JJE comments

Elon Musk hit the nail on the head yet again on this subject of "aid": he posted a meme mocking Zelensky.

On X (former known as Twitter) he said "When it’s been 5 min and you haven’t asked for a billion dollars in aid"...

...attached to a famous photo of an agitated, vein popping schoolboy (with a certain head inserted), who was in a classroom and desperately trying to hold in flatulence next to a girl.

Good work Elon - keep speaking up. You know you hit a soft spot when they react like that.. haha.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12584195/Elon-Musk-escalates-feud-Ukraine-tweet-mocking-Zelensky.html

This article mentions the concert in Red Square, held on Sep 30, which has been designated Reunification Day by signed executive order into law marking it a state holiday. The theme is One country, one family, one Russia.

In front of a packed house many artists performed including Shaman, Oleg Gazmanov, Grigory Leps, and others. Along with cultural dress and dancing from all regions, the national anthem was played with the mic passed around. Face painting, food stalls, Vologda ice cream and flags were in abundance.

Don't mention the Minsk agreements.

Putin is guilty of one thing in Serbia - enjoying rockstar status among the population.

In the photo Russian it has General and Deputy Defense Minister Yunus-Bek Yevkurov sitting to Putin's left. He was filmed at the Rostov-on-Don HQ during the "mutiny" trying to talk Prigozhin into his mind.

Speculation was rife in the western media that he was purged KGB-style like Surovikin.

Not so. Always loyal to Russia.

This conflict will bubble on till Russia's legitimate security interests are met, one way or the other. Stoltenberg can't quite wrap his head around that. NATO membership is a non-starter for Moscow.

Or maybe he does, and a proxy war is the real objective. When the Pentagon says jump he says how high.

(Stoltenberg is a not a general; rather a Norwegian political hack, appointed to head the body in the long tradition of picking a Scandinavian or some other European politician to pretend they head the "alliance", which in reality is run squarely from Washington.)

Another key takeaway from this article is that France is reluctant to part with more heavy, newer equipment. This is significant as France has a sizeable domestic arms industry.

They have provided large amounts of surplus material in the form of vehicles having been replaced by newer gear, like the AMX-10. The exception being the modern Caesar self-propelled artillery system (50 odd and some more from Denmark).

And they've seen the videos of the Lancet strikes on them. This video shows an example trying to avoid said drone at speed on a main road, with the driver swerving to avoid it (which he does) only for the vehicle to roll multiple times.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L2CuAl4EFjw

The conflict is going pear shaped for Kyiv and anyone can see it.

The only mention of the counter offensive is that it "plods", which is an odd way to say all the gifted equipment and the western trained brigades are wrecked and it has been a fiasco from start to finish.

To join NATO, Ukraine will have to push Russia out of everywhere including Crimea - in another words total victory. And anyone can see that's not going to happen soon or ever.

It's really ominous there is no mention of training up thousands of men in western countries again.

This, to me, is the writing on the wall.

Reading/watching what Maria Zakharova said in full...

She also said the goal of the attack was to "divert attention from the failed attempts of Ukraine's counteroffensive".

Correctamundo.

Those claiming yesterday and the day before that it was some sort of KGB/FSB ruse with a body double have egg all over their face again. He took questions from journalists referencing current events.

If you haven't cottoned on that command nodes have been dispersed to hardened bunkers you are behind the curve.

The "we are not party to the conflict" fiction is exactly that and has been for a long time.

It's a two-way street - there will be a future conflict where Russia can provide satellite and reconnaissance intel to other parties, not to mention hardware.

Not mentioned in this article were more hits on Reni, Izmail ports - including the ferry crossing to Romania.

There have been dozens of videos of strikes by FAB-500 with the UMPK kit. I cannot stress enough the huge uptick in employment of these over the last week. The RMOD has actually published the first official video showing a Fullback taking off with two of these bombs the other day. Strikes on all sorts of targets.

