dougthehead13 comments

Posted in: Koike leads in Tokyo governor race: poll See in context

socrateos Today 09:35 am JST

What's amazing in this poll is that 60% among supporters of CDPJ, a leftist opposition party, 60% intend to vote for Koike

That's easy to understand. The CDPJ has completely abandoned social democratic liberal centrism. Coming up with completely crazy ideas that are out of touch with reality. And that has caused many left-wing voters to be orphaned, because they no longer have a political party to represent them. 

That's why they're looking for the alternative in Koike. She doesn't belong to Abe's LDP. And at the same time it has that centrist liberal social democratic touch, which the CDPJ currently lacks.

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Posted in: Japan to consider first-strike alternative to Aegis Ashore by October See in context

NIck Bart Balzano June 25 09:55 pm JST

A pre-emptive attack would mean shooting the missiles down before they were even launched or before their trajectory could be determined, and that's right out and totally against the Constitution.

In principle, yes.

Anyway, this is just a government proposal. Which will have to be debated first in the Diet. If approved, it will then ultimately be up to the Supreme Court to determine whether the proposal is legal or not.

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Posted in: Abe says Japan will bolster defense after scrapping missile system See in context

Sh1mon M4sada June 19 09:27 pm JST

@dougthehead

Where did I say 'buy'?

The THAAD deployed in South Korea is only to defend U.S. territory. And it's only operated by the U.S. Army, exclusively. 

As I said before. It's an anti-missile system that's not for sale. Israel, for example, has tried to buy it too.

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Posted in: Abe says Japan will bolster defense after scrapping missile system See in context

jumin RheeToday 06:08 pm JST

Isnt that the judicial (supreme court's) role, not the executive (prime minister and cabinet)?

The article is wrong and may lend itself to confusion.

Only the Diet and the Supreme Court can interpret the constitution. And in fact it was the Diet in 2015, which re-interpreted Article 9, by a very large absolute majority. In accordance with current legislation.

There was no illegality.

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Posted in: Abe says Japan will bolster defense after scrapping missile system See in context

Sh1mon M4sada Today 07:53 pm JST

Worse, opportunities to strengthen national defense is easily lost for good, just ask the South Korean the price they paid China for not having THAAD 'earlier'.

The THAAD is not for sale. And no country can buy it.

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Posted in: Japan to scrap costly land-based U.S. missile defense system See in context

Samit BasuToday 08:14 am JST

Japan needs THAAD, but a THAAD deployment cost 4 times as much as Aegis Ashore, so Japan chose Aegis Ashore simply because it was cheaper, but Japan can't even afford Aegis Ashore now.

The THAAD is not for sale and is solely for use in defending the United States.

By cost the THAAD is much cheaper than the Aegis Ashore. Since it's a mobile system deployed from trucks. 

The THAAD, deployed in South Korea, aims to shoot down potentially dangerous missiles from North Korea. If these missiles are a real danger to the United States. And they do not serve to defend South Korea, nor do they have that purpose.

As long as there is no sales and export version of THAAD. Japan won't be able to buy it.

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Posted in: Race for Tokyo governor is Koike's to lose See in context

Utsunomiya, 73, is popular among the capital's more liberal voters and backed by the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, the Japanese Communist Party and the Social Democratic Party. But he finished a distant second in both of his two previous attempts and will need to gain wider support to win this time.

This is interesting. The Liberals are supporting the candidate proposed by the Socialists and Communists. This is very paradoxical. The usual thing in all countries is that they are completely opposite and incompatible movements. And they would never share a joint electoral list. It's like trying to mix water with oil.

And the proposals that Utsunomiya says are closer to socialist and communist positions. Than from a liberal person.

Koike's proposals, if they are closer in parameters of international liberalism. Compared to those in Utsunomiya.

