: Kishida says ruling bloc's election win shows 'will of the people' See in context

"It's very unfortunate that we lost seats and I feel apologetic for that," CDPJ leader Yukio Edano told reporters on Monday.

Edano has to submit his resignation as leader of the PDCJ. Because it lost against the worst LDP government of the last decade. Losing 14 seats, which is almost in the same proportion as the 16 seats lost by the LDP.

I don't think it will. But out of dignity to his voters, he should. And put new people in the leadership of the party. Young people with clear and realistic ideas. 

As Ishin no Kai has done.

1 ( +2 / -1 )

Posted in: Kishida to become next PM after winning LDP leadership vote See in context

Serious mistake by the LDP in electing Kishida. This will lead to demobilization of undecided voters on the center-right. Giving a great chance for a joint victory of the PDCJ + Communist Party + Social Democratic Party + Reiwa Shinsengumi. Making Edano Prime Minister.

With the leadership of Kono. The Jimintō could retain a larger number of voters. And thus minimize the more than likely electoral defeat.

It's like if the LDP wants the opposition to win, in the next election.

-1 ( +1 / -2 )

Posted in: Online bookings begin for large vaccination centers in Tokyo, Osaka See in context

klausdorth Today 04:13 pm JST

Hope that it will not be just words again.

Less than 3% of inoculations in Japan so far - not (good) enough!

In fact, with the updated data, it already represents 3,46% of vaccinated persons. The speed of vaccination is increasing. It can be clearly seen in this link, which includes a graph.

https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations?country=JPN

And the total number of people vaccinated with 1 dose is 4.380.733.

https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/blob/master/public/data/vaccinations/country_data/Japan.csv

From now on. The daily vaccination rate in Japan will be progressively increased. Currently the daily increase is 0,2%.

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Posted in: 1st batch of Moderna COVID-19 vaccine arrives in Japan See in context

The speed of vaccination in Japan is very high. Of 0.2% of the population per day, since April 26. That is not the real problem.

The big problem is that Japan started vaccinating, as of last February 17. While the US and Europe started in December. This two-month delay is now weighing down the entire country.

Just yesterday, the first dose of the vaccine reached 2% of the population. With this speed in case it does not decrease. It would be possible to vaccinate 1% of the population in 5 days.

-6 ( +0 / -6 )

Posted in: Gov't studies SDF response in event of Taiwan Strait conflict See in context

englisc aspyrgend Today 08:46 am JST

Given its constitution, very little it can do, regardless of how much it would serve its strategic interests.

Rest assured that if the situation were to become very serious. Japan would ignore its constitution. In fact, he is already ignoring it right now.

Article 9. Aspiring sincerely to an international peace based on justice and order, the Japanese people forever renounce war as a sovereign right of the nation and the threat or use of force as means of settling international disputes.

In order to accomplish the aim of the preceding paragraph, land, sea, and air forces, as well as other war potential, will never be maintained. The right of belligerency of the state will not be recognized.

SDFs should not even exist. If the constitution were strictly adhered to.

I will never tire of repeating. Article 9 is too obsolete for today's times. And I do not advocate eliminating it. It simply amends paragraph 2 and creates 2 or 3 new paragraphs, to limit future SDF actions.

If communist China invades the Senkaku Islands. They will be attacking Japanese territory. The same if they attack the U.S. bases in Okinawa. In this situation Japan will inevitably go to war. And at that time. The constitution will be the least of the problems.

4 ( +4 / -0 )

Posted in: Seoul court rejects wartime sex slaves' suit against Japan See in context

Last January's ruling was a legal aberration. For the following reasons:

1). The court had no jurisdiction.

2). Ignored the conflict reparation clause, provided for in the 1965 treaty.

3). Ignored the existence of the 2015 agreement. That resolved these issues, or at least provided a solution to most of them.

It simply condemned Japan, with simplistic criteria that it implied. That the Japanese government was doing nothing to fix the problem. A sentence influenced by political power. Far from a purely technical and legal deliberation.

On the other hand. Today's sentence has some very solid arguments. I have been able to access an extended summary of this judgment in English.

It not only includes the parts that were omitted in the January ruling. It also relates that some people benefited from the 2015 agreement. With the taking of the money coming from the Japanese government. The court considers that the affected parties are claiming the same money twice.

This ruling simply resolves the legal chaos caused by the previous one.

If the South Korean supreme court overturns this ruling. It will be committing a serious act of prevarication.

5 ( +6 / -1 )

Posted in: Japan to procure enough COVID vaccines for all eligible by end of September See in context

Does anyone have any news about the Osaka vaccine?

I am talking about AG0302-COVID-19. According to wikipedia, it is already in phase 3 of implementation. And it is the most advanced Japanese vaccine.