UMPK means "*U**nifitsirovannyi Modul Planirovaniya i Korrektsii*" which basically translates as unified gliding and correction module, and it's an improvised JDAM hooked up to a dumb bomb with satellite guidance. They have been getting better, cheaper, more efficient, more accurate and much more numerous. A reliable Telegram channel has reported the bigger FAB-1500 is also being adapted.

The X-38 AGM missile is turning up in increasing numbers too.

Some airfields and aircraft were definitely hit too. And that strike on the train.

And just to add more, The New York Times has just reported that "a Sept. 26 time stamp on the clip which matches the date in the video’s metadata."

If you watch the full video you can see evidence of that. You will also see a load of other people in the room - one of which is General Viktor Afzalov - head of the Aerospace Forces.

The guy on the upper right of top image is commander of the Western Military District Зво General Yevgeny Nikiforov.

Counter-clockwise name-wise it will be Admirals Viktor Liina, Vladimir Vorobyov, (rear admiral) Aleksandr Peshkov and Aleksandr Moiseyev.

For the unaware, Admiral Sokolov is the guy on bottom left of the top image, wearing appropriate rank insignia. The Cyrillic script in front of him is the abbreviation for Black Sea Fleet Чф. The four guys counter-clockwise from him are the other 4 fleet commanders - in order - Pacific Fleet Тф , Baltic Fleet Бф, Caspian Flotilla Кф and Northern Fleet Сф.

The pro-Ukraine crowd have a lot of egg on their face this week yet again.

First, Trudeau invites a Nazi into the Canadian parliament for a double standing ovation with Zelensky first pumping.

Now, the lies of the Kyiv Post and other outlets that spread them are exposed.

As I mentioned, many legitimate analytical pro-Ukraine sites/channels didn't spread this nonsense - only the Usual Suspects. But that didn't stop people taking the plunge.

And both sides have been dispersing command nodes for months.

We know the "Ukraine Claims... this and that" thing is sketchy at best. Best to take anything they say with a very large shaker of salt. I'm waiting for confirmation before jumping to a conclusion.

For example, the NYT/WP and Guardian have reported that the missile strike on the marketplace a few weeks back was indeed an errant Ukrainian missile - as I said at the time - because the CCTV footage clearly showed it to be. Although they got the missile type wrong (it was a HARM).

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/19/ukrainian-market-tragedy-may-have-been-caused-by-errant-missile-fired-by-ukraine

There is just no independent confirmation.

I've been checking but unable to find any.

Openly pro-Ukraine websites like The Warzone have not gone along with it yet.

They are also claiming to have seriously injured Romanchuk amongst others.

While there are claims of large numbers of ambulances "heading to the scene", I could find no evidence of that either - just the usual fire trucks.

The Russians have been dispersing command nodes for months.

An insult to Canada's sons and daughters who fought Nazism during WWII.

But it points to a much bigger, disturbing issue: the contemporary rehabilitation of fascism and nazism by the Western-NATO alliance in the name of geo-politics (which mirrors some of the uncomfortable post-war decisions).

Canada itself took in 1000s of nazi war criminals. The Ukraine Canada Congress (UCC) is an umbrella organization that has been waging a decades long battle to normalize extreme right nationalism - this is the latest and most shameful manifestation of that.

Senior politician and deputy PM Chrystia Freeland is indicative of the problem in Canada: her grandfather was exposed as the editor of the nazi newspaper Krakivs'ki Visti but they call it "Russian disinformation" and pretend it didn't happen. Just like pass Trudeau who passes the blame...

OK, back to the article.

The focus of these strikes is more apparent should you look at a map. The geographic regions mentioned in the article correspond to Kozatsky Island in the Dnieper (46.77729454484235, 33.237685772094174), just downstream from the former dam.