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Posted in: Koike to declare candidacy for re-election as Tokyo governor See in context

Strangerland Today 01:56 am JST

Doug - your comment is strange. You refer to Koike, but then go on to use 'I' and 'he'. Koike is female, and not you.

I'm sorry. I admit my English is pretty bad. But if people can understand what I want to convey in my messages. I'll be happy.

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Posted in: Koike to declare candidacy for re-election as Tokyo governor See in context

HAMBURGER June 12 06:37 am JST

She'll be prime minister someday.

No. It won't come to that.

Koike is too old to make that political leap. He's 67 years old. 

Maybe if I was 20 years younger. I'm sure I would have tried. However, she has already made history by being one of the first women politicians to reach the top in Japanese democratic history. Breaking a lot of taboos, within a broadly male dominated society. Being also that he comes from a humble level of society. And he was largely raised abroad.

That will be his legacy.

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Posted in: S Korea court may rule on Japanese firm asset sale in Aug at earliest See in context

jeancolmar Today 06:35 pm JST

Second of all, the 1965 treaty was forced on the South Korean people by a pro-rightwing Japanese dictator. It should be trashed.

Nobody forced anything. The 1965 treaty is based on the terms of the 1951 San Francisco treaty. South Korea only followed United Nations standards. Although it is true that the 1965 treaty does not specify textually, private individual reparation in times of war. Whether it has inclusion mechanisms to provide a solution within the treaty itself. 

Let's be honest. This problem has an easy solution. But the government of President Moon will prevent any initiative for a lasting solution. Since he uses this problem for electoral purposes as much as he, as well as his political party.

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Posted in: S Korea's actions not helpful in resolving export spat, Japan says See in context

People here are mixing several very different themes.

South Korea's complaint to the WTO. It is unfounded because it wants to demand another international government. The preferential use of industrial materials whose patent resides solely with Japanese companies. Where Korean companies are merely users of such materials, with the corresponding authorization from the legitimate owners. Through a lease for the use of that patent. The South Korean claim has no administrative legal basis. Simply because he's claiming something, which legally doesn't belong to him. Industrially speaking.

On the subject of the 1965 treaty. It certainly does not resolve the issue of slavery or the issue of comfort women. But the South Korean government is the first to fight against this. Even by arbitrarily nullifying the 2015 final settlement agreement. In the case of the women victims, who were enslaved by the Japanese imperial army.

They are simply mixing concepts, for exclusively political and electoral use. If we extrapolate from last April's election results in South Korea. The current President Moon will not be able to renew another term. And you need to use the anti-Japanese card to win the public's favor, for a new election.

Everything can be solved if both parties are really willing to come to an agreement. Unfortunately, the demands of the south Korean government are totally preventing a final solution.

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Posted in: South Korea to reopen WTO complaint over Japan's export controls See in context

News from one of the most important newspapers in Asia. From Singapore. 26 October 2019

South Korea to shed developing-nation WTO status

https://www.straitstimes.com/politics/s-korea-to-shed-developing-nation-wto-status

Another news item on another WTO decision against South Korea and in favour of Japan. Which comes from Bloomberg, September 10, 2019.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-10/south-korean-duties-on-japanese-valves-violate-rules-wto-finds

And there's even more news if you Google it.

There are so many South Korean cases lost to the WTO. That even this organization is losing confidence in this country.

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Posted in: Nissan to close Spain, Indonesia plants after losses See in context

albaleo Today 01:59 am JST

But is production capacity of the respective plants in England and Spain not the main issue for Nissan? I can't find accurate data to compare year by year, but does the England plant not produce about three times more cars than the Spain plant?

Because the plant in England is already sufficient to cover Nissan's sales needs throughout Europe.

European environmental policy is the direct cause of the drop in car sales. Which was already down since mid-2016. The coronavirus was the final blow of a decision made months ago.

England is no longer a member of the European Union. This means the automatic disappearance of environmental taxes imposed from Brussels. Which allows Nissan to become more competitive.

