rimno comments

100%

So do they know who brought the virus to the facility?

If not, it shouldn’t be categorized as traceable.

RIP

Right.

And we are holding olympics next year.

Yay.

Here it comes.

You don't go and panic about a disease, if you don't know that it is here.

That's what the ministry have been trying to do.

Not containing the virus, but making sure nobody knows it's here.

Simply do the calculation based on figures given to us by the ministry.

Number easily adds up to tens of thousands.

If we blindly believe the death ratio given to us by the ministry, the death comes only in few a day.

Even with tens of thousands of infected.

Probably below 10 per day.

Let's say the number of infected was 50,000, with only 20% having the symptom, and with 2.5% death ratio.

That's just 250 deaths in 3 months, starting Jan 2020 to Mar 2020, meaning death per day would be around 3.

Let's say we blindly believe the numbers the ministry is putting out, and do some number crunching.

With a simplified calculation anyone can do in a couple of minutes, we can see what a real numbers might be.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14r5aEJzMl-epEn6e562MiV0WJXuH9HVKEp3U_9rkEcg/edit#gid=0

Of course, the reality is probably not this simple, but it gives a guideline.