1 ( +4 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan considers deploying F-35B stealth jets to ASDF base in southwest See in context

HimariYamada Apr. 5 12:01 pm JST

Would like to see those F-35Bs get training on the Izumo's deck asap. 

If deadlines are met, without any unforeseen events. The F-35B air group is expected to be deployed in Izumo in 2027. At the earliest.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: No-confidence motion against minister over ethics violation rejected See in context

The opposition parties are pathetic. Corporate dinners, in and of themselves, are not a crime. And it is not grounds for a motion of censure on this matter.

If the opposition parties have suspicions of an alleged crime. For a matter of influence peddling. What they have to do is to file a complaint, before the competent court. And let the public prosecutor's office be the one to open proceedings with the corresponding investigation. And once this process is open, the opposition parties. They appear as plaintiffs in the criminal proceedings. 

This is how one should start, the political battle to defeat the LDP. In a long-term strategy. Not by taking useless actions, such as a not very credible motion of censure.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: China could step up armament, provocations near Senkakus, think tank warns See in context

To the people who say in the comments. That Japan establish some kind of human presence, in the Senkakus Islands. Whether civilian or military. They simply don't know what the issue is about.

1) The islands are too small to harbor human life.

2) If so. Living conditions on those islands would be considered extreme. I'm talking about salubrious conditions, high humidity, salinity and relying on supplies provided from Okinawa. Drinking water, food, medicine etc. 

Apart from the high monetary and logistical cost of keeping those people there.

3) The number of people that could live on these islands would be limited to a maximum of 2 or 3 people. And I repeat, in subhuman conditions.

4) In addition, the Senkaku Islands are a national nature and biosphere park. Within Japan's network of national parks. As far as it concerns. They are subject to special legislation prohibiting the construction of housing facilities. Or other uses, including military installations.

To modify your status. The Diet would first have to approve the removal of the Senkaku Islands from the list of National Parks.

For these reasons it is a bad idea to establish human presence on these islands. There would be serious logistical problems, as well as legal problems.

1 ( +3 / -2 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 256 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 1,119 See in context

According to data provided by the Tokyo Prefectural Government. The analysis is as follows.

The total rate of persons hospitalized per 100,000 inhabitants is: 9,71 points. This is encouraging. Because it is below 10 points. And that's a good thing.

But we must be cautious. The downward trend has stopped. Implying that Tokyo Prefecture, has just reached the ground of the infection curve.

It is still too early if this is the beginning of the dreaded 4th wave. We hope that this is a stabilization and not a rebound of infected people.

This has been my analysis.

5 ( +5 / -0 )

Posted in: Suga says SDF facing challenging security environment See in context

bokuda Today 08:52 pm JST

Don't let Japan to have an army.

> Japanese have a tendency to invade countries and abuse atrociously of their military power.

> there's a good reason to not let japan having military.

The SDF is already a real army, except for the name.

And one more thing. The Japan of today has nothing to do with the Japan of the past. Now there is a democracy, with its faults and virtues. There is freedom of speech and of the press. And people have access to truthful information.

That was impossible more than 75 years ago. Not in that Japan.

5 ( +8 / -3 )

Posted in: Suga says SDF facing challenging security environment See in context

Peter14 Today 04:26 pm JST

Article 9 must go. Japan must have the same abilities as those close neighbors do to deter aggression and maintain peace.

Not necessarily.

By simply modifying paragraph 2. And the creation of 1 or 2 new paragraphs. I think that would be enough.

You must understand that the majority of the Japanese people reject the elimination of Article 9. However. Making a good explanation. If they would tolerate a modification, in case of urgent need.

In fact. What prevents its reform is the attitude of Yukio Edano and the PDCJ. They are the ones blocking the activation of Article 96 and the calling of a referendum to ask what the people really think.

4 ( +5 / -1 )

Posted in: China says it is exercising self-restraint against Japanese ships near Senkakus See in context

Samit Basu Mar. 15 11:07 pm JST

The Diaoyu Islands, as periphery islands of Formosa(Taiwan) is covered by the Cairo Declaration, and Japan has a legal obligation to return them to the Republic of China.

You say so yourself. Cairo "Declaration". And I emphasize that word.

A declaration is not a treaty. And it has no legal coverage, nor jurisprudence. It is only a statement of intent. In fact, The Cairo Declaration. It is actually a basic draft of the future San Francisco Treaty of 1951.

It is precisely this treaty. The one that confers legal personality. And it is the one that determines that the Senkaku Islands belong to Japan. And not to Taiwan. As you desperately try to claim.

And what's more. It is the Treaty of San Francisco that legally incorporates the Senkaku Islands into Okinawa Prefecture.