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Posted in: Nissan to close Spain, Indonesia plants after losses See in context

This departure of Nissan from Spain has nothing to do with the Ghons case. Rather, it's for other reasons that I'll summarize now.

1) Laws against climate change in the European Union. European governments are punishing car companies heavily with heavy fines. For having excessive pollution rates according to their regulations. In addition, these governments are criminalizing combustion engine cars. By raising taxes on diesel and gasoline. And encouraging almost compulsory public transport. All this has been seen in a significant reduction in car sales at European level. Not just at Nissan, but at all car brands. It can be said that many European governments are deliberately destroying the car industry. In a sectarian way without thinking about the consequences.

2) The socialist and communist coalition government in Spain. By making policies to increase labour costs and requiring additional taxes for wealthy companies. An example: The minimum inter-professional wage. It was raised in 2019. From 750 to 950 Euros by a decree law imposed arbitrarily without any negotiation. 

3) The Catalan problem. Many radical organizations cut the main roads without warning. Making the factories run out of supplies. Or that many new cars can't make it to the dealerships because of these roadblocks.

4) Legal insecurity. For the above and other related reasons. Especially in the case of Spain.

Just see where Nissan's production is moving. England. A country on the European continent, which is outside the European Union. Where European environmental laws are no longer in force. Because of the departure of this one in January of this year.

This from a Spaniard living in Spain.

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Posted in: Koike to announce candidacy in June for Tokyo gubernatorial election See in context

The Original Wing Today 07:03 pm JST

I know little of her politics, but I was glad that she made weekly YouTube broadcasts in English to keep the English-speaking population of Tokyo up-to-date with coronavirus information. It was a nice touch.

You have to understand one very important thing. Abe and Koike are not the same. Although many forum commentators say they are.

Abe is a person born into a family of the ancient Japanese aristocratic bourgeoisie. Socially nationalistic and economically liberal.

Koike, on the other hand, is of a liberal-centrist social democratic persuasion. Coming from a humble family, which has also lived many years abroad.

Both people come from 2 very different worlds. And the only thing that unites them politically, is that both have a liberal model, in a market economy. Socially, they're complete opposites.

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Posted in: Abe's support slides as top prosecutor's resignation bites See in context

Be aware that this survey belongs to the Mainichi Shimbun. And it's not exactly an unbiased newspaper.

To make a more accurate approach. We need to wait for the Kyodo and Nikkei polls to come in. That along with those of Asahi Shimbun. We'll be able to make a more accurate extrapolation. And thus have a more reliable demoscopic situation.

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Posted in: Japan urges Taiwan's participation in WHO assembly See in context

Taiwan was the first region in the world. Outside mainland China to detect the coronavirus. As early as November 2019.

He was the first to start researching and looking for abnormal strains to discover how to detect the virus. And what's more. He was the one who gave the world the image of the very virus we all know internationally. Being also the first to know how it is transmitted. Incubation periods. They even made the first detection tests. Which are the ones used as a world reference.

It was the first territory to close its external borders. The first to conduct massive tests. And as a consequence it is one of the territories with the least impact in the world. Being a very densely populated territory. But by living a completely normal life.

The world owes a lot to Taiwan.

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Posted in: Has Japan dodged the coronavirus bullet? See in context

The data that should be followed to have a situation as real as possible of the coronavirus are the following:

1) Follow the total number of people hospitalized daily by Covid 19. This will be the first indicator that will determine which prefecture will be in a phase of increase or decrease.

2) But above all, the data reported by the ICUs must be carefully followed. (intensive care units). Because that data will determine the peak of the pandemic. I can almost say it's the most reliable data of all. Since they are the only ones that cannot be hidden or simply disguised. 

My recommendation is to follow only the daily data reported by the ICUs. An increase or decrease in this area will be the first indicator whether Japan is emerging from the pandemic or not.

