Pickle comments

Posted in: Japan reports 166,205 coronavirus cases; 23,511 in Tokyo See in context

Hope the rest of the week stays in the early 20.000s as opposed to last weeks late 30.000s

Thankfully due to vaccines and mass exposure to the virus itself - the severity of covid19 is now on par with influenza in the general population, but it still remains up to 4 times deadlier among the 60+ and at risk group which is a significant portion of Japan's demographic.

-3 ( +4 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan reports 138,613 coronavirus cases; 23,135 in Tokyo See in context

@Raf

There's no doubt the vaccines have helped mitigate serious cases and deaths in the course of the last couple of years. Unfortunately a virus with extremely high transmissabilty like this mutates rapidly which causes any given vaccine to have gradually declining efficacy from the moment it has been developed. At this point with the current strain, the vaccines at hand have largely lost their past efficacy and while they still do help prevent serious symptoms to a degree, its not making much of a dent at all as the virus thoroughly established itself in the global population. Cases have started falling and deaths will lag behind by up to a few weeks before they too begin to drop in late August.

6 ( +9 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan reports 138,613 coronavirus cases; 23,135 in Tokyo See in context

@Brian

I suppose the more info and overview the better, though it has no say in IF you are infected, only WHEN. I suppose you could go as far as saying that if a person is considering their first vaccine or their last one was a long time ago and are getting a booster soon then try to be very careful until that date, but if you were recently vaccinated or infected then the best thing would be to try and expose yourself to the virus again sooner rather than later while your immune system is still in a readied state and you have the chance to bolster it by fighting off a new infection, rather than waiting til the efficacy of your last vaccine or infection has worn off.

-2 ( +5 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan reports 183,609 coronavirus cases; 23,773 in Tokyo See in context

Brian what would you like us to do about this long covid concern? Politely ask the virus to stop infecting people? You can delay inevitable infections with restricted movement/exposure to other people and its certainly important to keep infection speed slow as not to overwhelm healthcare at the highest point of a wave, but long covid doesn't seem like something we can do anything about.

1 ( +7 / -6 )

Posted in: Japan reports 168,826 coronavirus cases; 20,401 in Tokyo See in context

@Iraira

Bitter, like a pill to swallow. Hopefully not though! I would put money on it. It is strange though isn't it how some people want me to be wrong, like they almost want infections to actually go up & up and more people to die so they can say "I told you so"

@as_the_crow_flies

You're completely right, which is why the govt needs to fall in line with other developed countries, listen to the experts and quickly reclassify this virus so efforts can be focused on the sick and at-risk instead of wasting resources on mass testing and tracking

-7 ( +2 / -9 )

Posted in: Japan reports 168,826 coronavirus cases; 20,401 in Tokyo See in context

@Iraira

Makes perfect sense as the peak is just barely behind us, and serious cases/deaths develop days or weeks after infection and will continue to rise during this next week

1 ( +7 / -6 )

Posted in: Japan reports 168,826 coronavirus cases; 20,401 in Tokyo See in context

@Derek

I'm normally very careful to not speak prophetically and make definitive claims but in this case I'll make an exception - I will eat my hat if next week has a higher daily average

-7 ( +4 / -11 )

Posted in: Japan reports 168,826 coronavirus cases; 20,401 in Tokyo See in context

The sharp decrease could of course be related to the holiday. This wednesday versus wednesday last week are 34,243 and 38,940 respectively which is a decrease of just 12% so I wouldn't be too optimistic about cases falling away as fast as they came on based on this weekend.

0 ( +5 / -5 )

Posted in: Japan reports 168,826 coronavirus cases; 20,401 in Tokyo See in context

One week ago on Friday 5th cases in Tokyo were registered at 37,767 which is a decrease of 17,366 or in other terms 46%

-7 ( +4 / -11 )

Posted in: Japan reports 137,859 coronavirus cases; 17,884 in Tokyo See in context

Bear in mind this is always the day of the week with lowest registered cases. By the end of the week though we should be able to confidently say the worst is behind us (barring any new nasty mutations and waves, though unlikely)

2 ( +10 / -8 )

Posted in: Japan reports 227,559 coronavirus cases; 30,970 in Tokyo See in context

@Steve

I get why you'd feel that way given the change in tactics with turning people away and denying ambulances. Personally I'm inclined to trust the panel of experts and govt and think it is indeed a response to being overburdened but not because they're grappling with far too many seriously ill people, rather because they're burdened by normal healthy people that are all being needlessly registered, screened and many reaching out for help whom understandably have anxieties and are overreacting to their own symptoms that a doctor would classify as a just a mild case where SPO2 is fine and the fever temp isnt worrying, even though the patient feels like they're seriously ill/dying.