The UAF is believed to have several thousand men (specifically 35, 36, 37th marine brigades) over on the west/north side of the river. The obvious plan is the crossing of the river with the island as a staging post. The RAF does not have positions on that or any islands in the river, with the fortified positions well back from the river itself. The current contest in this sector is about dislodging positions established on the river islands. Reports indicate that a lull in the fighting around the Vremevsky (Donestk) sector has led to a redeployment.

lincolnmanToday  11:50 am JST

It may have been a body double - with his wife and Algerian officials in separate photographs. Always good to keep an open mind. Reuters reported it too. Just saying.

lincolnmanToday  10:49 am JST

Surovikin was in Algeria two week ago as part of a RMOD delegation to that country, as part of his return to official duties.

The Russian newspaper Kommersant reported as such and published a photo of him in a khaki suit alongside others.

He was also photographed a few weeks before that with wife Anna in civies - believed to the outside of the upmarket Italian restaurant Terrazza in a plush Moscow suburb.

I have just looked at the video footage from the Canadian parliament. Trudeau and Zelensky stand next to each other grinning, while Zelensky pumps his fists into the air, with the full house standing and applauding a member (a willing volunteer, not a conscript) of the Waffen SS - and as the article mentions not once, but twice.

Rota opened the theatrics by saying:

"We have here in the Chamber today a Ukrainian-Canadian World War II veteran who fought for Ukrainian independence against the Russian aggressors then and continues to support the troops today, at the age of 98. Mr. Yaroslav Hunka is in the gallery, and I am so proud to say he is from North Bay in my constituency of Nipissing–Timiskaming. He is a Ukrainian hero, a Canadian hero, and we thank him for his service".

At least Rota is attempting some form of apology. Trudeau has gone radio silent (and will blame someone else inevitiably).

Morally bankrupt and an insult to the memory of Canada’s sons and daughters who fought Nazism in WWII - one out of every seven Canadian soldiers killed during those fateful weeks of June 1944 were murdered after surrendering - by the Waffen SS. Beyond outrageous.

There is irony on so many levels here.

Obviously they know this "hero" was a member of the Waffen SS because he has the telltale sign - the small black ink tattoo on the underside of the left arm - the SS blood group tattoo.

14th Waffen Grenadier Division of the SS - 1st Galician

Meaning the men were drawn from western Ukraine. This was a nazi unit and extremely loyal to Hitler. His pal Himmler took a personal interest in them.

Patches with insignia of this notorious unit can be spotted on soldiers of the contemporary UAF.

O Canada... hang your head in shame.

without specifying the type of weapons used in the attack

Clearly both the geographic locations mentioned are the north side of the Dnieper river upstream from Kherson.

And the weapons were almost definitely FAB-500s with the very cheap glide package installed - employed from a stand-off distance by the aerospace forces. Dozens are used daily there and elsewhere.

And the targets were buildings being used (as for months now) for boat deployments across the river.

Poland gets a mention - they dislike Moscow but loath the Bandera legacy more. Large swathes of former Ukraine used to be part of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth (and they are going to want it back). The crux of the issue though are farmers - name a country which doesn't protect the farmers and the agricultural backbone of domestic food production - and as the article mentions it's not just Poland on this one.

Storm Shadow missiles. They had to launch 10.

Empty building.

Don’t mention the counter offensive.

Uncle Sam only cares about the TSMC factories and the intellectual wealth associated with that.

Not the pineapple cake.

What happened to the Free World.

Hypocrites take the champagne and steaks lunches from the Qantas Chairman's Lounge.

Probably donations too from certain quarters.

Now they pretend they are impeccable. The red and blue team are both guilty here.

The Marine pilot should be freed - he has family and has done nothing wrong.

Tiffany

Well pointed out. The Eastern (and then Crimean War) ended in disastrous circumstances for all involved.

The Treaty of Paris (1856) involved heavy concessions. The greater repercussions shake the world to this day.

The actual victims were the offenders.

This article mentions a "strategic shipyard". Any and all vessels up to the size of corvette or Kilo class sub can be transferred through the Inland Canals. Indeed that is what is ongoing.