COVID-19 INFORMATION What you need to know about the coronavirus if you are living in Japan or planning a visit.

iraira comments

Posted in: Barbers, 'izakaya,' dept stores, DIY shops to be off Tokyo's closure request list See in context

There are no provisions in Japanese law for the establishment of a lockdown or martial law, so it really can't be enacted. But, yeah, the government making a list of "essential services" beyond emergency services and food providers only invites all businesses to find a way to get included in the list.

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Posted in: Countries start thinking about easing restrictions, even as virus death toll rises in Europe, U.S. See in context

Burning Bush

"Pre-existing conditions" does not always mean that the particular person is on their deathbed and all it took was a gentle nudge from corona to push the patient into the abyss. Many patients are/were doing fine and their pre-existing condition are/was managed quite well, until corona came along and made the worst of a bad situation.

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Posted in: Countries start thinking about easing restrictions, even as virus death toll rises in Europe, U.S. See in context

And separately...regarding reinfection...

From a preprint paper on Medrxiv.org

 

Scientists from Fudan University analyzed samples from 175 patients discharged from the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Centre and found that approximately about 30% had antibody titer values less than 500, a level that may be too low to provide protection. In some cases, no antibodies were detected. All of the patients had recently recovered from MILD symptoms.

Although this is a preliminary study which has yet to be peer-reviewed, it is the first examination of antibody levels in patients who had recovered from Covid-19.

“About 30% of patients failed to develop high titers of neutralising antibodies after Covid-19 infection. However, the disease duration of these patients compared to others was similar,".

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Posted in: Countries start thinking about easing restrictions, even as virus death toll rises in Europe, U.S. See in context

Clearly this will not go on "indefinitely", and it's also gone on for a relatively short time (generally less than 2 months of various forms of "lockdown").

With deaths increasing on a daily basis people are already talking "after the plague". I get it, people need to be hopeful and some people need to mentally set their "I'm done with this by such-and-such a date" in order to cope. I get it and I hope that this outlet allows you to manage. However, be flexible and try to get your head around the concept that you can unintentionally spread the disease and kill others without knowing you have it...that's the message to focus on....others and not just yourself. Many people seem so focused on "This is only causing me problems".

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Posted in: Countries start thinking about easing restrictions, even as virus death toll rises in Europe, U.S. See in context

Dr. Noidall

I prefer to to get sick and die then be dependent on the government for my livelihood and be under their daily mandates.

Unfortunately, since you might spread the disease to others by going back to work in your need to remain financially solvent.....do I need to complete this sentence, or is the selfishness in panicking to rush back to your normal life apparent? Gamble with your own health, not mine.

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Posted in: Countries start thinking about easing restrictions, even as virus death toll rises in Europe, U.S. See in context

BurningBush & Bass4funk....

People who recovered and later tested positive for Covid-19 could have been reinfected due to variations in their health and immune response, but also could be results of detection of residual viral RNA or a previous false positive.....bottom line, the medical community does not yet know the extent and duration of immunity granted by recovery from Covid-19, so clearly too early to claim any blanket statements such as "Get back to work".

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Posted in: Countries start thinking about easing restrictions, even as virus death toll rises in Europe, U.S. See in context

Mr. Noidall

what kinda of skewing of the numbers are we seeing here based on the thousands of cancer patients that Covid pushed over the edge? I’ll wait for your guess-timate.

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Posted in: Darvish speaks of anti-Asian discrimination in U.S. amid outbreak See in context

YubaruToday As spokesmen for the Asian community in the US I get it, but I hardly doubt that either Darvish or Tanaka have experienced any true racism in the US, because of who they are and what they do!

Take away their "stardom" and money, and then let's hear what they have to say!

  

Kind of hard for a "nobody" or someone with no "stardom" to find a tall enough podium from which to stand and garner enough ears for their message to be heard. Generally, "normal" people are the victims, and sadly, only after their are victims are their voices heard. Darvish and Tanaka may not have experienced "true racism" (whatever the hell that means), but they have a spotlight on them whereas others do not, and for them to use it in this way is not a misuse of their "stardom".