2 ( +4 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan reports 227,559 coronavirus cases; 30,970 in Tokyo See in context

@Steven

Oh dear, I was somewhat with you when you were pointing to death figures and how covid can be contributing to so many and pushing some people who could've otherwise survived over the edge, but are you saying every single death is solely and directly caused by covid?

Currently you can die of something you would've died from regardless and if you happened to have tested positive (an astounding amount of people with current infection rates) it goes towards the covid death tally. You can have just been infected a day or two before and barely feeling symptoms but have a pulmonary embolism from poor cardiac health and its considered a covid death.

It is absolutely killing people as the primary cause of death, as well as killing people who would have survived their stroke or cancer otherwise... but are you saying covid is the primary cause of death in all registered covid deaths?

0 ( +4 / -4 )

Posted in: Japan reports 227,559 coronavirus cases; 30,970 in Tokyo See in context

@Dan

It is several times worse than the flu in mortality and severe case figures. Influenza only kills about 3400 people a year in Japan.

3 ( +7 / -4 )

Posted in: Japan reports 227,559 coronavirus cases; 30,970 in Tokyo See in context

@Steven

I did no such thing, at that time I said the cases seemed to be on the decline, which they were until it started climbing again. That wave peaked and passed, and now a new wave has come and is just about at the peak before it falls too. Will there be a peak twice the size of this one this year? I doubt it, but would never rule it out.

How do you define collapse? In my mind that's getting in a car crash or having a heart attack and no ambulance comes because every bed is taken by covid patients and there just isn't enough staff. You can currently go see your doctor about an allergy prescription or get your sprained ankle looked at, doesn't sound very apocalyptic to me. I'm not saying the current state of affairs is fine and dandy but 'collapsed', really?

5 ( +8 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan reports 227,559 coronavirus cases; 30,970 in Tokyo See in context

Cases are now going to start falling, another larger wave is improbable this year. It seems the worst is probably behind us - its taken hold in the global population and is becoming endemic and where it will continue to mutate to circumvent immune system response but also maintain low mortality like influenza and its other peers.

This is almost just like the influenza pandemic in 1918 played out, though of course much less deadly thanks to the lower severity, modern medicine, vaccines and awareness/govt recommendations.

Fortunately it didn't overload the healthcare system at the height of cases, but it got somewhat worryingly close which could have caused preventable deaths. Those who have sadly passed on all at least received the adequate care they deserved, and since infections from any airborne virus are unavoidable long-term, it was just a matter of when... not that that's any solace to their loved ones, but it would have been the same situation had they died from pneumonia caused by any other existing virus.

I suspect we can expect virtually endless waves in the future with vaccinations in the at-risk population and little to no national news publications about it in a years time, as other countries have already progressed to.

3 ( +7 / -4 )

Posted in: Japan reports 238,735 coronavirus cases; 35,339 in Tokyo See in context

@didou

The covid panel has just the other day urged the govt to reclassify covid to be handled more like influenza, not because its as mild as influenza but because the standing system is putting unnecessary strain on the healthcare sector. The centralised registering of cases, the testing of all close contacts, hospital-only treatment/examination etc are inefficient and a burden. The overwhelming majority who experience flu like symptoms should be able to pop in for a consultation at their local clinic and be on their way 5 mins later with some decongestants/painkillers.

The vaccines we have currently are unfortunately now largely ineffective at preventing infection of current strains (though still pretty good at preventing severe symptoms so highly recommended to at-risk individuals) so they're shifting focus to streamlined handling of new cases, treatment of the seriously ill and maybe even considering some exposure reduction like social distancing requirements though I suspect by the time they've collected their thoughts and come to a decision this wave will already be way on the decline.

1 ( +4 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan reports 249,830 coronavirus cases; 38,940 in Tokyo See in context

@didou

Indeed it is, though the increments in which it has been going up are decreasing which leads the current graph of infections to have almost totally rounded off. It will be interesting to see the gradient of decline through august and whether its a steady slope or a sharp drop.

3 ( +5 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan reports 249,830 coronavirus cases; 38,940 in Tokyo See in context

@mountaingrill

Correct, even a mortality like the current strain of 0.27% is not to be simply ignored. I would advise anyone who hasn't done so to at least consider vaccination (ask for aspiration to mitigate odds of side effects) and keep masked up in public if their last shot was a long time ago and you're planning on a booster... otherwise live normally and hope that you get infected while the vaccines benefits are still in effect in your system since it quite significantly reduces severe symptoms/mortality but barely helps prevent infection.

-8 ( +4 / -12 )

Posted in: Japan reports 249,830 coronavirus cases; 38,940 in Tokyo See in context

@nepalibabu

Couldn't agree more, that felt like reading one of my own comments

-1 ( +4 / -5 )

Posted in: Japan reports 249,830 coronavirus cases; 38,940 in Tokyo See in context

I can't believe people on here are still promoting nocovid despite leading experts the world over recommending the very opposite.

