Triring comments

Posted in: Do you think the Japanese government lifted its state of emergency for the whole country too soon? See in context

 There will be a second and even a third wave. The second wave is much more likely to be worse than the first wave.

Nope, the dice can roll either ways in which the virus can mutate to a more inert or a more toxic type.

Only god knows for now.

-8 ( +2 / -10 )

Posted in: Lawmakers ejected in Hong Kong debate on Chinese anthem bill See in context

Basically CCP is killing the goose that lays the golden ego for ego.

The reason Hong Kong is a financial hub today is because of it's freedom and independence from the mainland.

Without it many of the financial institutions will just pack up and leave if they haven't already.

Singapore, Tokyo, Dubai, etc. can all replace Hong Kong's place.

In fact if Taiwan is willing Taipei can take over since many will be moving there.

3 ( +4 / -1 )

Posted in: Russia proposes shelving jurisdiction issue in isle talks with Japan See in context

With the carbon economy coming to the end and with no other export products to sustain the already crumbling economy, the so called Russian Federation is going to crumble into several independent states in which the Siberian state will need to give back the islands to Japan in exchange for economic assistance.

6 ( +13 / -7 )

Posted in: Japan more likely to completely end state of emergency on Monday See in context

Those numbers are remarkable for a number of reasons.

How come less than 10% of people making an inquiry are allowed to be tested? The health authorities should be well aware that symptoms and disease progression with this virus varies greatly from person to person. Also, why not increase monitoring in order to mitigate a second wave? If anything, allowing people a test may relieve some anxiety. 951 tests in one day should be at a level that Tokyo can easily manage.

Less than 1000 inquiries is remarkable. I find that to be an extremely low number. It could suggests that Tokyo is controlling the spread very well. Or have people have given up even trying to be tested? Or perhaps think that a positive diagnosis will put them through so much trouble that staying silent is worth the risk? Stigmatization and ostracism are well known issues in Japan...

Still cherry picking, not looking at the total amount of death which IS THE SAME AS PREVIOUS YEAR!!

You can't fake the number of death either since they are closely connected with life insurance in which life insurance companies are required to announce the amount of premiums they had paid out to insurance holders to the stock owners.

0 ( +3 / -3 )

Posted in: Japan more likely to completely end state of emergency on Monday See in context

Then everything opens back up, it's crowded everywhere and there will be a spike in deaths.

If this was true then what have kept them from dying two months ago when SOE had been declared?

Basically there should have been a spike after three weeks into the SOE and after it would level out since there was much lower rate of people going on with their normal life.

The second wave is surely to come but we don't know if the virus will become more deadly or more inert through mutation.The dice can roll either ways.

Can you doomsday mongers place a lid since the numbers themselves contradicts your claims.

3 ( +7 / -4 )

Posted in: Japan's exports, imports fall due to pandemic See in context

For a heavily export country, Japan is definitely doomed in the long run with declining populations and heavy competition from China, Vietnam, South Korea and India. The path towards a service-based and heavy tourist economy was inevitable until the Pandemic ruined the Olympics. Shinzo Abe's golden plan of transition was ruined.

Another misinformed soul I see.

Japan's reliance on export is only 25% of the GDP.

2 ( +7 / -5 )

Posted in: In its battle with the coronavirus, Japan appears to be doing everything wrong. It has tested just 0.185 percent of its population, its social distancing has been halfhearted, and a majority of Japanese are critical of the government’s response. Yet with among the lowest death rates in the world, a medical system that has avoided an overloading crisis, and a declining number of cases, everything seems to be going weirdly right. See in context

On the surface it looks as though Japan is winning the battle against the virus. But there maybe a higher number of asymptomatic cases out there. So the government really needs to step up its testing measure.

Another doomsday monger who believes that extensive random testing is the only solution.

Asymptomatic cases maybe out there but it also means there is a reason for that certain case to be asymptomatic possibly a weaker strain that will provide immunity to the ones who are infected to the deadlier strain, like the small pox vs cow pox. That is how human-kind first obtained vaccination.

Statistics will tell you the potential amount of people who may have contracted the deadlier disease and the J government had heightened the accuracy through selective testing based on criteria isolating the deadly strain from the public.

