Pickle comments

Posted in: Japan reports 132,071 new coronavirus cases; record high 503 deaths See in context

Buckle up lads, H5N1 is snowballing out of control globally including (especially) in Japan, and with exponential spread there is exponential risk of a random mutation that makes this suddenly highly transmissible in humans too… animal trials so far put it at over 50% mortality which would make Covid look like a rehearsal.

-13 ( +5 / -18 )

Posted in: Japan reports 144,077 new coronavirus cases See in context

never was in control, never could be in control (with todays medical science)… at best we can take short term measures like quarantining to slow infection spread or vaccination to minutely affect infection severity. humanity has yet to eradicate any quickly mutating highly contagious virus. coronavirii predate humanity, sars-cov2 is but a strain… tomorrow it could be influenza that mutates in a particularly unpleasant way a la spanish flu, and there’s little we can do about it.

-1 ( +2 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan reports 107,465 new coronavirus cases See in context

maybe it’s not too late to try a zerocovid strategy?

-24 ( +2 / -26 )

Posted in: Contentious major defense policy shift shows Japan wariness of China See in context

Japan needs to be better prepared to defend itself, but without relying on the USA. They should move to increase domestic production of modern weaponry, expand the Japanese military and close all American bases in Japanese territory.

-1 ( +1 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan reports 168,491 new coronavirus cases See in context

The vast majority are using masks when appropriate and are fully vaccinated (myself included) but the figures are hardly any different from less developed countries that have had comparatively little to no measures or vaccination.

1 ( +10 / -9 )

Posted in: Japan reports 190,607 new coronavirus cases See in context

If only we had listened to Xi and lived in an authoritarian dystopia these last two years, we could’ve had a really low death count while people were imprisoned in their homes. You may argue that the death count will just end up being as high as other countries now that china has dropped their strategy and the virus is unleashed on a population with zero natural immunity and poor vaccine efficacy, but think of all the frail and elderly who got the chance to live two more blissful years cut off from friends, family and social stimulation in their beautiful, tower block, shoebox apartments.

-5 ( +4 / -9 )

Posted in: Japan reports 62,336 new coronavirus cases See in context

@sanji

good point, I do agree that pcr negative unvaccinated visitors are safer for Japanese society (but maybe not for themselves) than vaccinated individuals who took no such test and may very well be infected when entering. Perhaps PCR for all for a little while longer?

-4 ( +3 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan reports 62,336 new coronavirus cases See in context

@sanji

I agree with many of your points but do think vaccine/pcr entry requirements are working quite well and don’t need to be dropped just yet as cases swell again - perhaps after the peak has been reached and cases are subsiding. Even if the healthcare system has a good buffer and isn’t up near capacity currently, it might be wise to err on the side of caution versus letting easily or recently infected people zip from place to place all over the country possibly infecting numerous others for the few weeks they’re here.

-4 ( +3 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan reports 62,336 new coronavirus cases See in context

@Steven

The vaccines had higher statistical efficacy for delta than now for omicron. The vaccine is still effective for preventing serious symptoms including death, but it was even more so for the novel and delta variants.

Its also misleading to state that all Covid related deaths are actually caused primarily by the virus, rather than being a secondary or tertiary cause of death in the majority of cases.

2 ( +7 / -5 )

Posted in: Japan reports 62,336 new coronavirus cases See in context

@WilliB

its kinda like how .22 is the deadliest calibre of bullet in the USA if you’re going by total deaths inflicted with it, because it’s used much more prevalently than larger more damaging rounds which are much deadlier on a case by case basis. They’re both technically more deadly but by different metrics. Coconuts are deadlier than sharks by the same reasoning mr McCarthy employs as they cause more deaths annually.

It is preferable to be infected with omicron versus the original novel virus or delta variant, but you can technically call omicron deadlier because it’s the one that came along when Japan eventually got its explosion in cases, and has infected the most people by far.

-1 ( +4 / -5 )

Posted in: Japan reports 127,090 new coronavirus cases See in context

@sven

Only one country tried zerocovid despite it being practically impossible to sustain, and now they are changing their strategy because it has not worked for them. How do you suggest a country can effectively zerocovid their way out of a pandemic without ending up with the same infection rates as other countries which had huge waves despite harsh restrictions and high vaccination rates?

0 ( +3 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan reports 127,090 new coronavirus cases See in context

i think they should reinstate closed borders for those with negative vaccine status, bring back pcr tests for those who have had full vaccination but otherwise keep all other restrictions lifted so citizens and residents can get back to a normal, entirely maskless life sooner.

-11 ( +2 / -13 )

Posted in: Japan reports 133,065 new coronavirus cases See in context

It’s an ingenious move of jgov to maintain the vaccine status check for international visitors - not only does it help prevent the logistical headache of unvaccinated foreigners getting seriously ill while in Japan but it also acts as a filter for higher quality tourists, as studies have shown a strong correlation between a positive vaccine status and higher education/socioeconomic status.

