The first thing they teach at Stats 101 is how the story people want to tell us is what pushes them to publish certain numbers, and not viceversa.
The number of tests has been removed. The net number of new severe cases is not compared against the deaths of the previous day, which makes it look like everything is going rather well.
which obviously isn’t the case. One would expect more intellectual honesty from the publishers. But hey, this is why the New York Times was founded in New York and not in Tokyo. Sad.
18 ( +20 / -2 )
There’s a huge legal problem in Japan.
you have an accident which involves a death, regardless of whether it is your fault or not, you go to prison for a long time.
if calling an ambulance/police, in case of innocence, automatically excluded the prison sentence, I think a lot less hit and run accidents would occur.
it is truly regrettable.
0 ( +9 / -9 )
How much or how many do you think is enough?
for a country like Japan? Probably 250000 tests/day.
About 25 times as much as they’re testing now
6 ( +7 / -1 )
One of these days we’ll reach a 70% positive rate and only then will the government acknowledge their failure.
At which point Suga will say a captain can’t abandon their sinking ship and that he will work towards fixing things.
Never understood that excuse politicians and CEOs use in Japan all the time. If you’re bad at your job, you have to be kicked out of office and possibly prosecuted if your actions broke the law.
2 ( +4 / -2 )
Great piece, Japantoday! Please keep publishing more!
7 ( +7 / -0 )
Funny how people who would normally use a calculator to do a 2+2 now talk about trends.
There is absolutely no trend in these numbers whatsoever. If one wants to see a trend - and that has to be considered a weekly trend, not a daily one - the trend shows cases are increasing. You may compare Monday numbers for the past months and draw your conclusions.
6 ( +6 / -0 )
Flute, the argument that the government wouldn’t benefit from hiding numbers cannot be done as the same could be said for the nuclear disaster in 2011, which happens to be a major cover-up in Japan’s history.
Number and news must be questioned with data and appropriate reasoning.
Coverups are as damaging as fake news and conspiracy theories.
11 ( +13 / -2 )
*without the thousand. 200000 to 300000
5 ( +6 / -1 )
I never really quite understood why it takes 3 days to publish the results here in Japan.
In Italy (not exactly a country you would call punctual or efficient) my mother got the results of her PCR in 4 hours, and I’m not talking about the organized North, but the slow-paced and disorganized south.
ah, and Italy is testing between 200000 thousand and 300000 people a day.
9 ( +10 / -1 )
These numbers make 0 sense. A positive rate going from 15% to 5% in one day? Do people seriously think the publish numbers are the real ones?
7 ( +10 / -3 )
After reading the comments here, I can now understand why such a beautiful movie with a women empowerment message got only 5 stars on imDB.
People, the ideas of one actress are not those of the cast and of the people who worked for years on this masterpiece.
Boycott for what? What are you exactly protesting against?
It is Disney, a very American company, who retains the rights of the movie and will shoulder the losses.
-11 ( +0 / -11 )
Isn’t it an option to take Japan to the International Court of Justice and demand a fine/penalty be applied? I - and as far as I know many more foreigners - would be very happy to foot part of the legal fees
6 ( +6 / -0 )
it is not clear what happens is one makes it to Japan and then is diagnosed with covid: would the foreigner, in such case, be sent back to their country even though they may pay health insurance in japan and not be entitled to treatment in their countries of origin?
Why every time they make new rules they’re always so opaque?
5 ( +7 / -2 )
it seems like most of those who speak against the cautious members have no idea of what statistics and probability, sensitivity and specificity are.
Wikipedia has a great article about the Bayes’ theorem. Start from there.
-4 ( +1 / -5 )
Business class cabin? Seriously?
That we see in the pictures is a premium economy at best. I know not everybody can afford first or business class - and honestly I fly economy 50% of the time - but telling them that is what business class looks like is kinda fraudulent.
19 ( +20 / -1 )
Same boring business model with same boring item to sell.
-2 ( +4 / -6 )
i don’t think ANA is planning anything different. Somebody I know got laid off by ANA yesterday, which means they are not going to restore the network anytime soon
1 ( +1 / -0 )
I am required pay almost 15 grands a year in this garbage of a pension program. I wish I could use that money to buy bonds/etfs and manage my pension money instead of having a low skilled komuin do that for me.
2 ( +3 / -1 )
Jameela used to be my English teacher in London back in the days.
It is truly beautiful to see a person so positive and so idealistic become a celebrity and hosting podcasts our society so desperately needs.
2 ( +4 / -2 )
I was just trying to work out how long you'd have to live to benefit from deferring or not deferring your pension. However, Excel tells me that 1.007 to the power 120 (an increase of 0.7% a month for 10 years) is 2.309, an increase of 131%, not 84%. An 84% increase in 120 months is more like 0.5% a month.
I suspect it's still best to get as much free time as possible as early as possible when you are genki.
nope. You get 0.7% interest on the paid capital (the pension). The interest is not reinvested. Therefore:
Normally, bonds, pensions and mortgages rates are calculated on the bare capital, without interests.
1 ( +1 / -0 )
Sure @dirk. All marriages not ending up in procreation should be considered void then. And after how many years should a heterosexual marriage without children be considered void? 2/3/10? Are women to be merely considered as means for procreation?
It would really be a lot better if people thought twice before opening their mouth and spit silly rants.
0 ( +0 / -0 )
It is just baffling to me how the ruling party uses the word unconstitutional.
Lockdown and gay marriages are unconstitutional so they can’t be performed. BUT, Japan having an army is unconstitutional so constitution must be changed ( or so they say).
4 ( +10 / -6 )
Stating something false as a fact is does not equate to providing an opinion. Removing conspiracy theories with no scientific ground is absolutely to be supported.
2 ( +2 / -0 )
It would be cool if they actually used MyNumber and let you login on an online platform through it and apply for the payment on an account you specify there.
It would be the most logical development given money orders require physical presence to be cashed out and close interactions should be discouraged during a pandemic.
3 ( +5 / -2 )
Pretty ridiculous that people claim “employees have to work to eat”.
do they need to work and earn money for the grave? Because that’s the risk many business owners are exposing them to.
0 ( +4 / -4 )
Can people stop translating whatever verb they read in Japanese with “urge”? It’s not used that commonly in the English language and it’s pretty lame, too.
2 ( +3 / -1 )
@kitzrow I’m really sorry for what you’re going through. If I lived in the Tokyo area I would give you a ride to the hospital during these harsh times.
Please take care and try to use the transportation during off peak times.
1 ( +1 / -0 )
And by the way, who is pulling out this story of the Chinese money? Because Japan has far more Chinese workers than Italy. If you want to spread false info, it is better to chose something that does not show up on as first or second result on Google. Cheers mate!
2 ( +3 / -1 )
Seth, are you defending the indefensible? It does not matter whether I am Italian or not. I pay taxes in Japan and I support, through my payments, the health care for a lot of people in this country. So who should I be thankful to and for what, exactly?
Self-isolation? When I entered Japan had no rules about that. Being cautious, I keep checking my temperature three times a day and wear mask whenever I am not at home.
I would like to remind you that the 1000 cases in Japan are community-spread, not imported from abroad. There is a huge difference.
5 ( +5 / -0 )