-3 ( +1 / -4 )

Posted in: Parts of Japan emerge from virus emergency; Tokyo needs fewer than 20 daily infections See in context

VinkeToday 09:47 pm JST

A few excerpts from some already "older" article, considering, but which are nevertheless still valid:

"There is also a difficulty in obtaining data about the death rate from pneumonia in Japan. Because of the concern that the lack of testing means some deaths recorded simply as pneumonia might actually be due to COVID-19, there have been calls for MHLW to clarify the recent pneumonia case and death rates. Unlike influenza data, which is published weekly, similar pneumonia data seems to be unavailable. Writer Jake Adelstein recently tweeted that he contacted the ministry directly and was told that the pneumonia reporting period was every three years, and they had no intention of making an exception now. Again, this kind of inflexibility and lack of transparency only increases mistrust and suspicion. We don’t know why the Japanese government doesn’t realize that."

(https://safecast.org/2020/03/making-sense-of-covid-19-numbers-in-japan/)

-

"If medical pros find you have pneumonia, they will begin treating you. There is a very good chance you will be cured. And if you are cured, they probably will not test you for coronavirus. So a case of Covid-19 vanishes – literally and statistically. -- Stats are murkier for the dead. Japan only does autopsies in 10% of suspicious deaths. If someone dies of pneumonia in a hospital, the odds of an autopsy are low. Japan has not released data on the number of autopsies performed to verify whether coronavirus was the cause of death. There is occasionally a post-mortem analysis of tissue samples – but rarely. Possibly, coronavirus deaths are being hidden among pneumonia fatalities. -- The Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare told Asia Times: “We only issue those numbers [in a comprehensive survey] every three years.” And the ministry’s latest nationwide hospital admissions data date back to November, before the pandemic struck." (https://asiatimes.com/2020/03/japans-winning-its-quiet-fight-against-covid-19/)

actual cause of death as covid-19.

Blah, blah blah

Doesn't really mean much since the TOTAL NUMBER DEATHS compare to previous years HAVE NOT SPIKED.

Without that it basically means that the number of fatality by the Corona virus is small OR the number of fatalities related to the flu is remarkably low this certain year.

Which makes more sense?

3 ( +8 / -5 )

Posted in: Parts of Japan emerge from virus emergency; Tokyo needs fewer than 20 daily infections See in context

drluciferToday 08:42 pm JST

Can you educate us why you think death cannot be hidden.

China last month revised upward by 1300 the death rate for Wuhan from Covid-19. They got away with under reporting it and felt guilt that the wuhan number was low after European and U.S numbers just kept on increasing.

It can't be done in a democratic nation.

Basically life insurance companies would need to report the amount paid out to life insurance holder in which if there is a spike it will stick out like a sore thumb.

Mortuaries and, cremation facilities will have a large back log in which corpses will be piling up for the media to report.

A spike in demand for cemeteries lots will drive a sudden peak in the cost for a plot which will also be reported as a market trend.

-1 ( +3 / -4 )

Posted in: Parts of Japan emerge from virus emergency; Tokyo needs fewer than 20 daily infections See in context

@drlucifer

The reason for low testing is because the potential cases were low simple as that.

If there is no requirement of testing then why do it?

No probable cause no need to do it and yet you bang on numbers which really do not make any sense.

You say that nobody demanded random testing and yet you are implying it by talking about numbers.

That is what I call lame.

-5 ( +1 / -6 )

Posted in: Japan to test 10,000 people for coronavirus antibodies See in context

Testing only provides a feeling good factor and really has nothing to do with containment of this disease.

-3 ( +1 / -4 )

Posted in: Parts of Japan emerge from virus emergency; Tokyo needs fewer than 20 daily infections See in context

How lame can you people get?

Basically test are submitted to people who fits a criteria potentially afflicted with COVID-19.

Meaning that the number of test going down also means that potential case of COVID-19 all together is going down with it.

Doing any random testing was never the intent of the government, the intent was to contain the disease in which the requirement of testing going down shows clear proof that number of cases requiring testing is going down meaning the overall health of is going up.

-2 ( +4 / -6 )

Posted in: Has Japan dodged the coronavirus bullet? See in context

blahblah222Today 08:29 pm JST

Most patients never make it to hospitals let alone tested.