If we speak in legal terms. A declaration. It is basically a political statement or intentions. And it has no jurisdictional rank, unlike international treaties. 

Any discussion of more. These are terms that enter into the morality of each person. I only stick to the current legality in force.

8 ( +9 / -1 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 329 coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 999 See in context

We close the week by analyzing the hospital situation in Tokyo Prefecture.

https://stopcovid19.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/en/

With today's data. The total number of people hospitalized with Coronavirus is 1696. Back to similar numbers as of December 3, 2020.

We will also analyze the level of decline, taking the score per 100,000 inhabitants.

The rate of hospitalized coronavirus patients in Tokyo Prefecture. Last Sunday, February 21, was 14,58 points.

The rate of hospitalized coronavirus patients in Tokyo Prefecture. Today, Sunday, February 28, is 12,15 points.

This week. The drop in hospitalized coronavirus patients was 2,43 points.

If this trend does not change. Next week, total hospitalization should drop below 10 points. This level is very important. In accordance with international standard parameters. Because going below that figure would mean dropping 1 level on the danger scale.

On a color scale. It would be to go from the orange level to yellow. (stable situation) 

This is very good news, but we must be cautious. And don't relax. This pandemic has shown that it could still worsen the situation again.

6 ( +8 / -2 )

Posted in: Coast Guard could shoot at foreign vessels aiming to land on Senkakus: gov't officials See in context

Hiro S Nobumasa Feb. 26 05:36 pm JST

Tokyo deep down knows it’s not inherent Japanese territory in the first place.

The Treaty of San Francisco (UN). Contradicts your assertion.

Hello Kitty 321 Feb. 26 05:55 pm JST

The problem is that China and Taiwan also claim the islands that should have been returned to China

No. At the 1943 Cairo conference. It was determined that all Japanese occupation, dated after January 1, 1895. It was considered illegal and illegitimate. Forcing the return of these territories to their true owners.

The Senkaku Islands were taken by Japan in 1879. And there is no international law that obliges Japan to return them. That on a legal basis. It was outside the requirement of return. Consequently, the seizure of those islands was legal and legitimate. And that is why today it is Japanese territory. In fact, the Treaty of San Francisco specifies that these islands are Japanese territory.

Samit Basu Feb. 26 11:30 pm JST

no one else in East Asia recognizes Japan's territorial claim on Diaoyu Islands, not China, not Taiwan, not Korea, not Russia.

But if the UN. And with it the International Court of Justice, among others. Even the People's Republic of China itself, in 1979. Since the China-Japan Treaty. Which is actually an appendix to the San Francisco Treaty of 1951. This included the parameters established at the 1943 Cairo conference.

5 ( +6 / -1 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 272 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 1,032 See in context

We ended the week with an analysis of the Coronavirus situation in Tokyo Prefecture.

https://stopcovid19.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/en/

Today, Sunday. The total number of people hospitalized in the Prefecture stands at 2035 people. Approaching the psychological level of 2000 people. 374 fewer people than last week. It's a big drop.

Taking the ratio per 100,000 inhabitants. The numbers are as follows:

Last Sunday, February 14. The level of people hospitalized due to Coronavirus stood at 17,25 points.

Today, Sunday, February 21. The level of people hospitalized for Coronavirus is 14,57 points.

A decrease of 2,68 points in 1 week. With a daily average of 0,38 points down.

But most importantly. The hospital incidence is below 15 points. This means that the healthcare system will soon begin to unwind. There will be more hospital occupancy capacity.

But there is no need to relax. The goal now is to reach 10 points. In order to reduce the health alert level.

We are on the right track.

3 ( +4 / -1 )

Posted in: Japan, U.S. agree on cost of hosting American forces in FY2021 See in context

vanityofvanities Feb. 18 09:20 am JST

I do not care about the money to host U.S. Forces. I more care about how long Japan leaves its defense to a foreign military. Japanese people became nonchalant and stopped thinking about it.

Actually, many people do. Unfortunately, changing that is really very difficult. And all because of a rather incredulous political minority.

1). Change Article 9. In theory quite easy, if it were not for Edano's PDCJ. He is adamantly against doing so. It can also be applied to the Social Democratic Party.

2) A consensus pact LDP, Komeito, Ishin no Kai, is not enough. Numbers are not enough in the Diet. The PDCJ is needed to make those numbers sufficient for a constitutional amendment.

3) And it is that minority that stops Japan. To give it diplomatic strength, to force the US to make a significant troop reduction.

That is why Japan is hostage to the PDCJ. By refusing to see the reality that surrounds it. It makes it weaker. And unconsciously, more dependent on the US.

-1 ( +0 / -1 )

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