Unfortunately, it is the start of the next wave. In Japan, the first significant uptick will be at the end of June, and by Tanabata we’ll be well into the fifth wave.
I hope all the good peeps here stay safe and in good spirits during the next one.
4 ( +5 / -1 )
You have, unfortunately, nailed it. The fifth-segueing-into-sixth wave will start with an uptick at the end of June and reach its stride right around Tanabata.
I don’t hope or wish for it, but it’s hard to not see to the plethora of factors that will lead to it.
Do what you feel necessary to stay safe and well, all the good denizens of this comment board, and continue to enjoy your lives to the fullest.
2 ( +4 / -2 )
Here’s the only thing I could find in English:
Hope it’s helpful for your journalist friend. Everyone, do your best to stay safe and continue to enjoy your life.
-1 ( +1 / -2 )
I was also curious about the story @anon mentioned. Here’s one news article I found:
It’s in Japanese, but it’s NHK, so there’s probably an English version. No time now, but I’ll check later.
1 ( +1 / -0 )
Me, too! Any decrease is good! :–)
Have we really, finally, truly — using the Japan Model — reached the summit? (Remember, you promised us back in November and December that we had peaked, but the numbers unfortunately skyrocketed in January.)
So the numbers will go down from here until we reach the Olympic opening ceremony, right? Stay safe!
11 ( +13 / -2 )
Yes, I agree that these measures are not enough. But, they will have some short-term effect.
And when they’re lifted, you’re right — look for the mass of humanity beeline to the nearest watering holes. I think you’ve also correctly called the continuation of the 4th wave or the start of the 5th. I’m not a gloom-and-doomer, but it doesn’t bode well for the Olympics.
Everybody, stay safe — no cowering behind the sofa! — and enjoy the sunshine while it lasts.
0 ( +0 / -0 )
I usually start my day by singing this refrain to the tune of “On the Sunny Side of the Street.” Not a perfect fit, but it can be shoehorned in.
It seems that the numbers will go up and down a bit following GW, but they are, unfortunately, sure to surpass the third wave’s peak. So, sorry to say and contrary to a glorious popular belief, they haven’t peaked yet.
As always, hope I’m wrong and hope all the posters here stay healthy during this wave.
5 ( +6 / -1 )
Thanks for the link. I’ve also been seeing these kinds of news stories on different news sites for a few weeks now, and living and working in central Osaka, I find it a definite concern.
4 ( +4 / -0 )
According to many articles these days — and the docs I know at a major public hospital here in Osaka — Ashley Shiba is right. Here’s one such article I read a few days ago:
4 ( +4 / -0 )
Thanks, but I believe it started off as a misspelling and then acquired the words needed to make it an acronym/initialization.
I could be misinformed, but if you trust Investopedia — and other investment websites — they explain that it’s an example of folk etymology:
If I’m wrong, I stand corrected.
1 ( +1 / -0 )
Perhaps someone posted an answer and it was deleted, so just in case... HODL (a misspelling of “hold”) refers to buying and holding on to an investment. It’s usually used of cryptocurrency.
0 ( +1 / -1 )
Any one day drop is nice to see, of course, but it’s still a large number of people with a new problem in their lives.
635 new cases reported last week, but 879 today — an almost 40% increase. And I think we’re still over a month away from seeing this wave’s peak. (Not hoping, of course, just predicting.)
Despite the daily bleak news, I hope everyone here is relaxing, staying well and enjoying their GW.
6 ( +7 / -1 )
Thanks for your input. In my many years in Japan, I’ve never heard パンティー used in Japanese to refer to men’s underpants. The article also mentions “lingerie,” a word I’ve also never heard used for men’s underwear. So after reading the article — clearly about female undies — I couldn’t get the meaning of @Samit Basu’s sentence and parsed it as having “panties” as the subject.
Your reading also works, and your point is well taken. If given the following choices, which one would you tend to use?
1. For those who are not British, "crisps" refers to “potato chips” in American English.
2. For those who are not British, "potato chips" refers to “crisps” in American English.
(Or 3. For those who are not British, "potato chips" in American English are what the British refer to as “crisps.”)
Finally, a Google search using the keyword パンティ showed lots of female undergarments, but no men’s briefs. The original title on Yahoo News is:
37歳男性宅に侵入し女性用下着34枚盗んだか 20代男女逮捕 男「パンティーなど盗んだのは間違いない」
Thanks again, though, @garypen & @Samit Basu. Any food for thought is a good thing. Stay safe and enjoy GW!
0 ( +0 / -0 )
Thanks, @Samit Basu, but North American English is my native tongue, and if a man in the U.S. ever referred to the panties he was wearing, he’d be laughed out of the room and reminded of it for years to come.
Please check an American English dictionary like Merriam-Webster or American Heritage to confirm.
11 ( +12 / -1 )
Yes, the Tokyo numbers are, of course, going up. (Please see my post of April 15.)
Osaka will probably beat Tokyo today, but @Zoroto is right — the numbers will go down due to the holidays, and the warm smile and glorious afterglow will return for a few days.