If you die at home, which is pretty much the answer health office give to most people in order to reduce testing, testing are not being done.

Also hospitals cannot test by themselves unless they want to break the government guidance, even if hospitals want to prevent in-house outbreak, they will still need to obtain permission from the government health office to authorize the test.

Give it up already you are at the wrong.

Japan had dodged the bullet for now.

-4 ( +4 / -8 )

Posted in: Green hydrogen's time has come, say advocates eying post-pandemic world See in context

Again NOPE.

The difference between Hydrogen and Carbon based energy is, Carbon based energy is dig up from the land so land owners are the ones that get rich.

Hydrogen can be generated basically anywhere with enough water and electricity.

It levels the playing field where anyone who is willing to invest in the infrastructure will be able to generate it.

You can do it at your home by connecting the solar panels on your roof top and water from tap and capture the hydrogen generated through electrolysis or obtain those artificial leaves that have been recently developed and create your own Hydrogen farm.

The only thing you need is a body of water and sunshine.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: Green hydrogen's time has come, say advocates eying post-pandemic world See in context

Regardless of how it's made though it's a universal solvent, meaning it corrodes the containers that contain it, and you were better off with the electricity directly.

Completely FALSE.

Hydrogen is not corrosive it makes metal brittle, Toyota had already provided the solution by making the Hydrogen fuel tank for the Mirai FCVs out of Carbon Composites.

Hydrogen does not attach itself against Carbon.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: Japan, faced with criticism, scrambles to do more coronavirus testing See in context

Inaccurate testing of only 60-70% accuracy will only bring more confusion and distrust towards the government as well as the test itself.

Statistically speaking with the amount of fatalities as the denominator with the average fatality rate you can deduct the potential infection number or the numerator but most doomsdaysayers just won't accept the math.

-3 ( +0 / -3 )

Posted in: Abe seeks to extend state of emergency by about a month See in context

They are nearing herd immunity already.

Nope. Doctors have already concluded that there are no immunity against this disease. It's like the seasonal flu you contract it no matter how many times you had contracted it in the past.

The only thing you gain is resistance against the disease making the symptoms milder but you will catch it unlike the measles or chicken pox.

The silver lining to this is that we can expect a baby boom at the end of this year/start of next year.

-3 ( +5 / -8 )

Posted in: Journalist ponders meaning of Japan's (currently) low coronavirus infection numbers See in context

Jonathan PrinApr. 27 01:24 pm JST

If I believe scientifically that some races (understand general gene pools) can be less prone to covid in some little %, the cleaning thing is non sense.

Nope not really, there is a slight possibility that Japan had encountered this virus in the past and had developed resistance to it.

Nobody would have thought it was a new disease a hundred years ago in the end of the 19th century and and travelers to Japan from abroad would have been near zero and isolated from the general population so it would have been nearly impossible to contract it. It would also been nearly impossible to take back to the home country since a person will be staying for months in Japan and would not have traveled back when they were feeling under.

-1 ( +0 / -1 )

Posted in: Journalist ponders meaning of Japan's (currently) low coronavirus infection numbers See in context

Those who criticize, try arguing against the numbers.

Compare the amount of people who are hospitalized treated in critical care using ventilators and the ones who dies of pneumonia in Japan against other parts of the world. The CRVID-19 pneumonia cases are quite different from usual pneumonia cases so doctors have already differentiated CRVID-19 type pneumonia with other types of pneumonia.

-6 ( +1 / -7 )

Posted in: Abe touts Avigan as COVID-19 treatment despite experts urging caution See in context

The medical trial so far shows promising results unlike the Trump's recommendation. The side affects of this medicine has also been studied and doctors are aware of them.

-5 ( +7 / -12 )

Posted in: Oil prices under pressure from Saudi-Russia dispute, but tariffs provide support See in context

Both Russia and OPEC has started a fire sale since they both know that the demand of oil will be dropping in the coming years due to the emerging Hydrogen economy.

0 ( +0 / -0 )

Posted in: Fujifilm starts Avigan trial to treat coronavirus See in context

If you are not tested for Corona and was administered with another flu medication which did not work then the doctors can prescribe Avigan as an alternative medication to fight the corona virus.