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Posted in: 4.7 mil tweets criticize Abe plan to raise retirement age for prosecutors See in context

Let's go analyze the data.

4.7 mil tweets criticize Abe plan to raise retirement age for prosecutors

It's a great number of tweets. But if we compare them to the number of votes in the last election. It's not a big deal for Abe either.

LDP: 17,711,862. PDCJ: 7,917,719 Komeito: 6,536,336. DDP: 3,481,053. Ishin: 4,907,844. Communist: 4,483,411. Reiwa Shinsengum: 2,280,764. Social Democratic: 1,046,011. N-Koku: 987,885

This data may give us a slight idea. Of the people who may be against this decision.

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Posted in: Destroyer takes antivirus precautions as it leaves for Mideast mission See in context

Xeno Man Today 05:26 pm JST

Germany managed to get its military back because the clever, German politicians played hard ball with the US about the Soviet threat

That's completely untrue.

Germany was able to recover its army thanks to the state pact, agreed upon by the SPD and the CDU. And both political parties supported the YES, in a national referendum.

In Japan that's totally impossible. This would require an affirmative pact LDP - PDCJ - Kōmeitō. And those three political parties would have to defend the YES, in a national referendum. And I'm telling you that's not gonna happen. Especially not with the current leaders of the PDCJ.

You are looking only at the LDP and the US as the main culprits in Japan's failure to regain its army. When in fact he should only be looking for them within Japanese domestic politics. And more specifically in the field of opposition. Opponents in modifying Article 9.

The example of Germany cannot be applied in Japan.

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Posted in: 2 Chinese ships chase Japanese fishing boat near Senkaku Islands See in context

Samit Basu Today 01:48 am JST

Per terms of Potsdam Declaration, Taiwan and its surrounding islands, including the Diaoyu Islands, has been returned to the Republic of China.

The Potsdam Declaration was the document demanding the surrender of the Japanese Empire by the allied powers. And their demand for territories was only a base document for the return of the occupied territories. Based on the previous borders of 1895. The Senkakus Islands have belonged to Japan since 1879. 16 years earlier than the Potsdam Declaration requires.

However, the legal document that specifies that these islands are Japanese resides in the Treaty of San Francisco. Which are backed and audited by the United Nations. And the People's Republic of China also recognized the Senkaku Islands as a Japanese territory in 1978. As I mentioned earlier.

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Posted in: 2 Chinese ships chase Japanese fishing boat near Senkaku Islands See in context

smithinjapan Today 06:22 pm JST

WilliB: And in any case, why would a permanent presence prove they belong to Japan? SK has lived on and administered Dokdo for ages, but Japan still claims the islands.

Except that China recognized that the Senkaku Islands belong to and are sovereign Japanese territory. Signed on 11 August 1978. Which is the official document recognized by the UN.

That's why China can't go to the ICJ now to claim those islands. Because judicially it has no chance of success.

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Posted in: 70% see Japan-U.S. security alliance in positive light: gov't survey See in context

marcelito Today 01:22 am JST

It's an annually scheduled survey. That it can't be suspended. Since it's a requirement of the United States itself. Within the text of the Japan-US security alliance itself. This survey has been conducted continuously for 60 years.

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Posted in: 70% see Japan-U.S. security alliance in positive light: gov't survey See in context

Barto May 5 09:10 pm JST

70% happy to live in a colony.

Nice score. It is sad that people are so uneducated that they accept the ruling by a foreign gvt as positive.

That's partly the fault of the opposition parties. Edano of the PDCJ is a strong supporter of the Japan-US security alliance. Not because it's something I wished for or accepted willingly. Only because it is the main impediment to people not requesting immediate reform of Article 9. Of which he is a staunch defender at the extreme.

A reform of that Article. would give Japan more autonomy and less dependence on the United States. Unfortunately, the country's leftist wing is preventing this advance for purely electoral reasons.