Hope the holiday gives the populace and the frontline healthcare workers a little respite. To all the good posters here, hope you enjoy a relaxing, safe GW!
17 ( +17 / -0 )
This, unfortunately, was expected.
As everyone knows, a one-day drop does not a trend make. We’re only about halfway to the fourth wave peak. Still, another month or so of pre-planning meetings, planning meetings and real meetings by the decision makers, so we all have to take care of ourselves.
I feel fortunate, though, that I’m still able to go about my daily life here in Japan in relative safety with no stress. Please give a thought to the people who aren’t.
O/T (as of this moment, so be patient and wait a few hours) but the Osaka numbers probably won’t be gloriously promising, either.
11 ( +15 / -4 )
I also hope that this thing has really peaked.
Some people, however, have predicted since last year that it has peaked, and each successive wave has gotten bigger, so I’m unfortunately sure that this wave hasn’t peaked yet. Today’s numbers (Tuesday) will be much higher than yesterday’s.
0 ( +0 / -0 )
Yes, misinformation & disinformation are all over the Net like spots on a Naniwa lady’s leopard print blouse
Totally agree. I certainly don’t want to spread disinformation — either intentionally or unintentionally. And after proofing my own posts, I often find my typos just after pressing “Post.” It would be nice to be able to edit and/or delete and repost.
0 ( +1 / -1 )
About the line and the batons . . .This is obviously a staged photo.
Remember the SDF nurses coming to the new Osaka covid hospital — in a line, in step, and in battle fatigues?
2 ( +2 / -0 )
I agree. With GW coming next week — even with the SOE — it’s going to get worse, unfortunately.
The numbers are bad, and getting worse, and I would hope that everyone realizes that a number represents a person with a new and potentially debilitating or fatal problem.
Hope Ehime stays relatively calm (I’m in the center of Osaka), but hope and predictions don’t always happily match up. Do what you can to gave a relaxing GW and keep safe!
3 ( +6 / -3 )
The Osaka numbers are out.:
No warm smiles today...
5 ( +6 / -1 )
Yes, the Tokyo number is highly regrettable. Another hemidemisemi-state of heightened concern is perhaps in order. :/s
The fourth wave, by my reckoning, started around March 10th — before the end of the previous manbo. I’m not happy about this at all, of course, but so far I’m going on with what I want to do, with carefulness but no panic, with no problem.
The next six weeks or so look to be bad, number wise, but I hope that all the posters here are all keeping well and are able to carry on safely with minimal disruption to their daily lives.
-1 ( +3 / -4 )
@longtimenosee & @Vinke
Thanks a million. It’s good to see a detailed breakdown. It seems that it’s updated later in the day, but that’s to be expected from a more detailed site. Thanks again!
4 ( +4 / -0 )
This is the site I always look at to find out what’s going on in Osaka. ((I live in central Osaka near the castle.)
It doesn’t, unfortunately, show the number of tests.
3 ( +3 / -0 )
@klausdorth & @jimizo
Thanks for the well-deserved spanking! But, if you have a reread, just a few short words later, I go on to say — as subtly as I can — that the small drop means absolutely nothing.
Sorry for being too indirect and sarcastic, but I know from experience that some of the posters here are people of a sensitive nature, and I don’t want to send them into a tizzy.
In fact, I really think the one day drop is absolutely meaningless and that we’re only about 25% of the way to to the next peak.
8 ( +10 / -2 )
The number of cases is lower in Tokyo today than it was yesterday, but a one-day drop may or may not — and probably doesn’t — mean anything in the upward curve. For the Tokyo posters, hope you’re all doing well while getting on with and enjoying your daily lives.
Today’s Osaka case number is 1,209, one up from yesterday’s. Any ideas as to why?
-7 ( +3 / -10 )
Hoping for stricter measures in the most effective and least destructive manner, but also don’t want to see small businesses and their workers suffer.
No fear-mongering here, and sincerely hoping for lower numbers, but it’s clearly looking like this wave/upturn is going to be the biggest and deadliest so far.
So everyone, do the best you can in your own ways. Hoping to see the usual posters here at the end of this one.
The Tokyo numbers are out — 667 new cases, 43 patients in serious condition — and I can’t get up my daily salute to the current Japan Model™️, because, actually, I still don’t know what it is.
0 ( +2 / -2 )
Tokyo is, sadly, going to catch up number wise to Osaka. As I said on March 12th, and as those of you living in Japan know, the higher numbers are predictable when looking at all the activities around the end of March and beginning of April. (Last night in my neighborhood in central Osaka it was like any other year’s mid-April atmosphere and activity.)
16 ( +20 / -4 )
The numbers are in for Tokyo today: 729 newly reported cases. No warm, fuzzy smile or springy step on my side. Somebody needs to give that troublemaker Gov. Koike a good, stern lecture...
7 ( +9 / -2 )
If anyone wonders where the most serious cases are, they follow by around three weeks the increase in positive test results — just as they did in the last three waves.
Nobody is looking forward to that, nobody wants that, but it’s easy to predict.
10 ( +12 / -2 )
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