-1 ( +0 / -1 )

Posted in: Fujifilm starts Avigan trial to treat coronavirus See in context

As you can see within the link below, Avigan is already approved by the Ministry of Health.

https://www.info.pmda.go.jp/go/pack/625004XF1022_2_02/

1 ( +1 / -0 )

Posted in: Koike calls for fewer outings; says state of emergency up to PM See in context

to be precise It's based on the constitution since a lock down will violate people's rights.

that is why Koike is reluctant to declare lockdown.

as for testing, which would you prefer more, hospital overwelmed with potential virus carriers wanting testing resulting to hospital personnel contracting the disease making the hospital a hotspot or have the potential carriers who only show mild symptoms to stay home?

-4 ( +0 / -4 )

Posted in: Mortuary services uneasy over funerals, cremations for Covid-19 victims See in context

So where is the overrun of demand in Tokyo/Japan if it was an ongoing epidemic where the government was covering it up for long until they announced of the postponement of the Olympic games?

If there was a cover up then the Mortuary should have been packed with bodies waiting to be cremated but no one is talking about it.

-1 ( +0 / -1 )

Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

@Tora

I actually do not see it.

If it was true then those 1800 would have been maxed out already since Japan is much more closely related to Wuhan then Italy, Spain and/or NYC.

There are various Japanese companies have offices in that city as well as it is lot more economical to travel to Japan then the other cities I had mentioned which should result to more accelerated numbers of patients and more importantly fatalities showing as a spike in deaths in Japan.

No one is talking about any spikes and no one is talking about any high demand in funerals or more importantly cremations.

Cremation facilities around Tokyo is severely limited due to it's extreme difficulties in constructing new ones and expansion of present ones due to NIMBYies. (If you think opening a new preschool is hard, try opening a new cremation center and fell the resistance)

-3 ( +1 / -4 )

Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

@Flute

I had to call ten cremation centers after my father had passed to make reservations and that was two days before the funeral.

The cremation process takes about 30-50 minutes and I know that they will not turn down a request unlike emergency hospitals sine their clients will not complain about the service 100%.

0 ( +1 / -1 )

Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

@smithinjapan

IT DOESN'T MATTER.

If there was a massive epidemic there would be a massive amount of deaths whether they had been tested or not does not matter since the resulting spike in total number of fatality would show like a sore thumb. It will overrun the cremation facilities that are running at about full capacity already. (I should know how difficult it is to reserve a spot at one of those places after my father's death)

If there was an overflow we would have heard about it know on the morning show since it is impossible to hid that kind of information.

Statistics will back me up since there should be no abnormalities in number of fatalities year to year unless there was a abnormality in cause like an epidemic.

2 ( +5 / -3 )

Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

I don’t quite buy that, for one thing the Japanese are not doing any testing and the second thing is that it could all change and as a result of not testing it could potentially blow wide open over there, so we don’t really know unless we start testing people and then we can get a clear picture of how widespread if it indeed is, but we don’t so, we will never really know the actual numbers

The death toll does not get effected whether the cases are reported or not. It also does not matter whether they were filed under other unrelated diseases since the total number of deaths does not fluctuate that much year by year. Statistically speaking if there is an untold epidemic happening in Tokyo right now then the cremation centers would be over flowing with demand since 99% of deaths in Japan is required to be processed (cremated/buried( within a short term of time period(within a week) by law.

If there was an overflow we surely heard about it by now.

-1 ( +3 / -4 )

Posted in: Telework, stockpiling spread in Tokyo after Koike's press conference See in context

I do not think a mass epidemic of Corona will hit Japan, why because if it did, Tokyo would have felt it long before NYC since we are lot more connected to the original epicenter than the other hard felt cities like Italy or East coast USA.

Many strongly speculate, it is because Japan have not tested enough potential subjects to define the actual count but if there were more patients then shouldn't there be a spike of fatalities as well.

Has anyone heard of spikes of death in Japan due to disease/ phenomena compared to previous years?

I certainly have not.

The morgue is certainly not full and I have not heard of cremation service being over runed by demand which should be if an epidemic had struck.

I do not know the why but as death tolls(numbers) shows, I do not think Tokyo has been/will be struck by an epidemic of serious Corona virus related death.

-4 ( +5 / -9 )

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