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Posted in: Abe regrets having missed goal of amending Constitution by 2020 See in context

AlexBecu May 5 05:46 am JST

Remember Germany?

Even they have a normal military after everything that happened, everything they did. It's overdue for Japan to change too.

Unfortunately, Germany is not Japan.

The German constitutional changes are thanks to the broad affirmative consensus between the SPD and the CDU. And that is totally impossible to happen between the two main Japanese political parties.

Even Abe's LDP is not Merkel's CDU. Nor is the PDCJ of Edano, it is the SPD of Schröder. Both parties are far apart ideologically. Or worse. They can't stand each other. And until those differences are resolved, constitutional reform in Japan will be impossible. Far from it with the current leaders and managers of these two parties.

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Posted in: Abe regrets having missed goal of amending Constitution by 2020 See in context

Paul Laimal-Convoy Today 07:26 am JST

This is interesting. Please reply with quotes and/or sources/URLs to back up your statement.

Okay. I apologize for not putting the URL, in the previous comment.

https://japan.kantei.go.jp/constitution_and_government_of_japan/constitution_e.html

If you read the constitution you will see that there is no legal support, from many laws that are being applied. And to do so is thanks to re-interpretations, or simply by looking for gaps within one's constitution. The government has been doing that for decades. Seeing as it's impossible to change the current constitution.

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Posted in: Abe regrets having missed goal of amending Constitution by 2020 See in context

JeffLee Today 06:35 am JST

Not needed. Article 13 already indicates that the interests of public welfare can supersede normal human rights. 

Let's see what Article 13 says

Article 13. All of the people shall be respected as individuals. Their right to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness shall, to the extent that it does not interfere with the public welfare, be the supreme consideration in legislation and in other governmental affairs.

People's rights are inviolable. And the article itself says that no law of public interest can interfere with people's lives. Textually.

The evacuation of Fukushima was unconstitutional. And the PDJ government did the same as in the case of the JSDF, in Article 9. Ignore their existence and use force majeure. Which is an illegal but necessary act.

The constitution has some articles that are becoming obsolete. And you need a special article for emergencies. And they're not opinions. They're facts.

I agree that Abe is not the right person to lead a negotiating table, for a constitutional amendment. But in the long-term future it will be necessary to begin these negotiations with the social partners, who will have to deal with this problem.

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Posted in: Abe seeks to extend state of emergency by about a month See in context

Bjorn Tomention

As of March 10, Abe did not yet have legislation in place to implement measures against the coronavirus. And it is also a special temporary law of 2 years not extendable. And only for the coronavirus. Which is also very lax because the constitution does not allow for tougher legislation.

If Abe had acted sooner without any legislation. (before March 10). He and his government would have been arrested by court order. And they'd be locked up in jail until the start of the trial. Not to mention that they would be removed from office and Abe would no longer be prime minister.

That's what would have happened.

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Posted in: Abe seeks to extend state of emergency by about a month See in context

Blockages are necessary to prevent the virus from spreading from one prefecture to another. And thus avoid massive contagion in areas where the presence of Covid 19 is almost non-existent. 

Without a vaccine now, it's the only thing to do.

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Posted in: Japan divided over introducing emergency clause in Constitution See in context

The majority of the Japanese population is understanding that the current constitution is becoming obsolete. And that's a big step for the medium-term future. Probably in the next decade it can finally be reformed. The main problems in applying Article 96 right now are these.

The current cabinet headed by Abe must resign. The people will not allow constitutional reform with a nationalist government.

And the current leaders of the opposition like Edano, Renhō, Sasaki, Kondo and all the rest of the PDCJ management team. They have to be replaced by people with realistic tendencies. Who are in favour of reforming the constitution, imposing their proposals at a negotiating table.

And Kōmeitō as an arbitrator between the LDP and the PDCJ to reach a consensus that satisfies all parties.

Only in this way can the constitution be reformed by applying Article 96. Not before the year 2035.

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