COVID-19 INFORMATION What you need to know about the coronavirus if you are living in Japan or planning a visit.

Fuzzy comments

Posted in: Tokyo confirms 63 new coronavirus cases, a record daily increase See in context

@Caliboy

The source is important because now they where the infections are coming from and they can trace and test all the contacts and contain the outbreak

Got it, and valid point. Contact tracing seems to be key to the Japan response so far and is likely a major contributor to the relatively low impact of covid to date. I hope they keep this up. But contact tracing alone won't be enough to keep a lid on this.

The surge in infections over the last three days has come from hospital. 40/63 is 2/3 of the outbreak is from the hospital.

You've lost me here. There have been around 140 in the last 3 days in Tokyo. 63 is only today. Don't get creative with your statistics.

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo confirms 63 new coronavirus cases, a record daily increase See in context

@Caliboy

Funny how no one went to NHK site to find out the source of the increase was a hospital.

Why is the source important here? Not clear what point you are trying to make.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: Abe warns Japanese to prepare for prolonged coronavirus battle See in context

Has anyone else noticed that up until a few days ago the media was reporting the number of new infections nationally, but the past few days only reporting Tokyo numbers. Nice way to mask the increase from roughly 30 new cases a day to approximately 150 new infections a day over last couple of days.

9 ( +10 / -1 )

Posted in: Tokyo confirms 63 new coronavirus cases, a record daily increase See in context

There are a lot of self-prophets of doom and gloom concerning Japan up on here.How many of yous claiming credit for spouting the obvious? 

Coming from someone who hasn't yet grasped just how quickly 60 infections can become 900 deaths if handled poorly.

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo confirms 63 new coronavirus cases, a record daily increase See in context

For those of us with kids, are we supposed to send our kids to school on April 6th when the coronavirus situation is worse than when Abe closed down schools over a month ago???

That's 12 days away. A lot can happen in 12 days. High likelihood that national emergency will be declared by then. If I were to guess, I'd give it 3-5 days...

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: Abe warns Japanese to prepare for prolonged coronavirus battle See in context

I don't know whether it's because the average Japanese knows little about what precautions are being taken around the world

I think it's safe to assume the average Japanese person knows very little about what other countries are doing. It's certainly not being reported much in the Japanese media that I've seen at least. What's even more concerning is it would appear the J-Gov are also oblivious to what other countries are doing or have done. There is a wealth of information out there as to what is working and not working.

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Posted in: Tokyo begins quiet weekend, but some go about as usual See in context

@Tom

No. Why is this so hard for people to understand. Avoid non essential social contact.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo confirms 63 new coronavirus cases, a record daily increase See in context

Somebody slipped class when they covered the exponential equations

i think you’re being generous here. I suspect somebody skipped class everyday.

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Posted in: Tokyo confirms 63 new coronavirus cases, a record daily increase See in context

Does anyone know if you can request a test in Tokyo or do you have to wait until you show signs?

You gotta wait until your dead.And even then it's not guaranteed.

4 ( +8 / -4 )

Posted in: U.S. faces new outbreaks as coronavirus infections worldwide top 575,000 See in context

@WilliB

The key point is, don't cherry pick the data. Here's what else Fauci is saying...

At this point, what we do know, he said, is that the new coronavirus is “10 times more serious than the typical influenza.”

“This is serious business,” he said. “We are not overreacting.”

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20200124/coronavirus-2020-outbreak-latest-updates?ecd=wnl_spr_032720&ctr=wnl-spr-032720_nsl-LeadModule_cta&mb=t68V0O9BA5imHI%2fwnEcOpChonS%2fH3cwyOWuPXlytnj8%3d

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Posted in: U.S. faces new outbreaks as coronavirus infections worldwide top 575,000 See in context

CFR is only part of the picture. You also need to factor in the transmissibility. Given there is no existing immunity to this virus (or vaccine) and the rate of spread observed around the world, a large percentage of the population will be infected. Experts are saying 40-70% of the population will be infected. So, even with a CFR similar to the seasonal flu, the total deaths will be higher. With a CFR of 0.1%, the fatalities could be between 50,000 to 90,000 in Japan. And, as has been pointed out many times before, it's not only fatalities that are a concern. The serious complication rate is very high and the potential to push health systems well beyond their capacity is proven in several countries already. Relying on reputable sources like Fauci and NEJM is the right thing to do. But, you need to look at what is being said on balance as a whole, not just cherry pick parts to suit your narrative. Just look at Fauci as an example. He's co-author of the NEJM editorial, but he's also the one telling how serious we need to take this and calling for the lockdowns.

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Posted in: U.S. faces new outbreaks as coronavirus infections worldwide top 575,000 See in context

Not sure that Bill Gates, an elitist billionaire 1%er who made his riches by ensuring Windows had a monopoly on software is the best choice of info for this medical situation.

Actually, Gates knows a lot about pandemics. It's been a big part of his philanthropic efforts for many years. Check out his 2015 TED talk where he warns of exactly what we are going through now.

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Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51527043

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Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

Japanese were the first to hoard toilet paper in all this situation. 

Not true. Happened in Hong Kong first. Then Japan caught on. The the Aussies took it to a whole new level!

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Posted in: Japan to set up coronavirus task force; no state of emergency yet See in context

There's a rumour going around that while many countries are offering cash to its residents to help cope with the situation financially, the Japanese government is hoping to offer people wagyu beef coupons!!!!!!! Don't know if it's true, but really???!!!!