-8 ( +4 / -12 )

Posted in: Japan reports 149,383 new coronavirus cases See in context

@jeff

it statistically helps to prevent severe symptoms so it would reduce the likelihood of an older/at-risk visitor (of which there are many) being a massive liability by getting seriously sick in Japan. They could alternatively require vaccination status only for people of a certain age or at-risk status (they’d have to come up with their own classification system for what combinations of health factors constitutes a vulnerable person, good luck with that) but it would be extremely discriminatory.

-3 ( +6 / -9 )

Posted in: Japan reports 149,383 new coronavirus cases See in context

Not bad at all considering that Japans numbers are partly being late to the party as well as it being a country where the vast majority live/work in dense urban areas using public transportation.

I do think Japan should uphold its vaccination requirement for foreigners well into 2023 or 2024, but there’s no need to introduce any new or old measures as it currently stands… the health system proved its robustness and survived the worst of it already.

China on the other hand is about to get raw-dogged by Covid. They quite predictably have finally seen the light and are moving away from the unsustainable and impossible zero covid approach so soon comes their long overdue explosion of cases.

-3 ( +4 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan reports 49,117 new coronavirus cases See in context

China is screwed, they either keep up this zero-covid policy indefinitely and cause an uproar, or bend to the will of the protesters and see an explosion in overdue and inevitable cases among their completely immune unexposed population.

Even the latest vaccines have a negligible effect on current strains… I just don’t see how they’re getting out of this one without an eventual tsunami of cases after the rest of the world has adjusted more or less back to normal.

2 ( +4 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan reports 78,577 new coronavirus cases See in context

Most importantly severe cases have remained quite stable throughout and on spite of rising numbers during this moderate 8th wave.

1 ( +2 / -1 )

Posted in: Japan reports 87,410 new coronavirus cases See in context

A downward trend compared to a few months ago!

Nah just joking, but it seems @painkiller has finally grasped what a trend is.

-1 ( +2 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan reports 34,064 new coronavirus cases See in context

Not far off a 100% drop, thats a hell of a fluctuation. Methinks this has more to do with the logistics of reporting than an actual magical halving of infections when we're still in the tens of thousands.

4 ( +4 / -0 )

Posted in: Japan reports 34,064 new coronavirus cases See in context

Uh...

-1 ( +1 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan reports 39,254 new coronavirus cases See in context

@jean

Indeed japan has done everything by the book but its not any worse off than other countries, just going through the same motions on a delayed timescale due to a later outbreak here... unfortunately none of the measures were as effective as hoped (poor vaccine efficacy over time, new mutations, contact infection circumventing masks etc) which caused even the stricter countries to come out in more or less the same shape as the very lax ones. China will also have to go through with this when they inevitably drop the unsustainable zero covid policy (if they ever want to partake in tourism either in or out)

2 ( +4 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan reports 47,706 new coronavirus cases See in context

Also for those curious this is 12% up from the same day last week and up 5% from the same day two weeks ago.

-3 ( +5 / -8 )

Posted in: Japan reports 47,706 new coronavirus cases See in context

Were people expecting this to be uniquely special and different from existing seasonal viruses and just magically fizzle out to nothing for no reason? Viruses tend to come in waves. Nothing to fret about, it's here to stay.

12 ( +14 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan reports 16,852 new coronavirus cases See in context

Up 10% from the same day last week and up 30% from the same day two weeks ago.

Likely to see an 8th wave between now and December, though it thankfully shouldn't have anywhere near the impact of the largest 7th wave as in other countries, and won't result in any restrictions either new or backpedaled from earlier in the pandemic. Let's hope all who are at-risk receive their next vaccines promptly.

0 ( +8 / -8 )

Posted in: Views on U.S. bases shift in Okinawa See in context

Hope we can move towards an America free future with total military independence without western interference in Asia.

-2 ( +7 / -9 )

Posted in: Japan reports 41,193 new coronavirus cases See in context

Bad and high figures

This won't be over until I can count cases on my fingers, any more than that and I lose track

-2 ( +5 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan reports 36,646 new coronavirus cases See in context

@Sanji

It is actually opening now though - you can literally book a flight right now and be here next Tuesday, no sweat!

3 ( +5 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan reports 36,646 new coronavirus cases See in context

Just a week until all the tourists come to give the economy a much needed boost! Lets hope cases continue to fall regardless, if not its still okay and it won't get anywhere near the 1st half of 2022 wave that all developes countries experienced as their 'main' outbreak.

3 ( +5 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan reports 42,173 new coronavirus cases See in context

That is 45% fewer daily cases than the same day a week ago, 50% lower than two weeks ago, 62% lower than three weeks ago and 72% lower than one month ago.

Stable and steady downwards progression in the last couple months, looks like this will soon drop to below where cases were a year ago before sars-cov2 had even barely started to spread yet! I suppose you could call week on week development over a period of months with a repeated weekly pattern - a 'trend'.

3 ( +7 / -4 )

Posted in: Japan reports 49,979 new coronavirus cases See in context

Also for the record, cases in Tokyo today are just 44% higher than this date one year ago and the trajectory has been on a steep decline for months, so it should be just a few weeks now before we are in a better position than one year ago.

2 ( +4 / -2 )

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