3 ( +3 / -0 )

Posted in: Concern raised over exclusion of bar hostesses, sex workers from virus compensation See in context

The government can’t be seen giving money to sex workers because the sex workers’ bosses are Yaks.

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Posted in: China's imported coronavirus cases rise as foreigners banned and flights cut See in context

TigersTokyoDomeToday 

That's interesting. Blocked from the country that created this global pandemic in the first place.

Created? On purpose? Gene sequencing shows that recombination event between a pangolin corona virus and a bat corona virus may have begat COVID-19. The COVID-19 S protein which binds to the ACE2 receptor is essentially the same as that in the pangolin corona virus while the rest of the COVD-19 genome is more homologous to that of the bat corona virus.

https://www.sciencealert.com/genome-analysis-of-the-coronavirus-suggests-two-viruses-may-have-combined

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Posted in: Are gun shops in U.S. 'essential' businesses during a pandemic? See in context

Jimizo

Gun nuts in lockdown with cabin fever.

Don't forget the alcohol.

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Posted in: Trump angrily defends his handling of pandemic See in context

Trump was given an opportunity to make an FDR-style call for unity against "the invisible enemy" and he couldn't keep his cool and say something to help people who are seriously worried about what the next few months will bring. A lack of preparation and forethought is sadly on display here.

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Posted in: Japan to ask travelers from Europe to self-quarantine for 14 days See in context

expat.....

It's for new arrivals and meant to "politely" discourage unnecessary travel from affected areas in Europe into Japan.

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Posted in: Doubts growing in Japan over Tokyo Olympics See in context

Kobe White Bar OwnerToday  08:29 am JST

Mark my words, if the Olympics happen as scheduled I’ll eat my head.

I would pay serious cash to watch athletes competing at eating their own noggins.

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Posted in: Doubts growing in Japan over Tokyo Olympics See in context

AkieToday  07:44 am JST

iraira, you have never been a Prime Minister, have you ?

No, I haven't been a prime minister in this lifetime, yet. But, I did read the above article before I posted.

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Posted in: Doubts growing in Japan over Tokyo Olympics See in context

Give it a little more time. Japan and Koike are just waiting for the WHO to make the postponement recommendation to the IOC who will then be seen as the ones pulling the plug (re; postponing) on the games. Japan and Koike save face and "regrettablyies" will be made.

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Posted in: Japan finds 15 clusters of coronavirus-infected people See in context

People should have a test available only if they are showing symptoms unless they are in a critical occupation like doctor/nurse/ cop/firefighter.

Zichi is completely correct. You don't test healthy people unless you have enough test kits to go around. Just because someone is negative today doesn't mean they are immune to the virus and could wind up sick or as an asymptomatic carrier the next day/week, etc. An asymptomatic carrier would also more than likely not feel the need to get tested often (if there were enough test kits to do so in the first place).

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Posted in: Nara deer leave park; head to station for food as tourist numbers tumble See in context

That's the environment they are used to. But, I'm willing to adopt one or two, as long as they don't demand that we watch rom-coms.

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Posted in: Live music venues emerge as new coronavirus transmission sites See in context

At present there appear to be numerous strains (90) of the virus which are currently classified as belonging to two clades. The type II clade tends to be more prevalent due to it's higher virulence and higher rate of translation (which means copies are made faster). Different strains with different transmission characteristics are operating in different areas, so differences in penetrance into populations will be exist.

(With the exception of a really glaring typo in the first sentence of the Introduction, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.25.20027953v1.full.pdf has decent info related to the above)

57 new reported cases in Japan yesterday

150 new cases reported in Seoul, Seoul yesterday.

173 new cases reported in New York yesterday.

177 new cases reported in France yesterday.