I'd say this is the smartest thing the J-gov has done this whole time if true. A cash gift will wind up in savings accounts wasting away. Vouchers for things people can consume will keep people employed.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: Japan to set up coronavirus task force; no state of emergency yet See in context

@TheLongTermer

So where are the sick people? Its been 3 months now

It all comes down to how deaths are recorded. Did they die of covid-19? Or was it pneumonia, or sepsis, or organ failure? I've been curious to see if there is an upward tend in these other causes of death, but I read recently that these statistics are only released to the public every three years, most recently in November last year... guess we'll get our answer in 2022.

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Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

I'm with Tora on this. Many Japanese know their government is lying, but they feel powerless and just go with the flow.

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Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

Burning Bush and Caliboy are unusually quiet these past two days... I wonder why.

Only 3 days ago BB was gloating about being right and the rest of us being idiots.

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Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

I think they have a plan and are going through the motions. But the speed by which they are rolling it out will cause chaos. They left it too late and they know it. And, I'm certain it's not a good plan even though they've had two months to cook it up.

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Posted in: Koike urges Tokyo residents to stay at home at weekend See in context

@mmwkdw

The virus can apparently remain upon surfaces for up to 17... yes 17 days! 

Source? Stuff like this does not help. It just feeds panic. Data I have read, from reputable sources, puts it at 72 hours on plastics, less on most other surfaces.

8 ( +8 / -0 )

Posted in: Koike urges Tokyo residents to stay at home at weekend See in context

@CraneToday

They make you go through loopholes after loopholes to get test.. you have to go through consultation, chest x-ray at your local hospital, and then another consultation to recommend the test in order to qualify... People aren't going to do all that..

Are you speaking from personal experience here? I'm curious because the "anti-testers" on this site and the J-Gov want us to believe that testing is bad because going to a medical facility to get tested will result in more infections.

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Posted in: Koike urges Tokyo residents to stay at home at weekend See in context

And what the hell is with this "overshoot" crap they made up? Overshooting what? Your planned trajectory? Call it what it is, call it what the rest of the world is calling it... exponential growth.

23 ( +24 / -1 )

Posted in: Koike urges Tokyo residents to stay at home at weekend See in context

This article has changed a little since the first posts. Seeing it now with that picture of Koike infuriates me. So shameful. So blatant. How do people like her live with themselves.

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Posted in: Koike urges Tokyo residents to stay at home at weekend See in context

@carpslidy

I'm sorry to hear this is affecting your livelihood (you too @since1981). It's a difficult situation with no good answer. There will be many amongst us soon facing similar situations. A lockdown will be devastating for the economy, no doubt. But what happens if we don't take extreme measures? At some point people will decide for themselves to stay home (out of fear) and then the economy suffers anyway and we're left with a humanitarian crisis on top. I don't want a lockdown, but I I believe it it is inevitable. I'd like to believe taking precautions will be enough, but I worry it's too late for that now. Like I said, there is no "good" solution here. We're left with trying to decide which decision is less bad.

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Posted in: Koike urges Tokyo residents to stay at home at weekend See in context

So predictable. For weeks we are told there is no problem. One day before Olympics officially postponed we are told a lockdown may become necessary in the future. The day of the postponement, we are told people have become complacent and need to be more careful. The day following the postponement the numbers suddenly start to rise. AND on TV tonight they are using the emergency alert system to tell people in Tokyo to stay home this weekend and not travel overseas.

41 ( +46 / -5 )

Posted in: Experts warn Japanese growing complacent of coronavirus risk See in context

@Caliboy

Japan’s winning its quiet fight against Covid-19

https://asiatimes.com/2020/03/japans-winning-its-quiet-fight-against-covid-19/

Did you even read the article? It's a critique of the government suggesting that they are deliberately fudging the numbers to maintain calm and the economy. I encourage everyone here to read this linked article.

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Posted in: Experts warn Japanese growing complacent of coronavirus risk See in context

@Caliboy

It seems to me that Japan's critics will not listen to reason.

Your post talks to Japan being better prepared to care for ill patients than other countries. This is great of course. But there is nothing here to say that infection rates will remain low.

3 ( +6 / -3 )

Posted in: Experts warn Japanese growing complacent of coronavirus risk See in context

The 4 steps of lockdown. STEP 1: Tell people that a lockdown might become necessary in the future (so they are prepared for it). Happened yesterday. STEP 2: Blame the people. It's your own fault for being complacent We are here now. STEP 3: Now that Olympics are postponed, increase testing and acknowledge the problem is worse than they thought. STEP 4: Lockdown.

3 ( +4 / -1 )

Posted in: 13% of employees in Japan teleworking due to virus See in context

@nonu6976

I wouldn't say it defeats the purpose. If there are only two of you, you've cut your household risk in half. Better than nothing. I'm in similar situation, wife expected to show up on time as per usual. My company has encouraged remote and staggered commuting. Unfortunately, 95% of our employees continue to show up at the office as usual, even though I'm sure many don't want to. Overcoming ingrained work culture is a difficult thing...

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Posted in: Koike urges cooperation to avoid Tokyo lockdown See in context

@kitts

The goal of a lockdown would be to slow infection rates within Tokyo, not about stopping spread between areas.

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