Just yesterday:

"Shigeru Omi, who heads the government’s coronavirus panel, and 17 other medical and economic experts on Tuesday called on the government to downgrade the classification of the coronavirus to something similar to that of seasonal flu, in order to ease the burden on hospitals and public health centers.

In a 19-page proposal, the experts also urged the government to adopt a flexible approach to COVID-19 that would prevent the health care system from being overwhelmed, such as by no longer identifying close contacts and allowing general clinics to treat patients."

4 ( +16 / -12 )

Posted in: Japan reports 249,830 coronavirus cases; 38,940 in Tokyo See in context

*thousand

-12 ( +1 / -13 )

Posted in: Japan reports 249,830 coronavirus cases; 38,940 in Tokyo See in context

Peak looks to be late this week or mid next week, fingers crossed! Severe cases lag behind total cases but hope it doesnt get much worse than a couple of hundred nationwide.

-16 ( +2 / -18 )

Posted in: Japan reports 211,058 coronavirus cases; 30,842 in Tokyo See in context

Nice, seems it peaked slightly earlier than the experts predicted. Should see each following week from here on having fewer average cases than the last.

0 ( +7 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan reports 139,687 coronavirus cases; 21,958 in Tokyo See in context

Peak is very close, less than a week it seems. Hope the downwards trajectory is at a similar angle to how the growth has been (as in other countries with their most significant waves) and not a gentle slope like last time which would mean we dont see pre-7th-wave numbers until November...

8 ( +12 / -4 )

Posted in: Japan reports 222,305 coronavirus cases; 33,466 in Tokyo See in context

Not that I'm disputing you @SamuraiJack but in your numbers where are the other 240,000 people in the 1.4mil active cases that aren't at home, a hotel or in hospital?

2 ( +6 / -4 )

Posted in: Japan reports 222,305 coronavirus cases; 33,466 in Tokyo See in context

Growth is thankfully slowing but we won't see the peak for another week.

Let's hope this most widespread and contagious outbreak means there will be a dramatic drop following the pinnacle, and not a frustratingly slow bleed like the last larger wave which took several weeks per 50% reduction in cases.

-4 ( +3 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan reports 221,442 coronavirus cases; 36,814 in Tokyo See in context

The WHO doesn't support a zero-covid approach and it is likely that China will at some point have to give up their policy as it is not sustainable to keep locking down every few cases for decades into the future when the virus is circulating, circumventing established vaccines and will enter the country the second any form of international travel is permitted... unless of course they're banking on holding out and monitoring covid continuing to mutate into ever milder strains to the point where they can open up without repercussions (generally speaking: being highly contagious with pronounced upper respiratory symptoms in hosts but a low mortality are requirements for a successful endemic virus and thus the 'survival of the fittest' end goal that covid19 strains are naturally slipping into).

We could prevent countless unnecessary viral infection caused deaths from now until the end of time with a permanent zero infection of any kind policy, mask mandate, vaccines, travel restrictions etc and watch avoidable deaths from influenza, hepatitis, measles, filoviruses etc plummet... but we don't do that because society has decided on an acceptable collateral of human lives for the sake of convenience and economic growth.

At some point every govt is going to throw some human lives under the bus for the benefit of everyone else, and every person has their own feelings about what point that should be.

2 ( +5 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan reports 221,442 coronavirus cases; 36,814 in Tokyo See in context

*simmers down to a sub-1.0 R number and that covid19 will barely be mentioned in the news anymore come winter.

-2 ( +1 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan reports 221,442 coronavirus cases; 36,814 in Tokyo See in context

Peak is slated to be reached in just over a week, followed by a sharp decline. Hospital bed occupancy is at ~50%, lets hope it doesn't approach maximum capacity in mid august (severe cases lag behind registered cases by 1-2 weeks). 50% doesnt sound too bad but that doesn't leave much wiggle room for a sudden doubling or tripling in severe cases or localised ill timed disasters on top.

This is likely Japan's equivalent wave to what the west faced in late winter... in which case - fingers crossed that this too simmers down to a

2 ( +4 / -2 )

Posted in: Japan tops global new COVID cases in week to Sunday: WHO See in context

This is what happens when you try a half-assed zero covid/border lockdown approach... the inevitable still happens, just later on when most of the world are experiencing the final death throes of the pandemic as it becomes another regular seasonal virus.

Covid isn't going anywhere just like influenza or the myriad other seasonal viruses aren't going anywhere. It definitely helps to get your vaccination numbers and healthcare preparation in place before facing the brunt of it, but there's no escaping widespread infection...

Those hailing china's low infection rates will likely become suddenly rather quiet when china too experiences their inevitable explosion of infections down the line.

-1 ( +10 / -11 )

Articles, Offers & Useful Resources

A mix of what's trending on our other sites


©2022 GPlusMedia Inc.