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Posted in: Coronavirus testing to be covered by national health insurance See in context

The virus (of which there are two serotypes known) has yet to enter the general population. It has entered a less susceptible (younger, healthier, etc) subpopulation. Should it spread (often by symptomatic carriers) therein, it will eventually get to the general population which includes the elderly. Then you'll see a higher body count, which seems less of a concern to Burning Bush and his cohorts.

So your math is not based on any real population dynamics. For the above reason and due to the "stay away from each other" response, exponential growth models cannot be used to predict the spread of this disease.

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Posted in: Tokyo gov't urges people to refrain from cherry blossom parties in parks See in context

Burning bush...you are not using a real population to make your calculations, so they are premised on junk from the get go.....don't try to think you are smarter than the epidemiologists and demographers.

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Posted in: Tokyo gov't urges people to refrain from cherry blossom parties in parks See in context

Burning Bush...the current numbers you cite are not indicative of the actual population of potential patients. Old people (and others who are more susceptible) will be under represented in the data at the initial stages of the infection, as they are not out among the general population as much as the people who are younger (ie., generally healthier). If the virus does spread deeper into the population, you'd expect to see more and more susceptible people coming down with the disease and unfortunately dying.

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Posted in: Tokyo gov't urges people to refrain from cherry blossom parties in parks See in context

DaDude,

The reason for the warnings and the endless spew of fear, gloom, and doom from governments is to actually reduce the spread of the virus by decreasing the amount of contact people have with others. Fewer people on the trains and the cancelling of public events slows the spread of the virus. Sure, it looks like a sitzkrieg now, but by cancelling events and promoting telework and general jishuku, they are keeping the number of people exposed to Covid-19 down. Sure, China did it in a more heavy-handed way, but this is according to the playbook regarding how to slow the spread.

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Posted in: Tokyo gov't urges people to refrain from cherry blossom parties in parks See in context

Burning Bush......your math also requires that you include data on who was infected (age and presence of pre-existing conditions). A bunch of younger females with intact immune systems will skew the survivability data upwards rather than if an old age home was used in the data.

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Posted in: Trump says U.S. watching Japan closely for possible travel restriction See in context

Given the way the virus is spreading in the US, Japan could also watch the US closely.

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Posted in: Is it too early to make a decision on whether or not to cancel or defer the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games due to the outbreak of the coronavirus? See in context

not quite how it works

There is something else that really worries me- what happens if someone with the Wuhan virus comes into contact with someone who has the common cold or the flu and both infect each other mutating the virus even further?

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Posted in: WHO names deadly virus from China 'COVID-19' See in context

Yubaru...here (Too recently developed to be a "terrorist act by a state")

https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/24/dna-sleuths-read-coronavirus-genome-tracing-origins-and-mutations/

-4 ( +0 / -4 )

Posted in: Drug influence on man who killed 19 disabled people negligible: doctor See in context

Nice to know that the "Twinkie defense" doesn't work in Japan, either.

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Posted in: Japan confirms 1st domestic case of coronavirus infection See in context

To calm the conspiracy theorists, there is a good article on the sequencing and a good layman explanation of the derivation and mutations associated with the Wuhan virus. Due to comparisons among patients, they peg the virus's birthday to between October 30 to November 29 of last year. Not a strain that has been keep in a laboratory.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/24/dna-sleuths-read-coronavirus-genome-tracing-origins-and-mutations/

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Posted in: China extends Lunar New Year holiday as new virus toll rises See in context

"Given what’s known about the pace at which viral genomes mutate, if nCoV had been circulating in humans since significantly before the first case was reported on Dec. 8, the 24 genomes would differ more. Applying ballpark rates of viral evolution, Rambaut estimates that the Adam (or Eve) virus from which all others are descended first appeared no earlier than Oct. 30, 2019, and no later than Nov. 29."

from https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/24/dna-sleuths-read-coronavirus-genome-tracing-origins-and-mutations/

There's more easily-digestible info in the article, btw.

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