funkymofo comments

Posted in: Gun-rights activists gear up for show of force in Virginia See in context

Given the number of victims allegedly being saved with guns, it would seem natural to conclude that owning a gun substantially reduces your chances of being murdered. Yet a careful case-control study of homicide in the home found that a gun in the home was associated with an increased rather than a reduced risk of homicide. Virtually all of this risk involved homicide by a family member or intimate acquaintance.”

Arthur L. Kellermann et al., Gun Ownership As a Risk Factor for Homicide in the Home, 329 New Eng. J. Med. 1084, 1087 (1993)

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: Gun-rights activists gear up for show of force in Virginia See in context

Since a small percentage of people may report virtually anything on a telephone survey, there are serious risks of overestimation in using such surveys to measure rare events. The problem becomes particularly severe when the issue has even a remote possibility of positive social desirability response bias.

Consider the responses to a national random-digit-dial telephone survey of over 1,500 adults conducted in May 1994 by ABC News and the Washington Post. One question asked: "Have you yourself ever seen anything that you believe was a spacecraft from another planet?" 10% of respondents answered in the affirmative. These 150 individuals were then asked, "Have you personally ever been in contact with aliens from another planet or not?" and 6% answered "Yes."

By extrapolating to the national population, we might conclude that almost 20 million Americans have seen spacecraft from another planet, and over a million have been in personal contact with aliens from other planets. That more than a million Americans had contact with aliens would be incredible news—but not the kind actively publicized by reputable scientists. Yet the ABC News/Washington Post data on aliens are as good as or better than that from any of the thirteen surveys cited by K-G as supporting their conclusions about self-defense gun use.”

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Posted in: Gun-rights activists gear up for show of force in Virginia See in context

Kleck’s survey included gun uses against animals and did not distinguish civilian uses from military of police uses. Kleck’s Interviewers do not appear to have questioned a random individual at a given telephone number, but rather asked to speak to the male head of the household. Males from the South and West were oversampled. The results imply that many hundreds of thousands of murders should have been occurring when a private gun was not available for protection. Yet guns are rarely carried, less than a third of adult Americans personally own guns, and only 27,000 homicides occurred in 1992.

Another study from the same period, the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), estimated 65,000 DGUs (defensive gun uses) annually. The NCVS survey differed from Kleck’s study in that it only interviewed those who reported a threatened, attempted, or completed victimization for one of six crimes: rape, robbery, assault, burglary, non-business larceny, and motor vehicle theft. That accounts for the discrepancy in the two results. A National Research Council report said that Kleck's estimates appeared to be exaggerated and that it was almost certain that "some of what respondents designate[d] as their own self-defense would be construed as aggression by others" (Understanding and Preventing Violence, 266, Albert J. Reiss, Jr. & Jeffrey A. Roth, eds., 1992).

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Posted in: Abe meets Saudi king amid tensions in Middle East See in context

Muppet meets murderer.

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Posted in: Death penalty a sticking point in Australia-Japan military agreement See in context

*your

-5 ( +0 / -5 )

Posted in: Death penalty a sticking point in Australia-Japan military agreement See in context

@alwaysspeakingwisdom et al,

According to the Japanese government's own stats, 95% of rapes go unreported in Japan. Don't let that stop you're supercilious comments, though.

3 ( +11 / -8 )

Posted in: Prince Andrew urged to cooperate with U.S. over Epstein See in context

The very idea of a 'royal family'.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Posted in: Ousted ambassador felt threatened; Trump assails her anew See in context

Fun watching Trump squirm on the hook.

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Posted in: Olympic champ Sun Yang faces public hearing in doping case See in context

Cheat

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Posted in: Criticism after Kawasaki festival drops 'comfort women' film See in context

Failing to face up to wartime atrocities does Japan no favours.

10 ( +11 / -1 )

Posted in: Rugby World Cup quarterfinals: Major rivalries and a surprise package See in context

Personally, I can't see Japan beating the springboks. Great effort to make it this far, but the boks will be out for revenge and won't be caught napping this time.

France /Wales game will depend on which France team turns up.

Australia /England, probably England, but an upset is definitely on the cards, especially if Petaia has a good game, hugely talented.

I think NZ is a bridge too far for Ireland.

My $0.02.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Posted in: Trump leaves Turkey and Syria to argue it out; Pelosi says he had 'meltdown' See in context

Of course he had a meltdown, he's a giant baby. He trades in personal invective because he has no understanding of policy. Just yesterday he was berating the French for their unfair trade practices in selling Renault cars in the US - Renault hasn't been sold in the US since 1989.

7 ( +11 / -4 )

Posted in: Money, hatred for the Kurds drives Turkey's Syrian fighters See in context

> Trump's not abandoning them. Enormous economic pressure is being put on Turkey to not go too far with this military assault

Sanctions might have an effect in 12 months or so, great comfort to the thousands of abandoned Kurds killed in the meantime, I'm sure.

8 ( +10 / -2 )

Posted in: Money, hatred for the Kurds drives Turkey's Syrian fighters See in context

Question for the anti-Trumpers - Where's the UN?

> Second question - Where's the UN?

> Final question - Where's the UN?

So you want the UN's help now?

4 ( +7 / -3 )

Posted in: U.S. could pull bulk of troops from Syria in matter of days: officials See in context

So, these colors do run, apparently.

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Posted in: Turkey presses Syrian assault as thousands flee the fighting See in context

Abandoning your allies - that's never going to come back to bite you....

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Posted in: With China rift ongoing, NBA commissioner says league will support freedom of speech See in context

Most fragile thing in existence - the Chinese heart.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: Trump seizes on unsubstantiated China claims against Biden See in context

Trump, hoist with his own petard.

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Posted in: Referees 'spooked,' fumes Australia coach Cheika after Welsh setback See in context

@luddite To be fair, it was a pretty terrible call.

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Posted in: Feminist scholar calls Japan's gender problem 'human disaster' See in context

@burningbush Why do you think women's only carriages and apartments are necessary? You are either hilariously uninformed or being facetious.

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Posted in: Trump says Iran made 'big mistake' by shooting down U.S. drone See in context

@fizzbit The difference being Kennedy had a clue.

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Posted in: Trump says he did not raise election meddling with Putin in phone call See in context

Well, Trump never lies, so I guess we should just take him at his word. Hahaha

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Posted in: Trump's 'MAGAnomics' gets a thumbs-down from Democrats See in context

Wen your deflection is 'We're not as bad as China', you need to reassess your position.

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Posted in: Court approves Ghosn's release on ¥1 bil bail See in context

Solitary confinement for over 100 days. Unbelievable.

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Posted in: Trump says talks with Kim failed over N Korean sanctions demands See in context

'I believe Kim about Otto Warmbier.' WTH.

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Posted in: Trump says talks with Kim failed over N Korean sanctions demands See in context

Well, it didn't quite achieve zero results, he did get to legitimize a murderous dictator.

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Posted in: 'Liar, Pants on Fire': GOP keeps focus on Cohen, not Trump See in context

The 'law and order' party. Hahaha

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Posted in: Trump makes his case for Nobel Peace Prize; says Abe nominated him for it See in context

Trump is a giant baby perpetually at the mercy of his insecurities.

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Posted in: Trump agrees to end government shutdown without border wall money See in context

First a wall, now a cave.

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Posted in: Ghosn re-arrested for aggravated breach of trust See in context

99% conviction rate tells you all you need to know about the Japanese legal system.

-3 ( +14 / -17 )

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